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JD-TWINS

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Everything posted by JD-TWINS

  1. JD-TWINS
    Lewis at DH?
  2. JD-TWINS
    Maybe Festa? Didn’t check, but doubt he’s currently 40-man. Lee is pushing!! Cannot imagine Wallner being moved up if he’s striking out at a 50+% rate recently…….regardless of HR. Hope they don’t waste 2-3 days for a real view of Kepler. He’s either ready to go or he should get a 10 day break, immediately.
  3. JD-TWINS
    Gotta say, Lewis is supreme bat talent, but your comment about Alcala got me wound up again………Lewis essentially ended the last 2 games in losses. His error for out number 3 on Wednesday and an unearned run being charged to Alcala created that loss to a reliever. Getting thrown out while already in scoring position in the 10th inning on Thursday is not good baseball, regardless of how high end the throw was from right center. Hitting a HR doesn’t excuse, or act as some leveling trade-off, for a bad play. Gotta say Lewis was at the heart of those 2 losses. Thielbar’s rope is getting pretty taught as well.
  4. JD-TWINS
    Margot is hitting .281 v. LH pitching …..that skill & OF depth were the reasons he was acquired. It’s not Margot’s fault he has to routinely start v. RH pitching because Kepler was hurt - Wallner was absolutely terrible - Larnach had a bad toe - Kirilloff went in the tank after 3 weeks. .281 BA - .356 OBP - .747 OPS v. Lefties .230 BA - .308 OBP - .617 OPS overall He’s been just fine for most of the past 7 weeks! Farmer is hitting .196 and was at .085 on May 1st. His defense is at least average if not better. If he can get to .225-.230 by September he’s the player they wanted. Career BA of .255 so after his start, a .225 finish would be him hitting to his career average for 4 1/2 months.
  5. JD-TWINS
    Signing him for $8M/yr for 4 years starting in ‘26 is a good move! RF - LF - 2B - SS are all places he “could” spend time at next year & forward. I know this will bring some wrath but IMO, Julien & Martin & Castro have 2B covered going forward in ‘25 and beyond. Lee at 3B solidifies the left side through ‘28 with CC. Larnach - Wallner - Martin - Castro - Kirilloff are the Corner guys from ‘25 forward. ROYCE at 1B m. This gives him a long-term home……injury risks go way down ……,Twins fill a Power Hole at that position ……,,etc. Royce could also move to LF …….he would fill a hole there too as an everyday guy on the grass. Lee - CC - Julien - Lewis (Julien at 1B doesn’t work for me) with Castro playing behind the Glove guys as needed and also playing regularly in the OF.
  6. JD-TWINS
    When I watch games the problem (to me) is side to side. The plate is stationary and is always 17” wide……with the width of the ball - it should be considered 19-20” wide. It’s STATIC though……shouldn’t fluctuate based on where the umpire sets up!!! Guy’s up/down zone fluctuates with varying stances and the variation in physical make-up of the players. I can see the real potential for some missed pitches up & down and can live with that. Balls being called that are over the plate on the edge away from the umpire OR a pitch 3” inside being called a strike because that’s where the ump was set-up is tough to watch repeatedly.
  7. JD-TWINS
    Jax will NEVER be traded if he stays healthy as a Twin……may leave in free agency but not traded. “Kjerstad may be the answer” & so might 125 other guys in AAA across MiLB & 6 of them are in the Twin’s system already. It’s pretty real …..other than hype, he’s not really shown that much upside ……if it were the case, The O’s would have him on their 26-man. Margot seems to have cemented himself, with Martin showing up as well, for the Corner RH hitting guy!! Wallner/Kirilloff/Larnach/Castro have the LH hitting LF spot sewed up through ‘24!!!
  8. JD-TWINS
    Along with Okert & Paddack……. Current PEN is really good through 6 guys, despite a few issues. ……..Jackson has another 1 or 2 tries and w/o a steep improvement, he’s gone. Thielbar seems like a wasted roster spot at this point……when does he get his last try, or else?
  9. JD-TWINS
    Along with Okert & Paddack…….
  10. JD-TWINS
    The SHOW is not for setting productive players aside and experimenting with guys based on where they were drafted. A player earns his way on to the roster. If Lee starts performing at some level other than “pretty decent” in St. Paul for some length of time, he’ll get brought up - til then, he’ll develop at AAA. The decisions have been made for the near term……Wallner - Kirilloff - Julien - Lee ALL need to do something at AAA, repeatedly, to get time on the MLB roster……Wallner is close but he’s the only one in the current conversation. The organization doesn’t make moves with the 26-man roster based on fan based curiosities……not with a winning Team. Castro leads the Team in AB’s - Hits…….2nd in OBP. His OPS+ is 120…..the guy has 24 XBH and it’s June 19…..I don’t really care where he plays if he is competent defensively…….his offense is what it is (not 2022)……taking the attitude that he’s due to fail can be applied to anyone on the roster……see Ryan Jeffers. I do not expect Castro to be the starting 2B spring of ‘24 but right now he fits.
  11. JD-TWINS
    Margot (as of Friday) had hit .371 over previous 23 games……….same conversation as DFAing Farmer above …..,,what’s the big picture?? ………..not the knee jerk based on emotion from May 3rd!
  12. JD-TWINS
    The Fan makes no sense - Castro has the Team’s most AB’s ……he’s respectable from the left side and great from the right side. You’re right - nobody else to play. …………….,,… ”regression” to what? ‘23?? He’s good playing! Farmer’s going nowhere. Lee or Julien for Martin may happen allowing Castro to go back out to the grass.
  13. JD-TWINS
    Thielbar is a problem & if he doesn’t pitch well in very next outing - I see him being removed from 26-man for Funderburk.
  14. JD-TWINS
    No. Could be done for a day or maybe two but they won’t go short a reliever for any length of time. All the speculation is fun but Martin going down and Wallner coming up in the next 10 days seems to be coming more & more real. Farmer started the year (5 weeks) hitting .085. He’s nearly at .200 7 wee kg s later and has never really been “hot”. I don’t see him going anywhere ………Dodgers is an interesting thought as it frees up $3M they could apply to a deadline acquisition …..,doubtful.
  15. JD-TWINS
    Thanks for that tidbit - I tuned in sometime late in the 3rd. Nobody showed anything on Martin, other than the hero play, the rest of the night. Royce is hard to not get used to & he can’t keep up 2 HR’s every 3 games. It’s something to see!!!
  16. JD-TWINS
    AGREED. It’s tough to give up a bunch of runs (4?) previous time out and then shutdown the opposition for 3-4 innings…..with a tired arm. But, if one isn’t commanding pitches it can happen every outing.
  17. JD-TWINS
    I think it’s “no”, due to a low % of needing him on the regular. Long relief can be needed 2 days in a row and then not for 12 days. I like having him around and he seems to be deserving but that isn’t what drives things. The “competition” or discussion isn’t really between Varland and anybody, it’s between Jackson & Thielbar IMO.
  18. JD-TWINS
    Alcala is starting to look “Stewart like” with his stuff and generally ….better control. It’s all about throwing strikes with him. Glad to see him at least progressing.
  19. JD-TWINS
    Am a fan of Farmer’s …..Twins fan in Cincinnati…..watch most games. His base running reeks of desperation to do something positive and he’s on base relatively seldom - I think he’s pressing but it HAS TO STOP! It’s unprofessional and is hurting the Team. He’s a veteran and has to be smarter than this.
  20. JD-TWINS
    I’m encouraged that Festa threw 6 innings and not 4 plus! His stuff seems to be playing well over the past couple months. Varland hasn’t been passed in the Twin’s mind. He just threw 5 shutout innings in the Show this week…..Rockies aren’t great but they trump the Bats. He’s backup for depth today as well with the doubleheader. I do think Festa gets a start prior to All-star break. I think it’s going to be a cold day in ….. before Vazquez gets moved off the roster for a AAA player that’s OK in a Divisional playoff race.
  21. JD-TWINS
    Relative to Martin & his hitting……I’d take Arraez type of approach an 40-50 less points with that approach. .270BA is a professional hitter that contributes - not a star but a contributor. That said Margot (.371 over last 23 games) and Farmer (.192, up from .085 on May 1) are going nowhere unless injured. Wallner for Martin is logical by July 4th if Wallner maintains real positives at the plate - need the LH balance since 75% of opposing pitching is right handed.
  22. JD-TWINS
    ……..or Spencer Steer
  23. JD-TWINS
    Canterino is perpetually hurt - too bad - but it’s reality.
  24. JD-TWINS
    Don’t see any deals for these guys…….. Ottavino is of interest but not a bunch different than Alcala - Staumont - potentially Topa by 7/31/24? Twins starters OPS+ v. RH pitching: Larnach (111) - Buxton (99) - Kepler (118) Lewis (259) - CC (151) - Castro (118) - Santana (104) Jeffers - (129) - Miranda (119) Seems we should ride with these guys to me. Any one or three of Wallner/Julien/ Kirilloff/Lee could come forward to improve this current group…….don’t see trades being made for positional players. Margot - Farmer (Castro to left) subbed in for Larnach - Kepler - facing LH starting pitchers.
  25. JD-TWINS
    1) Margot - hitting .231 with a career average of .255 ………last night, broadcast mentioned he’s at .371 last 23 games. 2) Santana - hitting .227 (.242 career) with a 104 OPS+ and solid defense. …….unheralded walk last night v. one of Top 3 closers in the game - to tie the game!! 3) Farmer - hitting .192 & up from .085 about 5 weeks ago……headed toward career .255 BA. 4) Vazquez - hitting .183 and no real. vision of him getting much above .200……really good defense relative to League metrics & provides insurance through the season (modern day Phil Roof) 5) Jeffers - .233 (his career BA) and OK on defense - really good power, in streaks ……,he has regressed to the mean. (.199 & .208 BA in ‘21 & ‘22)…….hope he figures something out in next week or two - had hoped he may get an All-star nod as a reserve………that seems to be a real stretch! 6) Kirilloff - Wallner - Julien are the real disappointments ………all the guys above were to be role players…….these 3 were to be part of the CORE. 7) Lewis & Lee & even Duran/Topa/Stewart have had very limited to no availability. Seems to me the Team record and the management of the resources and the individual’s performances to date have been very positive.
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