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MGX

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Everything posted by MGX

  1. MGX
    Not interested. Trading Ober for a player like Lawler who at least potentially addresses SS is something that makes sense. I keep seeing SWR/Ober coming up in these articles as if they're of the same value? SWR is a developing SP who who was the best starter on the staff last September. IMO it's a good idea to see if he is taking a step forward prior to moving him. If we can get something useful for Ober I'm all for it & then we can get another younger starter in the rotation.
  2. MGX
    I don't know if he is on notice, but he sure isn't acting like it this off-season. If he were we'd be pushing to put a competitive team on the field. At the deadline we traded expiring contracts which is fine, but then we traded players with control beyond 2025 in our bullpen & at SS. If you're serious about competing wouldn't those be the two areas to address immediately? To this point we've addressed the bullpen with Eric Orze, The void at SS is being addressed by Brooks Lee & his 75 wRC+ along with at best below average D at a key defensive position. As others have said all we can do is hope there is more change coming as unlikely as that seems.
  3. MGX
    I'm not challenging this just an honest question - how & why would a team manipulate OAA? Overall, I agree that we still need to concerned with Bell's defense though I think he'll see some time at DH & will be removed late in games for D. Playing your 2B out of position to help your 1B doesn't improve overall team D even if it helps the 1B. Especially, when you have a young 2B still learning his position.
  4. MGX
    I get that his xwOBA looks good & that he had a resurgence in the 2nd half last season. He may hit for us, but why spend 7M of the 20M they supposedly have on someone who gives the team very little incremental gain. Clemens & Larnach the two players who he'll be in competition with for PA's are a lot like him offensively & Clemens is clearly better defensively at 1B. As I mentioned above we might think they're going to trade Larnach, but how does that help? Again, they're similar hitters & Bell is being paid over 2M more than what Larnach is likely to get. We have a glaring need in the bullpen & at SS so spending 1/3 of our budget on this doesn't seem like a good fit. It just doesn't make sense to me, but as @jorgenswest said he is a Twin now so we have to hope those numbers indicate a big step forward in offensive production.
  5. MGX
    My biggest issue with this signing is based on what we've heard about our budget - we just spent nearly 1/3 of what was available & there isn't much incremental gain... - Clemens OPS'd .782 vs RHP & shouldn't be used vs LHP - is a good defensive 1B - Bell OPS'd .804 vs RHP & .552 vs LHP - he's been more balanced in his career & maybe he gets back to that - is a poor defensive 1B So maybe there thinking use him as a DH vs RHP & 1B vs LHP - Larnach OPS'd .759 vs RHP & .608 vs LHP so Larnach sits vs RHP??? So maybe they trade Larnach for whatever we can get which may make sense except Larnach is expected to make less than 5M & we're paying Bell 7M. With all of that said the two biggest issues for this team in 2026 remain - Bullpen & SS. We've spent 1/3 of what seems to be our budget, created more questions & failed to address the two areas most in need of help.
  6. MGX
    From the list I like O'Hearn, he's a legitimate middle of the order bat (9th among 1B in wRC+ in 2025) & plays good D at 1B. Other than that Lowe is a cheaper option that could have a bounce back year. If not one of those two we may as well just get a utility player who consistenly hits LHP & have him platoon with Clemens.
  7. MGX
    Good point, The biggest need on this team is fixing the bullpen, so that needs to happen first & then find a SS whether it's through FA or trade. Kim isn't my first choice, but if it's possible I believe he would be an upgrade at SS. The bigger issue is we haven't done anything yet in an off-season where we should be busy. No offense to Eric Orze, who may work out fine, but we need a lot more help in the bullpen & the front office needs to get to work or it becomes clear they're not trying to compete. Actions speak louder than words & Falvey & Co. are a little short on actions to this point.
  8. MGX
    I keep seeing suggestions to move Lee to another position. My question is why is he considered a starter at all when hasn't earned it. @Riverbrian pointed out in a previous post it's a good thing too have too much talent & that would be a nice problem to have. That's never going to happen if we give starting jobs to players who haven't earned it. Don't get me wrong I'm still hoping Lee shows improvement, but he hasn't earned a starting role to this point. The OP pointed out a possible solution & to me it's an acceptable risk that Kim can provide an upgrade at SS.
  9. MGX
    It's a creative idea that could work. I'd like to see Keaschall get a chance at 2B, he has the athleticism to play up the middle & after a healthy off-season we should see what he can do there for at least a few months. With that said the idea of signing/trading for a starting SS like Kim is a worthy gamble. I like Brooks Lee, but IMO he hasn't earned a starting role on this team so why move people around to give him one. He can get plenty of playing time as a utility player to see if he can earn a starting role.
  10. MGX
    Obviously it depends on what else needs to be included with Royce to get Abrams. If this is a possibility the Twins should listen. The Nats allowed the 2nd most runs/game last season & would certainly welcome some pitching. Is something like Lewis, Ober & Debarge enough to make a deal happen?
  11. MGX
    How are people critical of this trade??? The Twins weren't going to use this pick at all & now they have an additional prospect in their system & probably just as important there is no impact on either 40 or 26 man rosters. It doesn't matter what anyone thinks of his future value, we'd have zero value without this trade.
  12. MGX
    I'd say 3 of those guys will still be in the bullpen - Adams/Ohl may end up shuttling back and forth. I agree with your point though they need to upgrade the bullpen. Another off-season where they just try to piece it together won't work. They claim they want to add a bat as well, we'll see.
  13. MGX
    Fair point, they were bad in June & July as well. They weren't as bad as the last two months, but still below .500. The bottom line is if they don't upgrade the bullpen they won't have a competitive season.
  14. MGX
    I'd like to see the Twins select Peter Heubeck from the Dodgers.
  15. MGX
    The offensive production didn't change much over the last two months. Over the course of the season the Twins averaged just over 4 runs/game, in the last two months they averaged just over 4 runs/game. Our bullpen was the issue & that's not a surprise when you look at who pitched - Erasmo Ramirez, Jose Urena, Genesis Cabrera, Brooks Kriske, Noah Davis, Thomas Hatch, Travis Adams, Pierson Ohl, Michael Tonkin, Sands & Topa.
  16. MGX
    I follow both the Twins & the Dodgers & when Outman came up in '23 he did well, but continued to strikeout at a high rate. His strikeout rates have increased to even higher rates, just doesn't make enough contact. The Dodgers AAA team plays in the PCL, & offensive numbers are always inflated from that league. You can't disregard the numbers, but I always look at what the player AA as well if they played in the PCL. The bottom line is I don't see how Outman makes the Opening day roster unless he somehow corrects his strikeout problems (2024 - 35.3% & 2025 - 42.6%) while continuing to hit the ball out of the park at a decent rate. Highly unlikely IMO.
  17. MGX
    The 57 win clip after the deadline is kind of meaningless considering who pitched for the Twins out of the bullpen. I'm not saying I think they are or aren't an 80 win team right now, but Fangraphs projected an 82 win team & while I don't agree with that completely the biggest discrepancy I saw was Brooks Lee whom they have as the starting SS & earning 2 WAR. Even if he is at 0 WAR & there off on a couple others they still likely project to a 75-80 win team currently.
  18. MGX
    So trade a starter who is clearly part of our rotation & was the best pitcher on the staff in September for a prospect who has proven nothing at the MLB level & has suffered multiple leg injuries over the past couple of seasons when one of his primary sources of value is athleticism, No thanks.
  19. MGX
    It's a valid concern & if you're right & they were to view him as a platoon bat then I'd prefer spending the money elsewhere.
  20. MGX
    In my payroll blueprint O'Hearn is the 1B I wanted for the following reasons... - Good defensive 1B - Most importantly, no need to platoon as he handles LHP. - Frees up Clemens to be a utility player where IMO he provides the most value to the team. I'd really like to O'Hearn as our 1B. One interesting note is O'Hearn did very little until his age 29 season primarily because of lack of opportunity, but has been very good since. Clemens did very little until his age 29 season primarily because of lack of opportunity & then had a solid season. There are other similarities as well, to this point the primary difference is O'Hearn has shown he can handle LHP while Clemens hasn't.
  21. MGX
    The team that played at a 57 win clip featured a bullpen consisting of names like - Erasmo Ramirez, Jose Urena, Genesis Cabrera, Noah Davis, Brooks Kriske, Thomas Hatch, should I go on. Apologies, but I'm not putting much stock in that 57 win clip the last two months. With that said they can't completely rely on Sands & converted starters to fill that void. They may get a couple of successes, but signing at least one proven high leverage reliever would help a lot. If they won't even do that then it's hard to believe they truly have a plan to compete this season.
  22. MGX
    McLean in in 2023 was struggling in college ball, in 2024 was ok in AA. Now he had a great 2025 which culminated in 48 IP at the MLB level. The Mets may be so high on him they won't trade him for anyone & that's fine. There is no way for you or anyone else to know if any other team would trade McLean for Ryan. Obviously, as a fan my opinion doesn't matter, but if I were in Falvey's shoes there is no way I'd trade Ryan for McLean straight up.
  23. MGX
    Agree with your post & wanted to add to this. Wallner's so called "bad" season in 2025 wasn't really that bad. It's true he finished with a wRC+ of 114 which is the lowest he produced since his debut season (2023 141 & 2024 154). In 2025 Wallner had more than twice as many PA's vs LHP & responded with a .790 OPS vs LHP. Overall, his production was down some, but he also took a step towards becoming a FT player.
  24. MGX
    If the Twins trade Joe Ryan they need to set the price for each team that inquires. The Twins/Falvey have the leverage & they need use it. For example if the Mets are truly interested in Ryan & the Twins want McLean in return & the Mets say no then Falvey needs to say ok. The worst thing that can happen is moving your best trade asset & letting the other team set the price. If no one will give you the price you asking for keep Ryan. With that said there are a lot of teams that need starting pitching not just the east coast teams we always hear about. The Twins need to explore all possibilities for any trades they may make this off-season. As an example the A's are loaded with the type of players we could use & they have a need for starting pitching.
  25. MGX
    That's funny I just read on a Mets blog the following proposal... To Mets: Tarik Skubal To Tigers: David Peterson, Jett Williams & Brandon Sproat lol
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