Weird Nerd Mad About Shutout

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39 minutes ago, Teflon said:

Luis Arraez ranks among all NL players:

#1 BA

#1 OBA

#1 AB per Strikeout

#3 OPS+

#4 Adjusted Batting Wins

#5 Offensive Win %

#6 WAR

#7 OPS

#7 Runs Created

 

You forgot to mention: 

Twins rank:
24th in average
23rd in OBP
30th in strikeouts (on pace to obliterate the MLB record)
21st in runs scored
20th in OPS
 
And they don't have ONE SINGLE OFFENSIVE PLAYER in the top 100 position player WAR in the league. 
 
But sure, let's make a "funny" article about how Twins didn't lose the Arraez trade in every single facet, because hey Pablo threw a complete game this week! 

I'm with you Ethan. You won't die alone on that hill. I'm a coming, guns ablazing. 🔫 

The Twins are sending Sonny Gray to the All-Star game but he might be their 3rd best starting pitcher.

1 hour ago, Teflon said:

Luis Arraez ranks among all NL players:

#1 BA

#1 OBA

#1 AB per Strikeout

#3 OPS+

#4 Adjusted Batting Wins

#5 Offensive Win %

#6 WAR

#7 OPS

#7 Runs Created

 

 

 

Seemed like when we gave him to Miami lot's of talk about he couldn't repeat or was a flash in the pan hitter or just a singles hitter, etc.  His overall career numbers rank with the best starting in 2019 with a BA of .334,  Lowest of his career was a .294 in 2021,   The Twins don't have anyone even close!  He has played in over 120 games for the last 2 years and so far 83 this year.  He had a few 10 day IL stints but has been healthy the last 3 years.  Although you can't put a number of his personality of love of the game and how he could motivate the Twins this year should be close to 1.000,  

15 minutes ago, DJL44 said:

The Twins are sending Sonny Gray to the All-Star game but he might be their 3rd best starting pitcher.

He might actually be their 4th best.  But that's a different topic

There is no joy in Hopkins because the Twins are striking out.

The Luis Arraez/Pablo Lopez comparison is a case of Arraez pitching into some great luck while Lopez has been unlucky to this point.

Luis Arraez is a career .328 hitter with a career .299 xBA (a difference of .029 points). However, this year, his batting average is .055 points higher than his xBA (.388 to .333). The last time I checked, Zips projected that he'll end the year with a ~.360 batting average. I think that there is a lot of negative regression to the mean that will happen, and Arraez does not walk nearly enough to continue batting close to .400 (Rod Carew walked 10% of the time in 1977 and Ted Williams walked 21.6% of the time in 1942. Luis Arraez "only" has a 7% walk rate). 

Conversely, Pablo Lopez has hit into some poor luck. From 2020-2022, he's posted a 3.52 ERA and 3.58 xERA over 340.0 IP (with him posting equivalent 3.75 figures in 2022). This year, his 3.03 xERA is paired with a much higher 3.89 figure in the first half. Hitters are slashing .220/.281/.358 against him (a heck of a lot worse than Gallo and Kepler, two guys who half of y'all want to DFA), and he's probably going to strikeout 250 batters if he stays healthy.

They both have equivalent trade values (per BTV), and I am very excited to see Lopez, Ryan, and Ober form a three-headed monster at the top of the rotation for the next 4+ years.

44 minutes ago, Hosken Bombo Disco said:

Who has worse knees, Buxton or Arraez! That’s gonna be a close one! 

So far Buxton is winning by 100 miles

Flash: Satirical article sparks heated debate

36 minutes ago, chpettit19 said:

Losing Arraez (Tony Gwynn 2.0 as I like to call him) will always, and forever, make me sad. Lopez wasn't the guy I wanted back in the trade either. But I'm willing to bet any amount of money you want that Arraez doesn't hit .400 this year, or any other year, and Lopez looks much better than I thought he'd be. Luis topped out at .355 on July 9th last year and went downhill from there. He's started to dip a little in Miami this year. Will be fun to see where he ends up at the end of the year.  I'd bet he ends up higher than .316, but I'm quite certain it's going to be below .400.

This trade has the chance to be both incredibly depressing incredibly joyful. Will be fun to track the remainder of these guys' careers. Right now it's looking pretty even to me, because I don't think Luis Arraez is actually going to hit .400.

I can see where it could be considered "even".   Lopez also has the chance to dip here in MN.  I have 2 points.  First, a pitcher appears in 30ish games where Arraez is well over 100.  2nd is nothing against Lopez but disappointment that the Twins won't spend on great pitching (compliment to Lopez).

I admit, I was on the fence about this trade, leaning toward a good one for the Twins.

Now though, I love it. Lopez has been so much better than expected. I thought the Twins were getting a #3, but they might have gotten an ace...a true ACE. 

I have never been so tempted to change my username.

1 hour ago, sampleSizeOfOne said:

I was finishing off the article when i went... "who is this Ethan Sudbury? i thought his name was Joyless Hopkins.

3 hours ago, Schmoeman5 said:

Flash: Satirical article sparks heated debate

Fun article, made me chuckle. And scroll down just endless stats and debate. All the numbers look like someone writing code for a computer program. Just laugh at the funny article, live a little, maybe through in your own little joke and enjoy it for what it is. Or don't, I guess it's not for me to suggest to others how to conduct themselves.

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“He’s deeply unpleasant,” said Amy Sudbury, Ethan’s disappointed mother. “He gets that from his father.”

I also want to know which one of you old farts here is his father.

4 minutes ago, DJL44 said:

I also want to know which one of you old farts here is his father.

I'll plead the 5th. But she didn't go by Amy when I knew her.