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jorgenswest

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Everything posted by jorgenswest

  1. Nick Gordon has a wRC+ of 120 but I was repeatedly told there was no space for him. He had better batting projections than any of the three listed above and none of the three have put up defense to make up for their hitting.
  2. Both went down looking and both after swinging at a ball out of the strike zone the previous pitch. It is critical to put the ball in play and our two largest winter expenditures looked at strike 3. Jeffers then went up to battle and put the ball in play after a long battle at the plate. We need Farmer and Santana to be much better.
  3. Today there were good performances from players not expected to be on the original 26. Woods Richardson, Sands, Funderburk and Alcala* gave up 1 earned run in 11 innings. Martin and Miranda were on base 6 times in their 13 plate appearances. These games felt critical and the young players stepped up. *I guess this assumes that Staumont was in line to claim that last spot but none of those 5 had a lock on the roster.
  4. I don’t know how Polanco would be performing had he remained. It could be there are no winners in this trade for 2024. If the funds are limited I want a front office that will spend the dollars on fewer or even one significant players and fill the other roster spots from within. They had around 20 million to add to the roster this winter. They chose to add Farmer, DeSclafani, Santana and Margot. At year’s end they need to be accountable partly based on how the four perform.
  5. No. I want the moves they made this winter to lead to wins. Farmer, Santana, Margot and DeSclafani are the 6th through 9th highest payed players on the club. They need to perform accordingly. I hope I am wrong but I did not believe those moves took the team in the right direction. That playoff series win earned the front office this year but not beyond. This year matters.
  6. I read that they are going to Castro at SS. I agree with the it. It really makes me wonder how they thought giving Farmer that two year contract was a wise idea at the same time they are cutting 30 million off the budget. I have no confidence that this front office can operate in a tight budget. Adding Farmer, Santana, DeSclafani and Margot this winter needs to work or they must be replaced. Once replaced, the new front office can decide in the manager they want to lead this club. Meanwhile I started the grieving process on whether this team planned to contend on the day of the Polanco trade. It is time to enjoy these games one at a time and leave the thoughts of a ring for another season.
  7. Vazquez is valuable defensively and I think he has been valuable to the starting rotation in planning how to pitch to hitters in those meeting. Last year his salary fit a lot better in the context of a budget approaching 160 million. In this year’s budget the salaries of Vazquez and Correa are harder to justify but I think the 30 million reduction was not anticipated by Falvey. Falvey did make decisions this winter based on that 30 reduction that I would have made differently. I will leave that for other threads. I did have a reaction to the belief that there truly is a free way to watch the Twins on TV. If that is the case then I would expect the Twins TV revenue to take another big drop next year and more cuts will be necessary. Why should anyone pay? If no one is paying, how do they secure a significant enough deal to sustain a competitive team?
  8. There was no one in position to cut the throw to third. That is probably where Correa (or Julien) should have been but Correa reacts immediately sprinting to the line. Amazing play.
  9. The 1B might be the primary cutoff to home on a ball down the line and in the corner. The full field video shows Santana lining up for cut and then veers off with Correa in place. Julien heads to second right away.
  10. Great work by the pen. A well earned first major league save for Okert. The single he gave up had an xBA of .100 but it wasn’t a play the Twins 3B could make. He followed with a second groundball and possible double play but they couldn’t turn it. No worries. He went after Betts and got a pop up to end the game. Well done.
  11. We really think it would have been a good idea that Ober pitch to Ohtani and Freeman a third time? They were 2-3 with a sacrifice fly previously and one of the outs was a sac fly with a .760 xBA. The other out was a line drive out. No reasonable manager should expect that Ober would get through those two batters the third time around without having success the first two times around. Unfortunately the lefty the front office provided him probably isn’t a pitcher a contender would want in their bullpen.
  12. A 2D slice that is a representation of the 3D zone will geometrically look more oval. Pitches in the center horizontally center particularly at the top will have more space to drop in or out of the zone. Pitches on the corners don’t have that space as there is a better chance they will move laterally out of the strike zone.
  13. I agree that it is different and not helpful in making the transition to the majors. I don’t believe it has been consistent across their minor league experience though. Last year minor league executives reported that it was not the same from park to park. They also reported of the trouble ABS had adjusting to the individual strike zones players. Moreover, the strike zone was changed from 22 to 23 then again later during the season in 23. Changing the strike zone three times within a year is anything but consistent.
  14. If the electronic strike zone used in AAA last year is the model, count me out. It was not 3D and not the strike zone. That ABS called strikes solely based on where the ball crosses the midpoint of the plate, 8.5 inches from the front and the back. A pitcher with more movement will more often have a ball move out of the zone before the midpoint or move into the zone after the midpoint. They need a human to see what the machines are not seeing. Overall that ABS was a disaster and not well received. It was also not consistent between parks. It changed the run scoring environment. The tweak in September was to simply make it larger rather than to make it accurate. Instead of trying to model the strike zone they tried to create a zone that The first move is to get that rectangle off our screens. There are broadcasters who speak of it that thing as anlways accurate. It’s not. If you only take a 2D cross section of the plate to represent the 3D zone it will not be accurate. I think a geometrically more accurate 2D slice of strike in a 3D zone would be closer to an oval. Here is a quote from Morgan Sword, MLB executive vice president of operations Do you really want them to change the major league zone based on what feels wrong to people?
  15. This is the last mention of Miranda and Larnach I found about 30 posts back. Thank @DocBauer. They will both get a shot this year and I think are as likely to have a significant career as Wallner. I haven’t given up on Miranda as a 3B but he was marginal before shoulder injury and may never get it back to 100%. They need Larnach’s bat against right handed pitching. I hope he is back healthy in AAA soon.
  16. I wonder if they should have put Kepler on the IL. He has never hit well with a bad leg.
  17. Is my opinion that the money should have been spent differently valid it all? It wouldn’t seem so with your comments. I think they could have spent the same money differently and built a team that is better for 2024. One way was to keep Polanco and non tender Farmer. The money would be the same. I think that makes this team better in 2024. That is all I have ever said.
  18. What issue have I avoided? Payroll? I accept the drop in payroll. I don’t agree with the allocation of those dollars. Is it fair to say they could have kept Polanco and traded (or non tendered) Farmer and had the same payroll? Farmer plus DeSclafani is virtually the same as Polanco. Is the 2024 team better in that case? I thought so then. I think so now.
  19. I am having a hard time caring about the motivation for the deal here and the back and forth. Did anyone believe then that this 2024 team was better as a result of the trade? I didn’t and it was my comment on the trade. Isn’t that what matters? I hope my beliefs are proven wrong by Topa pitching all star worthy relief.
  20. I guess he did have Wallner to pinch hit for Margot later in the game but I don’t get the Julien move. Would it be better to put those left handed bats 1,3,5,7 in the order to make it a little less rewarding for a manager to put in the left handed reliever? I did appreciate that Jax was used to get the heart of the order in the 8th. I am looking forward to Duran joining Jax and Stewart in this bullpen.
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