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Trov

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Everything posted by Trov

  1. Trov
    Personally, I do not see why the kid would not sign at slot or just above slot based on a little extra left in pool. His options would be play junior/community college ball for a year and re-enter, or go to 4 year college and wait 3 years. So much can happen in that time. At best he jumps 4 spots and adds a couple mil in the future, at worst he falls several slots and loses much more than he could earn. I am not surprised Boras waited to last min because then he knew how much money the Twins had to work with and playing chicken.
  2. Trov
    Yes, if you offer a contract to a player and they do not sign it, then you get the pick after the one they were drafted in the next draft. However, number 6 next year may not be as good as the number 5 this year, as many say Jenkins would have been 1 in last years draft.
  3. Trov
    The problem with looking to trade either Wallner or Larnach is that neither have much trade value. Left handed corner OF are a dime a dozen. Larnach does have some defense to go with his possible bat, but Wallner is bat only. Neither have shown elite skills so far at MLB level. Both have shown flashes that teams may be willing to take flier on them, but best we get in return is a pen guy or mid-level rental guy most likely. I do not see either headlining a deal that pushes us over the top.
  4. Trov
    I get the thought, but you are making way too many assumptions. First, you assume his difference output versus expected output based on batted ball numbers is mostly based on the LF in Baltimore. The problem with that assumption is even if you look at his last 2 year splits, his numbers are still better in Baltimore than on road. Without more data to show that he has hit many balls that would have been HR in most other ball parks that were outs in Baltimore, it just is assuming that was the case. It is possible there are many other factors that have led to that difference, like great catches, wind knocking down fly balls. Overall, no I am not willing to give up prospects for a part time hitter that may surge in a new place.
  5. Trov
    I am not a fan of half-selling, meaning you only are trading away lower value trade chips. It normally results in lower value returns. For the most part, the players listed in the selling were players on lower value, outside Berrios. Jury still out on SWR and Martin, but their stock is falling fast. However, the rest of the trades are pretty equal or tip in favor of Twins. Ryan and Duran are great, and what we gave up for them were minimal at the time. Selling can bring in big talent, or at minimum supplement what you need. Rarely will a pen guy bring in big returns, but a lottery ticket of a young kid that may develop. Position guys or starter tend to bring in bigger prospects, but there are misses. I see no point in "selling" this year. I could see, if you are sold we can fill the last spot in rotation with some in AAA, trading Gray for the right deal. He is doing well, unlikely to sign with Twins, basing this on some of his comments about how they run things. Being we only need 4 guys in playoffs, if you are sold that the 4 we would most likely have, assuming health, and a good deal is offered, why not pull off what Cleveland has done.
  6. Trov
    I follow the Pirates, because my wife is a huge fan growing up in western PA. Cutch never wanted to be traded from Pittsburgh the first time. Every fan loved when he returned, he was their Puckett of that generation of fans. The fans loved him, he loved the city and the fans. Trading him away a second time would be like a big middle finger to him and the fan base, even if they are in last place. The fans hated he got traded the first time too, even if they got some current players. If they trade Cutch, unless he asks for it, the team will lose any little bit of respect the fans have for the team, or the players have for the team.
  7. Trov
    Really it is the Hardy to Baltimore that was the worst trade, not the Hardy for Gomez. You group 2 trades in as the worst trade, but if you look at the trade of Gomez and Hardy it was not a bad trade. The follow of up sending Hardy away because Twins thought they had a SS coming from Japan was the terrible trade. If we kept Hardy and he produced what he did with Baltimore with Twins we would not say it was a bad trade.
  8. Trov
    Generally these things work themselves out. Assuming all healthy and playing well, Lewis will stay at 3rd and Correa at SS, really Polanco and Julien are the only 2 fighting for playing time. Rotating them and having the other DH from time to time is not a bad idea, but looking to see if Julien can play 1B some games, and moving AK to OF is possible too.
  9. Trov
    The only reason Lee will not be up at AAA soon is they organization feels they cannot find regular playing time at the preferred position they want to get him innings at. In terms of the bat, no reason he should not be moving up.
  10. Trov
    He may not be the most reliable and will not be used in many high leverage situations, but he has show an ability to get outs. Every pitcher has bad days, and really he is normally either really bad, or does just fine this year. I know we worry so much about past outings, but take it one game at time. I would not want him closing games or being regular 8th inning guy, but I am fine with him in games overall.
  11. Trov
    No way do you send down Julien at this point, or take away at-bats. The team loves to rotate around who sits. When Polanco comes up it will most likely be for Wallner. Then Polanco will get at-bats at 2nd and DH. Julien will get at-bats at 2nd and DH, maybe 1B. 3rd will be Salano and Farmer mostly. Buck will get at-bats at DH, but my guess until he starts to heat up, assuming Polanco is hitting like he can, Buck will get much more rest.
  12. Trov
    Turner interests me the most, if we are concerned about Lewis returning healthy this year. You never know with core issues. Even if Lewis does come back fully healthy, Turner could fill in at first, and AK can play OF. Turner also has plenty of deep playoff runs in his experience. If he can be had for a mid-level prospect I would go for it, but I am not giving up a top 10 prospect for him.
  13. Trov
    I would not give up any level of actual prospect for Cron. I get he fills in to hit against lefties, but outside of that he will be taking at bats from overall better hitters. He would be Garlick basically, and I am not a fan of a guy that will only be used to hit against lefties and nothing else.
  14. Trov
    I want to know why generally AK sits against lefties. He has shown some ability to hit against them, and over his short career he has hit better against them than Kepler has, but the team tends to play Kepler of AK against lefties. I would also discount much of AK early numbers being wrist was issue for much of it. I do not know AK's minor numbers against lefties, but he looks like he can sure hit well enough to play against them.
  15. Trov
    I am not opposed to trading him for the right deal, being we have guys that could fill the 5th spot down the stretch, and you do not need 5 guys in playoffs. Gray has been good overall, but at times he throws too many pitches and could have short starts in playoffs. However, I disagree that the reason should be because you expect the team to do terrible in playoffs, if we make it. Yes, our offense has been bad overall, but when you just need to win a few games it only takes a couple of hot hitters to carry an offense. Having top pitching is what teams will want in playoffs, and giving up that simply because you expect a loss pretty much means you never will expect us to win because no team is perfect.
  16. Trov
    E-Rod was coming off injury and missed time for a core muscle issue. If you look at his last 30 games he has an slash line of .245/.409/.434 That is not bad at all. Could it be better sure, but when you look at how he started. He had a great June, and slow start to July, hopefully the break is jump start him again. He also has had only 2 plate appearances against a pitcher younger than him all year.
  17. Trov
    All prospect rankings are good for is looking at how the overall scouting world thinks of the potential of your players. They still need to perform when they come up. You point out Steer, who is having a good rookie year, which may mean he continues to do well, or he slides back to where he was projected to be. Miranda was a higher ranked prospect last year than Steer, but Miranda has been terrible this year. Akil Baddoo never was a high ranked prospect, had a good rookie year and since has been terrible. Slightly better this year than last but overall not a MLB starter. My point is, players can out play their rankings, or they can under play them. Some guys that are ranked high on prospect lists never even make the majors. Guys that are low on lists shoot up after a few years, and guys that are high on lists drop off quickly. You never really know, and things change quickly.
  18. Trov
    I think hitting coaches at the MLB level should be more on just small tweaks to players, and should not look to have full change in approaches of players. I think those changes should be done in the minors, and at the majors you need to fix little things or make little adjustments when pitchers have adjusted to them. I think having a full change of hitting philosophy midseason will also be hard to do. I agree the Twins need to change what they are doing, but asking for a full 180 on what they were doing will be hard.
  19. Trov
    I thought Lewis has now played enough games to not be a "prospect" anymore. He is off the MLB lists.
  20. Trov
    I fully disagree with the article. Sure, Steer has been good for Reds, but there is no evidence to say he would do same here, maybe yes maybe no. Miranda has been terrible, and no one expected that. Lewis was doing just fine, until the new injury issue. We have others in the minors that will come up and will play similar profile to Steer. It is unlikely Steer will be better than all of them, but possible. This year, maybe you can say trading Steer is coming back to bite us, but I do not agree it was a clear mistake to include Steer in a trade.
  21. Trov
    I am glad the FO did not overthink the 5th pick. Every scouting place had 5 top guys and big drop off from there. Sure, everyone could be wrong and the best player maybe some time after 5th, but sounds like the kid should be a good overall player.
  22. Trov
    I was just using Burnes as an example, along with the others. It is possible Burnes will do better leaving Brewers because of the way the team had treated him, but at the same time, it is possible, just like many pitchers, Burnes was at his peak and now downhill. There are many pitchers that have similar career issues, but they continue to get chances. So part of my question is how long do you wait until you just decide they are not who they were but they are who they are now? We signed a guy that people say former cy young guy signed, but that was years ago and has not been very good since. We hope his time at Driveline has change him some and he regained something, but we signed him to minor league deal just to see.
  23. Trov
    Thank you for the complement. I mainly am thinking on we have prospects he let slide for years, or even get moved up despite numbers not great, but maybe they are following the process. However, we have guys that put up good numbers for years, but many say they are not MLB level. Then we have players that make the majors, have 1 or 2 good seasons and then are able to ride out that for years on the what if they can be that again, but some players have a 1 or 2 good seasons then 1 or 2 bad ones and people say they are done. It also seems pitchers will get more time to show they are still good or can be good, than position players. I think that is just from the number of pitchers needed every season.
  24. Trov
    I have never been super high on Max, nor super low. I would go against those that said he is always due for a breakout year, due to low BABIP, and this year without the shift people were saying the BABIP would go up, it did not. However, because of his defense I was willing to deal with him. I want him batting near the bottom overall, but we could do worse.
  25. Trov
    Miranda had started to heat up a little in AAA before we brought him back up. In June he had an OPS of 798. From what I have seen, and not watching him all the time, but he seems to have no plan up there at the plate. He is taking defensive 2 strike swings but with no strikes on him. I do not think he was just a flash in the pan, as he had success in minors. Personally, I think his drop in weight has affected him more than people think. When you are a certain body type for a long time, your body gets used to it. When you change that up quickly, in his case over an offseason, it will take time for the body to adjust again, and when you are talking about fractions of inches making difference in a hit or not when ball hits bat. I do not know if coaching messed with him, or he messed with himself, or some combo, but he needs to get back to having aggressive swings early in counts. I saw him the other day just flip a bat out on a 1-0 pitch rolling soft grounder to 2nd. That type of swing should only be done with 2 strikes. Lewis will be out at least a month, if he does not come back ready to go, we will need to think about an under the radar trade for third as Mirand is nearly unplayable there, and Farmer is not exactly lighting it up. At least Farmer is not sub-par on defense.
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