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JD-TWINS

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Everything posted by JD-TWINS

  1. JD-TWINS
    $138M source??? Cody says it in paragraph 4 above & Jon Becker says it in a tweet above………just assuming that between them they are at least close. Is Witt getting $$ this year that may not be in your total yet?
  2. JD-TWINS
    The Royals spent $92.5M in ‘23 & had Zack Grienke in their rotation last year…..that’s embarrassing. They have a great young guy that they need to push into Stardom locally for fan interest, they invested, and they brought in $45M in OK Free Agents to help. They’ve elevated to $138.5M & with some fiscal uncertainty the Twins have gone from $154M back to $124M as of today…………one signing or trade over next 5 weeks & our roster is even more superior. I don’t think spending randomly when you have a solid roster makes sense. Doubt that the FO is on vacation after the Santana signing.
  3. JD-TWINS
    They got better and more stable with Lugo - Wacha - Smith on their staff………they have the kid they got from Texas, he’s apparently top of rotation talent. Pitching is the start - Bobby Witt can’t score 4 runs a game but they’re better. Agree!!…………Hunter Renfroe & Adam Frazier aren’t going to propel them to the Division title.
  4. JD-TWINS
    It’s February 5th…….not in favor of trading our roster for their’s I assume? Just signed Correa for $35M per year 12 months ago……..,we’ll have to pay Lewis - Jeffers - etc. - etc., numerous pitchers, over the next 2-5 years. Still have an opportunity to solidify the Staff before the end of Spring Training. Everyone needs to calm down.
  5. JD-TWINS
    Gotta ACT!…………..or it will be……….”couldn’t get anything done” because other Teams wanted too high a price in trades. He’s the best FA available if Montgomery can’t be signed - right?
  6. JD-TWINS
    Snell’s ask is 9 years at $30M….. not 1 year at $30M. He turned down 6 years at $30M from Yankees. Montgomery’s ask is $25M for 6 years …….these statements have been published. ………………… I’d like to try and sign Montgomery for 5 years at $26M and let him have option after 3 years. Gives him security & independence later in the deal. Worst case, Clevinger for 2 years at $16M to stabilize the Staff.
  7. JD-TWINS
    Just saw that on Athletic’s “All-underrated Team” that Max is in RF & Jeffers is behind the plate……….view from a theoretical Outside Source. Nice to see - fingers crossed.
  8. JD-TWINS
    Am on similar page - Lee’s best spot has been openly discussed as 3B. Lewis is better athlete. Seems that physically, 3B is more demanding. To get the BATS in the line-up going forward, to me, Lewis in LF & Wallner in RF could stand up for 5 years starting in ‘25 at the latest. If Kepler is moved & Wallner assumes RF, Team can piece together LF with Gordon/Larnach/Martin/Castro for 2-3 months until Lee might be ready. $10M of Max’s salary goes a long way in signing a pitcher!
  9. JD-TWINS
    Turning down the qualifying offer, to me, would be crazy for Max. Almost as bad as offering it to a 32 year old, with OF guys in the Wings. If he hits .275 or better with 22 HR he probably gets an offer from the Twins for a couple years at $15-$16M/yr.
  10. JD-TWINS
    Gallo could play 4 positions and hit 40+ HR previously……..in hindsight, yes, Max is a better value for sure. ….. If he’s CONSISTENT within the norms of baseball, at a reasonable level, I could see extending 2 years but more than that & he should probably be freed to pursue other teams. Wanted him gone in May/June &!into July in ‘23!! He seems to have found something in his approach with a more aggressive swing and approach. Great results for 11-12 weeks. Gotta see what he does this spring and see if he can duplicate somewhat.
  11. JD-TWINS
    About 150 - 250 AB’s in St. Paul & then, if positive, there may be a spot. If the Team’s not thriving in July, Kepler would probably get moved then, if he’s not terrible or great. Am assuming being, at least competitive is a given. Larnach has a hard time out of Spring Training with option left because he can’t play CF & Gordon/Martin both can. Buxton/Castro is the starting CF early but how long can Buxton go out there and how much flexibility do they lose if Castro “has to play CF” every day?
  12. JD-TWINS
    A full season of last year’s second half forces him to “explore the market” .850 OPS & 30 XBH at over .300 BA. He’d be in the top 5 RF in the game………Tucker - Soto - Tatis - couple other guys & then Kepler. Probably going to have to extend by watching Spring Training results, or it’s a toss of the coin for both sides and see where everybody’s at by the end of October.
  13. JD-TWINS
    I’m not pushing Max out the door either - one of 5 guys in the game to hit .300 or better with 30 XBH in the 2nd half of ‘23. That’s special! However, if we traded Arraez to get Lopez, something has probably got to give to obtain a really good pitcher. Somebody needs a good RF - that has offensive upside. (ha ha, maybe the Twins) To me, trade DeSclafani (may have to send some $$ along?) - Kepler - our compensatory pick from Gray……… maybe another marginal (Headrick/Winder?) arm for something of value and we shed salary but realize other team is taking on salary……….get back “whoever” of value. Maybe a highly rated prospect even?……………:moving Max’s salary for some value is the real bottom line - for any position - the rest of what Twins trade is just noise. Take the $$ saved and apply it to signing Jordan Montgomery……… Realistic?? I think Wallner goes to RF (obviously) and Lewis to LF ultimately when Lee’s ready to play 3B. In the meantime, piece LF together with Larnach/Gordon/Martin/Castro……. with the latter 3 helping Buxton in CF as well. Martin can come up & down as needed, doubtful he’s in 26 man out of Spring Training. Maybe they wait until deadline and get a probable lesser pitcher and give up more trade assets…………risky, and lower value for a Win Now approach!
  14. JD-TWINS
    Is LF more physically demanding than 3B ……is that the general consensus? Just wondering why other than he got hurt in CF?
  15. JD-TWINS
    Maybe they’ll throw in Tucker as well.
  16. JD-TWINS
    He opted out of a $13M contract so my assumption is $3-$4M increase in HIS mind anyway…….he’d be a nice bat pick-up but I think he’d be squeezing time in with Buxton at DH - Twins don’t seem to like poor OF play - 36 HR per (505 AB’s) year may change their mind? Duvall hit 21 HR in 330 AB’s/92 games…….that works for me with the flexibility to play any of the 3 OF positions……..$9M seems to be a reasonable offer.
  17. JD-TWINS
    Not trying to be obstinate - understand your point. However, Lopez got a bunch better in ‘23 over ‘22. Varland at 26 should have some room for gains. Guys mastering a pitch & getting above where they’ve been in the past with it - this also seems reasonable. Sometimes it’s as simple as pitch mix and sequencing. I’m not using improvement as an excuse not to get another guy - a better guy, but these guys can improve IMO. Look at Pagan in ‘22 & ‘23 as an example.
  18. JD-TWINS
    He isn’t going to play - unless there’s injury - he may play somewhere else? Santana & Kirilloff are cemented at 1B in ‘24. Miranda is in AAA until he shows all he can produce with the bat. Soler may hit 35 HR’s playing bad defense - Miranda is a total crapshoot at this point. His “solid” 2022 was 15 HR in 444 AB’s - good doubles production at 25. .751 OPS. 114OPS+. In ‘23 Soler hit 36 HR in 505 AB’s. .853 OPS. 128 OPS+. I get you aren’t saying Miranda is Soler but they hid Soler at DH quite a bit as well……..gotta really produce if you’re going to give up hits/bases playing LF.
  19. JD-TWINS
    Montgomery would be a dream come true…….probably still need to move DeSclafani & Kepler to make it happen. That’s $14M to contribute to the payroll add with a FA. I’ve been a big proponent to keep Kepler through the year but to get Montgomery, some changes may need to be made. Snell has more Cy Young’s than complete games. Not durable at all! He wants 10 years & $270M. He’s nuts!! Clevinger, to me is an affordable & effective guy for 2 years. Even signing Ryu along with DeSclafani & Varland & Festa could cover #4/#5 slots. Paddack as a big weapon out of the Pen OR flip him with Varland? Seems Varland could handle most innings & Paddack’s experience plays well out of the Pen. Protect his arm this way as well. Canterino - Stewart - Varland/Paddack (1 of them) - Topa - Jax - Thielbar - Funderburk - Duran …………Alcala, Winder, etc. for depth. Being “set” in Spring Training seems a better of the two options v. waiting til the deadline to get stabilized.
  20. JD-TWINS
    I looked it up out of curiosity & it was an odd “exhibition” game at the Met August 9, 1971. Makes more sense than March 30!!!
  21. JD-TWINS
    I was about 8 or 9 & the Giants were playing the Twins at The Met in a pre-season wrap up game (‘70-‘71 or so). Strange location at that time of year! Anyway, my Dad had watched Mays in Minneapolis well before I was born and really respected/loved him as a ball player. He told me the day prior we were going to the game with my older brother. I said “no - I have other plans”. Not a great reply to a blue collar guy that had quit school in ‘35 to start doing man’s work at age 13. My brother (14 years older than me) sat me down & told me what a knucklehead I was being! Next night we saw McCovey - Bonds - Mays……no real recollection of the game or result but I saw those guys on the field, suited up, live. A cool memory we shared.
  22. JD-TWINS
    Was (am) with you on Gordon…,,,Soler, not so much. He eliminates any chance of a pitching addition at $17M & 3 years, and he’s subpar defensively. Buxton has to DH the majority of his starts, even though everyone seems to be fantasizing that he’s the everyday CF for 130 games……..about a 2% chance of that happening. With his history, Buxton has about a 15% chance to appear in 100 games - including DH.
  23. JD-TWINS
    Why would anyone think, based on history, that Miranda can play LF? Never heard that until today. Farmer is slated to play 30 - 40 spot starts v. lefties at 2B - right? Julien can’t play 162 & he’s not very proficient hitting LH pitching at this point. Thought that was a done deal with everyone. Soler is below average OF - wants 3 years - probably close to $17M/year - not a realistic fit. Ultimately, maybe by August 1, I’d like to see Lewis in LF (solves the yearning here for a big RH bat in our outfield) ……….Max traded as part of a deal for an arm………Wallner in RF …………Lee at 3B. Lee - CC - Julien - Kirilloff (Farmer/Santana) Lewis - Buxton/Castro - Wallner (Gordon? Martin? Larnach? - sign Duvall?) Seems Duvall has the salary ask that may make sense ($9M - 1 year) his health is sketchy but could be supplemented on roster by Martin.
  24. JD-TWINS
    33 stolen bases v. 4……..106 OPS+ v. 74 OPS+…….. .257 BA as a switch hitter v. .237 BA……….2.6 WAR v. -.1 WAR. Let’s option Castro today & sign Hernandez………………..a serious topic??
  25. JD-TWINS
    No issue with trading DeSclafani’s salary away for little return to help pay for Montgomery!!
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