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jorgenswest

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Everything posted by jorgenswest

  1. jorgenswest
    Easy decision to put Sano on the roster for the wild card game. Would you have more confidence pinch hitting Garver or Vargas for Castro late in the game? They probably should take all 3. If they need more than 10 pitchers, it won't matter if Sano is on the bench. There is a spot for everyone but Goodrum.
  2. jorgenswest
    How many teams have a utility player with 20 home runs and 75 RBIs? The Escobar deal was a steal.
  3. jorgenswest
    What valuable would be learned in a September look? The Twins have had eyes on them all year. A September sample is not going to add anything worthwhile. Wins, on the other hand, are worthwhile. They need to give themselves the best chance to win each game.
  4. jorgenswest
    FIP relies on HR rate which stabilizes around 1320 batters faced. It is pretty useless for relievers but starters can get there in two years. xFIP relies on fly ball rate which stabilizes much quicker at 70 balls in play. This assumes however that pitchers trend to the same HR/FB rate which probably isn't correct. Comparing to a reliever's ERA is further complicated by pitchers who enter mid inning or leave mid inning where inherited runners are part of the equation. Those factors have no impact on FIP. For a starter where most of their innings are self contained, partial innings has limited impact. For a middle reliever it is significant. ERA and FIP are virtually useless for relievers. I don't think any conclusion can be drawn from comparing them.
  5. jorgenswest
    Polanco should have another half season and that is plenty of time for hi, to show the Twins he can hit. Nick Gordon will benefit from time in AAA and the Twins need to make sure he comes up fundamentally sound and skilled at shortstop. Escobar and Dozier have one year left on their contracts. Escobar could be moved to make room for Gordon if Polanco establishes his bat by next July. If Polanco isn't hitting, he probably is headed towards a Danny Santana career. Adrianza can continue in a utility role. He will not be blocking Gordon from coming up mid season. All five can coexist until the next trading deadline and it is quite possible the depth will be needed.
  6. jorgenswest
    Yes.
  7. jorgenswest
    Do you have a source that he didn't? It should not be a surprise that an older player with concussion symptoms is going to get days off particularly when night games are followed by day games. Molitor's thoughts on playing Mauer less this year are documented. Is it an unreasonable decision on Molitor's part that Mauer sits against Hamels instead of Martinez?
  8. jorgenswest
    Is there a source? I did read that a Molitor sat him due the tough lefty. I did not see that it was Mauer's request.
  9. jorgenswest
    My contribution to the discussion is that I value the devopmental time in the minors towards improving his catching skills. Is that not worthy of discussion? Perhaps it would be worthy of discussion if we agreed. I don't want to send Garver back next year to work on catching. His bat as a catcher will be valuable.
  10. jorgenswest
    Thanks. Encouraging. Jeff Smith also spoke of Pinto being vastly improved and how he was impressed with his work to do both (offense and defense) while managing him in AA. The did not have trackman data for Pinto in AA.
  11. jorgenswest
    What is the alternative? Is there anyone here that sees him working on catching daily? I guess I could put my trust with them assuming they have also demonstrated skill in assessing catcher defense. I am concerned that he has not been called up yet. What could be holding him back? It isn't the bat. The Twins are desperate for a right handed bat. While I believe that you can't fully learn how to hit major league pitching in AAA, I don't believe the same for defense. The Twins have had far too many players coming to the majors without being fundamentally sound at their position. In some cases, the player didn't have the talent to play the position. Garver's bat needs to be in majors. If the glove part needs more development at catcher, give him that time. If he isn't close to an average catcher when he arrives, the potential for a league average bat probably won't matter.
  12. jorgenswest
    I do want to see a Garver, but it is my interest and curiosity. The Twins see him every day. It isn't about the Twins seeing but rather developing. There is so much to learn at catcher. It is likely there are fundamentals that the Twins are pushing this year that they didn't in previous years. The most important result is that he enters next year as fundamentally sound at catcher as possible. If that means four more weeks in AAA, then they need to give him that time.
  13. jorgenswest
    Is it the Tyler Watson from the Mariners organization?
  14. jorgenswest
    The new front office speared more focused on changes that were structural throughout the system. Is there a better and more consistent approach towards developing players in the system? There seemed to be intentional effort to be consistent with the organizational meetings. How is data being gathered and utilized throughout the system? The Twins probably ranked near the bottom in their use of data prior to this year. I don't know how much impact those structural changes would have on the major league record. I would guess little, but it should help for 2018. Should they have made those changes and brought in two better relievers? Yes. However signing aging relievers is a roll of the dice. You hope our new guys are more successful picking them than others but they were working from information collected during the previous administration. They really did not compete In this market by signing Belisle.
  15. jorgenswest
    I don't think there will be any tough decisions. The Twins have plenty of space to clear on the 40. They won't lose anyone with upside.
  16. jorgenswest
    Twins retain all of their 2018 assets (depending on your view of Murphy) while adding near ready depth in Ens, Littell and Moya. They lost Ynoa but added Watson in the lower minors. It cost them a little cash to add the depth. Well played by the front office. They also get some international dollars.
  17. jorgenswest
    If they can find a trade partner for a Gimenez, of course they move him. I don't think it is Gimenez blocking Garver, but rather Garver's defense at catcher that they are developing as well as seeing how he might handle LF. If they can develop Garver into an average receiver, he is a valuable addition to the bench.
  18. jorgenswest
    Ynoa may have the greater upside but Littell, Moya and Enns all have a chance to help in 2018. Ynoa is years away.
  19. jorgenswest
    Gives us an idea of the depth of the Yankees organization relative to the Twins. The Twins are deeper now without messing with the major league roster. In: Littell, Ens, Moya, Recker Out: Murphy, Ynoa, pile of cash
  20. jorgenswest
    Enns career ERA in the minors is 1.87 in almost 400 innings. I almost always ignore ERA but that is hard to ignore.
  21. jorgenswest
    https://www.minorleagueball.com/2017/7/30/16064776/the-back-up-plan-yankees-get-jaime-garcia-for-zack-littell-and-dietrich-enns
  22. jorgenswest
    Comp in Twins system - Felix Jorge?
  23. jorgenswest
    What did they learn about Parmelee or Danny Santana or Polanco? Did their view change considerably after good numbers at the start of their careers? Should it? They have watched the player for years prior to the partial first season. He could come up and post an OPS of 800 or 600 and that small sample shouldn't change their assessment of his skill at the plate. The big question for Garver is his skill behind the plate, They continue to develop that skill caching every other day in AAA. I am certain behind the scenes he is spending a lot of time watching video and learning how to prep for a game. Should they call him up now or develop that skill for another month and call him up in September? I would like to see him but I am not sure it is best.
  24. jorgenswest
    I agree with everything but the LF part. In the one game I saw, he seems no where near ready to play outfield in the major leagues. Grossman is a below average outfielder but Garver wouldn't be close to his level. How could be be? He has 114 innings in the minors. Why should the Twins expect someone to come up and learn that position in the majors? It is even a bigger jump moving from catcher than a middle infield position. Call him up now and scrap LF or keep him down to give him a lot more time in LF in AAA/winter/spring.
  25. jorgenswest
    Encouraged that they must have some confidence in Garver's defense st catcher. I don't think they would move Murphy otherwise. As they become sellers it would be nice to see Garver catch a few times a week in the majors.
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