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MGX

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Everything posted by MGX

  1. MGX
    On Wallner I could see them letting someone else being the LHB vs LHP (36 PA's - .152.222/.273 - .495 OPS). I like that he was given a chance to hit LHP's, but it wouldn't be a bad thing to give some of those opportunities to Larnach to see how he does. I don't think a roster move is at all likely, nor should it be. When we start facing a normal amount of RHP's he'll be more productive. The one thing I'd really like to see from Wallner is a willingness to adjust his approach with 2 strikes. All hitters struggle with 2 strikes, but he's only 5-43 with 4 BB's. That's obviously a SSS, but he has always struggled a lot more than the average hitter with two strikes (career OPS of .424 in over 600 PA's). Conversely, any time he's ahead in the count he produces - 1.084 career OPS in almost 400 PA's.
  2. MGX
    A lot of early season over reactions. I don't expect great things from Banda, but he's had 9 outings - 5 good results, 1 where gave up 1 run in an inning & his last three have been awful. We want more consistency from our bullpen for sure. but we just finished the 1st half of April. Over the last two seasons Banda appeared in 119 games including 3 starts for The WS champs & pitched well. I'd give him a little more time before deciding to cut him loose. The comments further above on SWR are an even bigger over reaction. He's had 4 starts - 2 good & 2 not so good. In the two bad starts he created his own issues, but the defense behind him didn't help either. In his career he's made 55 starts & pitched to a reasonable level of success. Removing him from the rotation in mid-April would make no sense at all.
  3. MGX
    Certainly the 2026 Twins would be better with Correa. I don't know if that means we should have kept him. A trade for some value instead of a straight up salary dump would have been better, but maybe that wasn't possible.
  4. MGX
    The Twins won this trade the second it was completed. I have no idea if Bradley will continue to be this good, but if you can get a 24 year old starting pitcher who already has started 94 games & been reasonably successful considering how young he was when making those starts & the tough hitters in his division in exchange for a 30 year old who failed as a starter & had 1 very good season as reliever with the rest of his seasons being inconsistent. That's a win every time.
  5. MGX
    In 2025 the average start in MLB was barely over 5 innings. The Twins were right in line with this. This is how the game is played now & isn't exclusive to the Twins.
  6. MGX
    1. As you mentioned Austin Martin, who IMO should be the primary LF & not a short side platoon. 2. SWR & Bradley both had solid 1st outings 3. Surprisingly half of the bullpen has had successful outings to this point - Banda, Rogers, Orze & Sands in his lone appearance 4. A couple of other hitters who have produced in their limited opportunities - Larnach & Gray Definitely need more hitters to create some bright spots going forward.
  7. MGX
    Just denying what numbers clearly say isn't adding context. I guess you just dislike Wallner for whatever reason. To me he has been a productive offensive player. It seems you don't agree so we'll just have to agree to disagree.
  8. MGX
    All I did was post actual numbers, if you don't agree with the numbers fine.
  9. MGX
    Interesting numbers to look at... Cal Raleigh had a record setting season & produced 161 wRC+ in 2025. He started his career in 2021 & his career wRC+ is 125. In 2026 he's off to a slow start with a 44 wRC+ & a 54.2% K rate. Matt Wallner had his least productive season & still managed a 114 wRC+ in 2025. His career started in 2022 & his career wRC+ is 131. In 2026 he's off to a slow start with a 95 wRC+ & a 29.4% K rate. James Wood played his first full season in 2025 posting a 127 wRC+. Started his career in 2024 & his career wRC+ is 125. He's off to a slow start in 2026 with a 73 wRC+ & 44% K rate. My guess is Mariners & Nationals fans aren't at all concerned about the slow starts for Raleigh & Wood.
  10. MGX
    The numbers tell a different story... Matt Wallner Career numbers RISP - .257/.382/.509 - .890 OPS RISP w/2 outs - .278/.409/.600 - 1.009 OPS Runners on base - .261/.373/.463 - .880 OPS No runners on base - .209/.323/.463 - .786 OPS
  11. MGX
    If there is a Red flag for Lewis it's his overall performance after July of the '24 season. A SSS that is concerning is the last two months of last season. His Spring numbers carry little weight for me, but there is definitely concern. The real season is here & he needs to step it up & at least be a league average hitter & hopefully better.
  12. MGX
    Exactly, the only thing I'd add is Martin produced those type of number VS MLB pitching while Roden did it in Spring Training. Don't get me wrong Roden probably should the 4th OF & as stated in the article the only reason he isn't is because of poor roster construction. Let's hold off on acting he's been robbed of potentially a starting OF role until he proves he can hit MLB pitching.
  13. MGX
    If Bradley was in the Twins organization during his age 22-24 year old seasons they would have been spent in minors. Instead he's been holding his own (4.38 FIP) in a division with a lot of good hitters & hitters parks as a young pitcher. It's easy to see why Bradley & SWR have the inside track over Zebby & Abel. I hoping for great results from both Zebby & Abel, but it isn't a bad thing if one of them spends some time in AAA. As others have mentioned my biggest concern on this staff is Ober.
  14. MGX
    Outman's Spring training stats look nice - .318/.407/.591 with about 33% K rate - the problem is who has he been facing. If you use the Opponent quality metric on BBRef it looks like the opposing pitchers are slightly above AA level. We already knew Outman could hit AA pitching - his career AA slash - .293/.385/.539 with about a 33% K rate. I'm not sure how much has changed. I follow the Dodgers closely like the Twins & when he first came up in '23 he had a nice season, but the K rate was worrisome even back then. Since then when facing MLB pitching it's only gone up ('24 - 35.3 & in '25 - 42.6). Maybe he made some adjustments that can help, but I'm not sure to this point facing AA level pitching is offering much proof that has happened. I'd like to see him do well, but have a tough time buying it at this point. Combine that with a very crowded OF picture thanks to poor roster management & he seems like a very odd fit for this team.
  15. MGX
    Austin Martin has earned a chance to be the primary LF to start the season. Looking at Spring stats isn't very useful IMO, I'd rather look at what players have done during the regular season. Agree with the bench DJL has above just noting that I hope they go with Roden over Outman as the 4th OF.
  16. MGX
    I follow both the Twins & the Dodgers & can say nothing appears to be different. In '23 it was a nice season, but since then it has been a continual struggle at the plate. In '23 his K% was 31.9% & was already discussed as something he needed to improve. Since then it's been worse - '24 - 35.3% & in '25 - 42.6%. Additionally, he is a poor fit for this team as there multiple options to fill his potential role of 4th OF. Why would any team keep Outman over players like Roden, G Gonzalez & especially E Rod. We need to find out what we have in those young players whereas we know what we have in Outman & at this point it's not good enough to make an MLB roster.
  17. MGX
    The signing of Bell just doesn't make any sense. We already had players to play 1B vs RHP & a FT DH. All they needed was a utility IF who could hit LHP & cover 1B. Clemens should start vs RHP & maybe Caratini vs LHP, unless they can fit Wagaman on the team. This roster is a mess. We had two holes that needed to be filled - bullpen & SS & yet we spend, what 14 million on a DH & a backup C.
  18. MGX
    I sure hope the Twins give Martin a fair shot at starting in LF, he earned it down the stretch last season. Why waste an opportunity to develop a FT player by turning him into a platoon player. I'm all for platoons when they make sense, but to me Martin should get a chance at being the primary LF.
  19. MGX
    Austin Martin earned +3 OAA in LF in only 28 starts.
  20. MGX
    You may end up being right, but Josh Naylor stole 30 on 32 attempts last year & if Keaschall has a 65 grade speed then Naylor is likely a 45. Instincts play a big role in SB's.
  21. MGX
    Career numbers - Matt Wallner & Trevor Larnach 2 outs, RISP - Wallner - 109 PA's - .281/.413/.607 - 1.020 OPS Larnach - 196 PA's - .275/.383/.419 - .802 OPS any outs, RISP - Wallner 222 PA's - .260/.383/.514 - .897 OPS Larnach - 435 PA's - .255/.343/.401 - .744 OPS runners on base - Wallner 392 PA's - .264/.372/.512 - .885 OPS Larnach - 742 PA's - .255/.331/.413 - .743 OPS Wallner is a more productive hitter in any situation with runners on base. I think Larnach is a solid hitter, but so far in their careers Wallner has been better.
  22. MGX
    For his career he has 109 PA's with 2 outs & RISP. He's produced a 1.020 OPS in those situations. If you like all RISP situations regardless of outs, he's produced an .897 OPS in 222 PA's. If you like anytime there are runners on base, he's produced an 885 OPS 392 PA's. Any way you slice it he produces. Saying he's a stat padder is just inaccurate.
  23. MGX
    Trevor Larnach career wRC+ 103 VS Alan Roden career wRC+ 56 Roden could certainly develop into a hitter like Larnach or possibly be even better & I hope he does. He hasn't proven anything above AAA to this point. It seems to me they are very much on a different level currently.
  24. MGX
    Teams should try to find the best matchups. With that said if the Twins turn Austin Martin into a short-side platoon that's a big mistake. If they turn Keaschall into a short side platoon that would be ridiculous. These two both earned the chance to prove they are primary players in the lineup. In regard to Keaschall he was much, much better vs RHP (.514 OPS vs LHP - .975 OPS vs RHP) so I can't see how they could think about forcing him into a short side platoon situation. Even in Martin's situation where he was better VS LHP it shouldn't give him a chance to follow up on what he last season. When you only have 13 position players on the roster you can only rely on so many platoons, so use them where they're needed not with players like Martin & Keaschall who have earned the chance to prove they can be primary players.
  25. MGX
    Not interested. Trading Ober for a player like Lawler who at least potentially addresses SS is something that makes sense. I keep seeing SWR/Ober coming up in these articles as if they're of the same value? SWR is a developing SP who who was the best starter on the staff last September. IMO it's a good idea to see if he is taking a step forward prior to moving him. If we can get something useful for Ober I'm all for it & then we can get another younger starter in the rotation.
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