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MGX

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Everything posted by MGX

  1. MGX
    I don't think a team should ever just decide they need to trade quality players. If we get an offer for either one that blows us away that needs to be considered. If you go into the off-season with the idea that we need to trade one or both you've already given away the negotiating leverage. The FO needs to be able to say "No" to any offers in order to negotiate a deal that would be worth trading either one. One other note Pablo Lopez making 21 million or whatever isn't an expensive contract. Quality SP's in MLB are worth at least that so lets say he's expensive, he's not.
  2. MGX
    We give up so many hits on grounders where you expect an infielder to be, it's amazing. I don't know who handles IF positioning, but they need to adjust the strategy.
  3. MGX
    If Baltimore is seeking a return that corresponds with his '22-'23 production then No thanks. If they're valuation is close to his '24-'25 then maybe depending on the direction of the team. As it stands now the Twins need to search for diamonds in the rough more than big name players. Speaking of the Orioles I believe they just DFA'd Roansy Contreras who is still an interesting pitcher & only 25. The bottom line is until there is a plan in place that says we're competing in '26 trading for players like Rutschman seems unrealistic.
  4. MGX
    The bottom line is we traded a 30 year old inconsistent reliever for a 24 year old SP who already has 350+ solid IP in MLB. Who knows how it will work out, but the Twins need to make that trade every day.
  5. MGX
    They obviously can compete in '26, but it's hard to imagine it actually happening. The issue is we have the same owners, front office & on field management. Until these things change, I have my doubts we'll see the type of team Twins fans would like. The value of the playoff win in '23 should have been about momentum & building something bigger, but the owners stopped that momentum cold. For decades the Pohlads have proven they have no interest in trying to put a winning team on the field. Under Falvey-Baldelli leadership we've seen no indication that they can bring in/develop enough talent to build a winning team. For me it's not worth it to dive into specifics until these things change.
  6. MGX
    To answer this or any other question regarding the Twins current or future status you have to look at how this team is managed from Ownership, to front office to the on field manager. The way things look right now nothing is changing with those three areas so the type of team that is put on the field won't change either. Sadly until those things change we'll see the same type of team as we've seen for roughly the last 10 seasons. To answer the question - Will payroll be over or under 100 million. The Pohlads haven't changed in decades so why would they change now. I'll guess under 100 million.
  7. MGX
    This team could easily compete in '26... If the Pohlads had sold the team & the new owners were invested in building a good team. Since that didn't happen we have a lot of question marks... while I like the Starting pitching we have currently the speculation that Lopez will be traded feels like a very real possibility. It's possible maybe even Ryan. Another part of that is will Falvey actually push other teams for the absolute best offer & most importantly if he doesn't get that offer be willing to say no. The lineup has plenty of questions starting with SS - Brooks Lee is getting every chance to claim that spot, but his offensive production is lacking at this point. Royce Lewis is an even bigger question mark to me. He has a long swing & yet he still tries to pull everything. That is correctable, but why is it still an issue when he's been in the organization this long. There are other big questions to - who pairs with Jeffers behind the plate? The bottom line is the position player group needs plenty of work. With all that said it's possible that they could still be competitive in '26, but there are a lot questions to find the right answer between now & next spring & nothing has changed with the management of this team from the Owners to the FO to the on field manager so it makes it hard to imagine things changing much.
  8. MGX
    As much as I'd hate to see those trades, if it meant the Pohlads were gone I'd be ok with it.
  9. MGX
    How is Gasper in the game.
  10. MGX
    It's easy to tear into someone when there gone. Here are some facts about the 4 seasons Correa spent here... - in 2 of the 4 seasons he was the most valuable player on the team in terms of WAR - in 2023 when he had a down season we won the division & he hit over .400 in the playoffs Everyone is entitled to their opinion & can blame Correa if they want. For me the owners, front office & the manager are more responsible for the lack of team success over the last 4 seasons than any one player could be.
  11. MGX
    You wrote - "We knew the lineup would be less than the sum of its parts—and I’d argue that’s been a defining feature of the Correa era." I would offer the following edit of this line - We knew the lineup would be less than the sum of its parts—and I’d argue that’s been a defining feature of the Falvey-Baldelli era.
  12. MGX
    When your talking about a young player with less than 600 PA's at the MLB level the numbers aren't the only thing that matters. I'm certainly not going to say Lee is the starting SS going forward & that's it, but he is the starting SS for the rest of this season. We don't have to guess at how he'll do, we're going to see it everyday. If there isn't a noticeable improvement on offense the issue will take care of itself. Someone else will step up & take the job from him whether it comes from inside (Culpepper) or outside.
  13. MGX
    I'm not going to say Lee is the answer at SS, because has a lot left to prove, but lets give the guy a chance. I agree with what you said about his lack of athleticism & yet when you watch him at SS he looks solid. The Lee - Keaschall double play combo has looked surprisingly good in there limited time playing together. That being said the bat hasn't produced to this point & that needs to get better. For now there really isn't another option so lets see what he does with this opportunity. If the offense isn't better by the end of the season then SS is a question mark for next year. Either way many may be surprised that the post deadline Twins are more entertaining than the pre-deadline Twins.
  14. MGX
    I can agree with you on the Stewart trade, just doesn't fit. The Varland trade looks like a good trade & the Jax trade could be a very good trade. A 24 yr old SP whose held his own in MLB since he was 22 for 30 yr old reliever who first found success as a 27 yr old after not cutting as a starter sounds like a deal I'd take every day.
  15. MGX
    The only trade that was questionable was the Stewart trade since Outman (I follow the Dodgers & I liked him when he debuted) seems to be a poor fit. I don't think we should have expected a big return for Stewart, but we should have found a better fit in that deal. The other deals all look good to me. I've seen a lot of complaints on some of the deals like the Varland deal, but that looks like a good trade for the Twins & the Jax deal seems to be a very good trade for the Twins & yet you see many complaints about that as well. I think many on this site were unrealistic about what relief pitchers were going to return. In the Duran trade Falvey could have held out for Painter & he gave in when he should have had the leverage, but I like our return in that deal. Painter could end up being great, but he's already had an arm injury & his comeback hasn't gone to plan for the Phillies. In the spring Dombrowski said he expected him to be up by July & he is still in AAA struggling with a 4.88 ERA. Meanwhile, Mick Abel seemed to be out of the Phillies plans after tough '24 & wasn't going to be given anything. He went out & dominated at AAA got a promotion to the show & had a few good outings before getting hit a bit & needed to back down to work on some things. Since then he has been pitching great at AAA. We also received a legit prospect in Tait who we wouldn't have gotten if Painter was in the deal. In the end all that matters is do we like the trades & for me that is a Yes, with the exception of the Stewart trade.
  16. MGX
    There were some trades that didn't seem to fit. With that said one of the trades that people seemingly dislike is the the Jax for Bradley trade. IMO that is a win for the Twins. If you can trade a 30 yr old reliever (don't get me wrong I liked Jax) for a 24 yr old SP who has already in his young career has 100+ IP in each of the last 3 seasons for a total of 354 IP & has been a solid SP at the MLB level, that is a win. There is still every reason to believe he can be even better, but even the results he's produced to this point is more than fair value for Jax IMO.
  17. MGX
    It's a reasonable return for a rental player like Bader. As someone mentioned above Mendez is 21 & hitting at AA so that's a positive. A lottery ticket pitcher along with him seems about right for Bader.
  18. MGX
    When evaluating the Dodgers trade it's a big assumption to think Rushing is a solution at C. He's more likely to end up being a corner OF, so we'd really be betting on his bat.
  19. MGX
    Sell the expiring contracts.
  20. MGX
    Trade Joe Ryan arguably our best pitcher for an OF where we have capable players already. Hard pass.
  21. MGX
    I'm not sure if Gasper is the answer, but can agree that Keirsey doesn't belong on a ML roster at this point in his career.
  22. MGX
    The answer is NO... Kody Clemens 2022 - 127 PA's - 39 WRC+ 2023 - 148 PA's - 73 WRC+ 2024 - 120 PA's - 92 WRC+ 2025 - 106 PA's - 137 WRC+ Looks to me more like consistent improvement. Is he likely to maintain a 137 WRC+, of course not. He has however shown enough improvement to continue getting PA's. His underlying numbers show he is hitting the ball harder & with more frequency. Combine that with a career low K rate & a career high BB rate. I'd say he deserves continued playing time for now.
  23. MGX
    I agree that is likely what will happen, but there is good reason to keep him up for an extended look & send Keirsey down. All the speculation & predictive stats can't tell us whether or not he has the ability to hit MLB pitching. The only way to know that is to let him face MLB pitching.
  24. MGX
    The Twins have struggled to start the year & yet we're 4 games better than the O's in the standings. If these two teams match up on a trade it should be the Twins sending a prospect for someone who can help at the MLB level. Trading Joe Ryan for a prospect(s) makes no sense.
  25. MGX
    Considering Bride's platoon OPS splits in his career (.529 vs LHP & .714 vs RHP) you'd think an analytical manager would play him vs RHP. Especially after 2024 which was his best season & his splits were even more one sided (.645 / .915).
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