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MGX

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Everything posted by MGX

  1. MGX
    1. Both teams say No - Boston inquired about Luis Castillo & when the M's asked for Casas in return they backed off. I like Casas a lot & he'd be a big upgrade at 1B, but IMO the Twins can't trade Lopez to make that upgrade happen. 2. The Marlins say no - if they were going to trade Alcantara for prospects they could have already done it while he was rehabbing. He should be ready in the Spring why trade him now unless it's an offer they can't refuse. The offer above isn't that. 3. Both say no - Verlander & Scherzer aren't likely to go to a team that finished 4th in their division & have owners that are unwilling to invest in the team. The Twins won't spend on FA starters, not that they should in this case.
  2. MGX
    Hard pass on this - the last thing we need is another pitcher who can't stay healthy.
  3. MGX
    Casas was injured for a good portion of the season last year. I like Miranda, but if we offered the Red Sox Miranda for Casas they'd laugh & hang up the phone.
  4. MGX
    LOL, the Twins wish this was true.
  5. MGX
    I agree with you on Rojas & would say Austin Hays is another player who could help.
  6. MGX
    If Correa & Arraez are over rated the Twins need a few more over rated (guys who can hit) players on our roster.
  7. MGX
    Bellinger would be an amazing fit for the Twins. If they could get him on a contract structured similar to Correa's original contract that would be perfect. All this talk about RH OF is missing the point - Our position player group already looks good, adding another quality bat (either LH or RH) could give us one of the best groups in the league. If you added Bellinger to our current position player group with the depth in our bullpen & a solid starting staff that would be a team that has a chance to do some damage. Of course actually signing him is another thing entirely, but they should absolutely be trying to sign him. Our projected lineup VS LHP has 8 of 9 players batting RH. Kepler is the only LH bat projected to play vs LHP. Why is there such concern with adding a RH bat?
  8. MGX
    There are many different ways to win ballgames. We don't need to replace Gray's production from '23 IMO because we will be better offensively & have a better bullpen. Sonny had a great year & it would tough to find any available pitcher to replace that production, but it isn't needed to win ballgames. With that said if we add a SP who improves the team that would be great.
  9. MGX
    I guess we'll have to agree to disagree. I'll take anything that will improve our team & either one of those pitchers would immediately be a member of our rotation because they are better than at least one existing option.
  10. MGX
    I'd take Wacha or Lugo in our rotation.
  11. MGX
    I'm guessing the defending champion Texas Rangers see this differently. None of the starters that made big contributions in the post-season were considered "Aces" or "playoff caliber pitchers" going into last season. They made it work with a very good position player group a bullpen that was patched together & some starters who pitched beyond expectations (primarily Eovaldi who has a career ERA of 4.10). The idea that you can add a SP & that will make all the difference in the playoffs is short sighted. Any improvement in your position player group, bullpen or rotation is valuable. It doesn't have to be from one group. This isn't the 60's or 70's where a starter will pitch 3 games in a series & go 8+ innings in each start. Those days are long gone & that means all three areas are of similar value in terms generating Wins. IMO a strong position player group holds the most value of the three.
  12. MGX
    Of course we'd all like one of those options, but Polanco wasn't enough to bring in either. While this isn't an exciting trade it is a solid trade. I disagree with the idea put forth in the writeup that this hurts our '24 team. Our #1 need this off-season was SP depth. This trade provides a MLB capable starter even if we were hoping for better than him & a solid BP arm along with a couple of prospects.
  13. MGX
    Interesting, overall, the odds seems reasonable. IMO the AL Central is a better division this year & I expect improvement from Kansas City, Cleveland & especially Detroit. Detroit had a similar season to the Twins last year... At the end of July the Twins were 41-42 & the Tigers were 35-46. Both teams played much better over the final 3 months the Twins 46-33 & the Tigers 43-38. The Twins will need to improve from within as we haven't added much to our roster & both the Royals & Tigers have. The good news is our young core group of position players have the talent to do that along with a bounce back season from Correa & Buxton (he may only play 80 games, but if he hits closer to his career norms that would be a boost) could make this a very good offensive team. With Gray gone our starting pitching isn't likely to be as good, but a much better offense & hopefully an improved bullpen (may be our biggest question mark to start) can get us to another title.
  14. MGX
    Of course Arraez would be a great add for the Twins, there isn't a team in the league couldn't use his bat. The question is what would he cost? I suspect the Marlins would expect a return bigger than the one they gave to get him & that likely wouldn't work for the Twins.
  15. MGX
    Thanks for the writeup it's interesting to see where Ryan & Ober rank compared starting pitchers viewed as trade targets. It also highlights the fact that needing "an Ace" to win in the playoffs is a myth. If you have a strong position player group & a strong bullpen with solid starters that is a recipe for success. IMO the rotation should be Lopez, Ryan & Ober & then add a depth starter to join Paddack & Varland. If we go this route the pitcher can be added via free agency or a trade with a more reasonable cost. This allows us to keep our young core of position players to develop.
  16. MGX
    He started using a 3rd pitch last year, a sweeper.
  17. MGX
    I really like Hicks, wish the Twins would have signed him first. He added a 3rd pitch last year ( a sweeper to go with his 4 -seamer & sinker) & had great results down the stretch with Toronto. His BB/9 was down 3 while with the Jays. Throughout his career so far he has consistently generated a lot of ground balls resulting in an excellent .5 HR/9. His top tier stuff makes it very hard to get hits(6.8/9). Now if he starts limiting BB's as he did at the end of last year it could be a huge breakout for him.
  18. MGX
    Julien 2023 0 OAA at 2b, including +5 OAA over the last 3 months of the season Polanco 2021 -2 OAA at 2b, 2022 -9 OAA at 2b & 2023 -5 OAA at 2b. I'm not sure why you think Polanco is the better defensive 2b.
  19. MGX
    I see this stated a lot on this site & it may be true. Just curious if anyone has looked at actual trades (not BTV) & found this to be true? I'm not sure either way, just curious.
  20. MGX
    I wouldn't look to trade either one unless there is an overwhelming offer. In your writeup on Julien you mention his OAA at 2b as -3. I believe this is incorrect, he finished at 0 OAA. In fact the last three months of the season he posted +5 OAA after having a rough start the first three months.
  21. MGX
    Fair points, agree with most of what you said. Where I differ is in his value even with the control problems. In 2022 his walk rate was high at 11.2 % & yet he proved to be very effective over 14 starts. In 2023 with the 15.2% BB rate his ERA was almost identical to Maeda & we gave him 20 starts last year so I think Cabrera would be a boost to our rotation. I agree with you it would be nice to get a pitcher who is a legit Cy Young candidate to replace Sonny, but that appears unlikely.
  22. MGX
    I agree on the concerns with Cabrera, but if we can make a deal straight up for Polanco or something close to it the Twins should consider it. Initially, Cabrera adds rotation depth with a lot of upside(if his control improves). That is exactly what we need for '24 - added depth in the rotation. As you pointed out he had a 15.2% walk rate & yet still pitched to a respectable 4.24 ERA. His career walk rate has been 14% & yet his career ERA is 4.01 so he has been a productive starter in spite of the high walk rate. There is some serious potential there & if he doesn't improve the control he's proven he can still be effective or possibly moved to the BP eventually. He is inexpensive salary wise & in trade value, a great fit for our situation. In other words the ideal buy low player with high end potential. We're not getting a SP at the level of Snell or Montgomery in FA's because of the salary they will command & in trade a Gilbert, Kirby or Luzardo are unlikely to be traded & if they are the trade cost will be substantial.
  23. MGX
    I'm very high on Julien's potential. As noted above he has tremendous discipline, but needs to improve with two strikes & hitting LHP. After being labeled as a bat only or bat first player & then seeing the vast improvement with his play at 2B last year (1st 3 months -5 OAA & last three months +5 OAA) I'm confident he will improve the areas noted & become even a better hitter. He looks like a top 3 hitter in our lineup & appears to be past the initial lack of comfort & feel for playing 2B.
  24. MGX
    Payroll really shouldn't be an issue. We're already down quite a bit from last year & even a signing or two in that range wouldn't get us back to last years level. Additionally, if we do trade Polanco for say prospects that just about pays for Clevinger's salary right there.
  25. MGX
    I like both, with that said IMO Luzardo's value is inflated on the trade values site so I'd prefer the Twins to go after Cabrera.
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