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jorgenswest

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Everything posted by jorgenswest

  1. jorgenswest
    Julien is a better hitter than this. He will turn it around.
  2. jorgenswest
    Prospect is an arbitrary term. It is really about players in the organization. Does Festa’s performance open up the possibility that Varland can be moved to the bullpen. Can he make an impact there? Wallner made an impact last year also. I think he will return later this year and be available part of the outfield.
  3. jorgenswest
    Honest wonders… He has over 7 years of service time. At that point can he elect to become a free agent instead of going to the minors? If someone were to add him would they pay the minimum and the Twins the rest?
  4. jorgenswest
    I wondered if Margot’s lack of value would be shown by the Twins recent use of their roster. Only one player has started fewer games and had fewer plate appearances in the last 14 days. I believe the data from BR is updated through the 25th. Margot has appeared in 11 games and started 5 with 22 plate appearances. Farmer has appeared in 8 games and started 4 with 18 plate appearances. You would hope their 6th and 8th ranked salary commitments would bring more value. Lewis’ return will reduce the need for both players as Castro can play 2B as well as the outfield. Unfortunately, I don’t think anyone is picking up either contract through waivers or a trade.
  5. jorgenswest
    I think he is more ready to contribute defensively than Castro or Martin. I could be wrong as I have only seen him on TV. It would be hard to expect Castro or Martin to be accomplished centerfielders when it never has been either players primary position for any significant length of time. I would go to Rodriguez the next time Buxton is out.
  6. jorgenswest
    More recent… Mauer played a half season of high A and half season of AA before starting in the majors in 2004. Hicks played in the majors in 2013 before playing in AAA. Sano played 66 games in AA and was promoted to the majors. Buxton played 59 games in AA and was promoted to majors. Kepler played in the majors before he played in AAA. Jeffers played in the majors after 24 games in AA the previous season. It was the COVID season though. I would give him a shot the next time Buxton goes down. His defense is ready.
  7. jorgenswest
    … and stole a base in the first inning.
  8. jorgenswest
    He was 2.76 in his larger 2022 AA sample. It seems unlikely that his skill declined from excellent to poor at age 26. It is probably the random variation due to a sample that is small. I would trust any anecdotal evidence from those with trained eyes before trusting range factor from a full or partial minor league season sample.
  9. jorgenswest
    @bean5302 prompted me to look at their career numbers so I didn’t discount it. I appreciated his post but didn’t come to the same conclusion. It still is about the only thing we have to measure range for much of the 20th century. If I saw one CF at 3 and another at 2 over a full season that is also supported by their career numbers, I would conclude the player around 3 had more range. If that split resulted in Rodriguez and Keirsey over their minor career I could be persuaded that Rodriguez had better range. They are pretty close and probably I find it inconclusive in determining the better center fielder.
  10. jorgenswest
    Is RF/9 a useful measure that teams use? How do the different ball in play contexts impact varying RF/9? What inning sample is necessary for RF/9 to be relevant? It is an opportunity stat so a pretty large sample must be necessary. For outfielders, would PO/9 be more telling of range? Assuming it is valuable here are there career RF/9 in centerfield. Keirsey 2.46 Martin 2.49 (minors only with majors it is 2.46) Rodriguez 2.53
  11. jorgenswest
    It is the ordering that prompted my original comment.
  12. jorgenswest
    Is it easier to grow from a base of contact skills with below average exit velocity or a base of high exit velocity with infrequent contact?
  13. jorgenswest
    Do you think organizations spend time and resources ranking their players? If the rankings were of any value at all they would be pretty stable. If they change as much as the recent TD top prospects after less than two months of play then they had little value to begin with.
  14. jorgenswest
    What is the obsession with rankings? How does it matter? There must be a ranking article of some sort weekly. Wouldn’t it be better to have an article about Rodriguez and his assets that stands alone. The following discussion would be about the readiness of his major league glove in centerfield and whether he might be able to stay in centerfield. Does he need to be more aggressive at the plate before he arrives? Are there certain pitches where he struggles? Will he be an asset on the basepaths? All these players are worthy of their own discussion.
  15. jorgenswest
    Woods Richardson doesn’t have a low BABIP or high LOB% that is often simply luck. He throws strikes and that is a good foundation for a 23 year old rookie and also valuable to the team as the 5th/6th starter.
  16. jorgenswest
    The best OF option on the 40 is Rodriguez. They should have called him up when Buxton went on IL and batted him 9th. If Buxton isn’t ready to play everyday in CF they need to bring him up now and be patient with the bat. They also need to get Lewis ready for the outfield.
  17. jorgenswest
    I wonder how many teams have gone last season and the first quarter of this season using only two catchers. The Jeffers/Vazquez plan may have some benefits as well as the plan to not sign a DH only bat like Martinez.
  18. jorgenswest
    Thanks. That makes it more difficult to get him in the line up Vazquez is catching. They probably also wanted to avoid Toronto’s turf which might be where I noticed Kirilloff in left field as opposed to Larnach.
  19. jorgenswest
    I would like to see him get a few starts against lefties. I have wondered why Kirilloff is starting in the outfield with Larnach at DH. Is Kirilloff a better outfielder? That wasn’t my perception entering the season.
  20. jorgenswest
    I wouldn’t catch Jeffers in that night game/day game lead up into the Cleveland series. I want him catching Friday/Sunday in that series and at DH on Saturday. I also would have started Pablo today on his regular rest and given Paddack a few extra days so that he starts the Cleveland series and Pablo finishes it with Ober in between. Net result is SWR starts against the Yankees instead of Paddock and Lopez starts in the Cleveland series instead of SWR. Paddack gets a few extra days off to help limit his innings and most others of regular rest.
  21. jorgenswest
    I loved his all out attempt on the foul ball diving head first into the wall. Seeing their 38 year old teammate with that effort has to fire up the bench. I enjoy watching him play first base. I have said I would have spent the money differently but I was wrong. Santana is valuable to this team.
  22. jorgenswest
    The prospect designation is pretty useless. Which teams have the best 25 and under talent? That is so much more important. At that age you expect growth. Option status is also far more important than prospect status. Celestino and Martin had virtually the same performance with the bat last year at the same age. Celestino was out of options. Martin had three. The options make Martin much more valuable though they may be very similar in their careers going forward. At some point Woods Richardson will move past the arbitrary prospect status line. He will still be younger than many of the pitchers in the list and he will have played at a more challenging level. He will still have options that he will likely need to reset and adjust in AAA. Isn’t that what matters?
  23. jorgenswest
    Is it possible that TD just got it wrong? Maybe he hasn’t passed anyone. He is younger than most on the list and was challenged at a higher level of the minors. His stuff+ was very good last year. His velocity was reported to be up this winter. The Twins may have always viewed him more ready and capable than the others. They certainly pushed him up to AAA before the others. My guess is the Twins don’t rank but are asset based in their evaluations. Rankings don’t have a lot of value.
  24. jorgenswest
    It would really help if they would utilize Royce Lewis’ athleticism and right handed bat in the outfield.
  25. jorgenswest
    I don’t see how it could be significantly different. Woods Richardson isn’t struggling significantly more in the majors and really isn’t probably that different from Varland or Festa. Miranda and Martin have been both levels and don’t seem that different from the ends of a major league roster. Is it possible there are more injuries at both levels this year? More injuries drain AAA and teams might elect to move up older organizational players or sign journeymen minor league players to fill those holes in order to keep their prospects developing at lower levels. That might have a small effect.
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