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jorgenswest

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Everything posted by jorgenswest

  1. jorgenswest
    Slugging percentage which is a component of OPS stabilizes at around a full season for a starting pitcher (550 AB). Odorizzi is at 247 at bats. It might be something teams look to at the season’s end to suggest there has been a change on skill level (or not) as they make a free agency decision about Odorizzi. At this point in the season the pitch level data is helpful and the Twins have much better data than we can see. I would guess that they also have some useful batted ball data. Of the traditional result data, strike out rate stabilizes earliest and it is encouraging that his strike out is up while his walk rate remains at career norms.
  2. jorgenswest
    I think they will end up giving up more than they received for Pressly. That model is ideal though. Find middle inning reliever like a Pressly that they can tweak into a late inning stalwart. Gordon and Cave might get you that guy but not an established late inning reliever like Brad Hand.
  3. jorgenswest
    I was intrigued by Brandon Warne’s article in April about Duffey and tunneling. https://zonecoverage.com/2019/featured/funneling-to-tunneling-the-rebuilding-of-tyler-duffey/ The mix of his curve ball with a fastball up in the zone may be the recipe for success.
  4. jorgenswest
    You call him up because they want a pitcher that can do what Littell did and give them several innings of that Tampa Bay game. Those innings were critical. He saved the pen. It helped the team win the next three games. If he Is never needed that is even better. No blow outs. He doesn’t need a fair audition here. He is up to help the team win and should take advantage of any opportunity he gets before he is shuttled back. I think they did need to make significant changes to the staff and did so.
  5. jorgenswest
    I think they better know a lot about Eades before he throws a major league ball. They should know the velocity and movement of his pitches. They should know whether he is able to hit his location. If they have to treat these call ups as a fair audition (particularly for a 27 year old they should know a lot about) then we need to replace the staff. I think he will be up in the role of low leverage long relief similar to Littell with Duffey moving to a higher leverage role.
  6. jorgenswest
    I am not sure what a Hildenberger needed. Was it a mechanical adjustment? If so maybe they have worked it out. We aren’t going to see that looking at results in AAA. Even if we could you might expect them to be bad early as he tried to make changes.
  7. jorgenswest
    Astudillo has major league skill. With his ability to make contact he can improve his approach. He should be very selective early knowing he can get behind and fight back with contact. Sometimes it takes some failure to be able to take a step forward. I think he will back better.
  8. jorgenswest
    There is reason to wonder both the velocity and location of Parker’s fastball. His average 4 seam fastball was his lowest of any game since 2014. He was averaging 93s his last two outings in May. Injury?
  9. jorgenswest
    I appreciate that the team isn’t making line up decisions based on the box score stats of the previous few games. I think Molitor has Kepler on the bench for this one.
  10. jorgenswest
    I think they could have got him by going to 50 or so million or guaranteeing that 4th option year.
  11. jorgenswest
    I wish they had done that deal. However I can see the risk. Relievers don’t often have gradual declines. If he is done before the contract is up that empty 16 million is going to hurt the Twins harder than the Cubs. I’ll trade the pain for a pennant this year but the deal can go bad.
  12. jorgenswest
    I wonder how much more money it would have taken for the Twins to win that deal.
  13. jorgenswest
    Is this draft considered weak for first rounders? Do teams still get a comp pick if they don’t sign their first rounder? Would it be to any team’s advantage to have drafted a college bound high schooler and not sign them?
  14. jorgenswest
    I guess it wasn’t only the draft pick keeping teams from signing Keuchel and Kimbrel. As soon as they get their demand in line with the market they will have a contract.
  15. jorgenswest
    Has the John Andreoli transaction been reported? I think he is back in the Seattle organization.
  16. jorgenswest
    The Athletic had a well thought out article today arguing the best landing places are the Rockies for Keuchel and the Cubs for Kimbrel.
  17. jorgenswest
    Left handed batters were 9 for 80 against Chirinos going into the game. I wondered about the Twins line up with 6 left handed hitters. Those left handed hitters had 7 hits against Chirnos. I am glad to see that the Twins aren't swayed by a sample of 80 at bats and I should have known better than to question a line up based on a 9 for 80.
  18. jorgenswest
    I assume they have seen them pitch. Is Kimbrel throwing high 90s or mid 90s? Pay up for the high 90s. Is Keuchel commanding all of his pitches? Does his slider look like the effective slider he had prior to 2018? If so he is a playoff pitcher.
  19. jorgenswest
    Thanks Thrylos. Love your minor leaguer insights. Is there anyone that might be a comp? Numbers sound like Albers but not sure of pitch mix.
  20. jorgenswest
    I hope the Twins are not using slash stats in samples not even close to reliable to determine who is going to be the better hitter going forward.
  21. jorgenswest
    I would set the low bar for respect at “win a playoff series”. The Astros, Red Sox and Yankees get the respect they are due. The Twins need to earn it.
  22. jorgenswest
    Scherzer is 2-5. Looking at his game log I think he would be 9-1 with the Twins.
  23. jorgenswest
    He took a baseball in the mouth pregame.
  24. jorgenswest
    Lewis, Kirilloff and Graterol still have a lot to prove. Lewis and Kirilloff have not shown that they dominate AA. Graterol has just.200 minor league innings in a career starting in 2015. Anyone of them should be available for a pitcher at the top of the rotation.
  25. jorgenswest
    The market will set the return for an ace. It is going to matter more how many teams are in play rather than how much another team was able to get for Sale or Verlander. The Twins can play in this market. Everyone has prospects like their number 4 or greater prospects but having top end prospects in Kirilloff or Lewis can set them apart if the market is competitive.
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