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AlwaysinModeration

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Everything posted by AlwaysinModeration

  1. AlwaysinModeration
    If the Twins have Jacob González ranked as their fifth best player, have $14-15mm to spend, and he’s projected as the 15-20th pick / prospect by many lists, then the Front Office needs to figure out a way to get him at pick #34. my personal preference would be Dollander at five, giving him more money than we would get if he were to go in the 10-15 range many outlets are projecting, but under slot. And then give all those savings to González.
  2. AlwaysinModeration
    Law also has Langford going #1 to the Pirates and Crews falling to the Tigers at 3. There are probably 10 players I’d prefer the Twins draft before González: Crews - Skenes - Langford - Teel - Dollander - Lowder - Shaw - Troy - Bradfield - Clark Not sure on Jenkins.
  3. AlwaysinModeration
    From Keith Law’s last mock draft, he has González going to the Twins at #5, over Jenkins. He writes: “Several sources have told me that if Crews and Langford are gone, Gonzalez is the top player in the Twins’ draft model and he’d be the pick over the high schoolers…”
  4. AlwaysinModeration
    Skenes has had an amazing spring. It was exceptional, and it sure seems like he is going to become a great MLB pitcher, quickly. But… It’s only one season. Could he revert to his prior performance level he put up for the two previous years at the Air Force? (He was also mediocre on the Cape in limited innings.) He struck out 15/9IP at LSU. That rate is going to tick down. He gave up 5H/9, and 0.5HR/9 last year. Those numbers are going to get worse. He only has two above average pitches. Usually players with two pitches are “destined for the bullpen.” A year ago, Dollander was considered way better than Skenes. Now Skenes is considered way better than Dollander. Which is it? I think the answer is Skenes, and if the Twins wind up with him, I’d be thrilled. But there are legit reasons to not be 100% certain Skenes is a slam dunk.
  5. AlwaysinModeration
    Pablo and Arraez both trending under 4 now.
  6. AlwaysinModeration
    Over his last two starts: 15IP, 7H, 1ER, 3BB, 18K ERA down from 4.41 to 3.89
  7. AlwaysinModeration
    There is a good book called River Town: https://a.co/d/ghYMi74
  8. AlwaysinModeration
    Really nicely written piece. You are living the dream indeed.
  9. AlwaysinModeration
    Schanuel at 34 would be great.
  10. AlwaysinModeration
    The scenario where they get Dollander at 34 involves saving a LOT of money from the first pick…which might happen if it’s Wilson or González?
  11. AlwaysinModeration
    If Dollander and Skenes’ last two seasons were reversed, we would be talking about how we hoped Dollander would somehow fall to the Twins at five. Another time a player was at the top of the board heading into the spring and fell after a middling college season was Trea Turner. Twins didn’t take him when they had a chance to get him at #5, but instead took Nick Gordon. Turner fell to #13. I think Dollander is the right call this year. I think there is a good chance he winds up considerably better than Skenes.
  12. AlwaysinModeration
    I think the Twins should get Skenes as a compensation pick for losing Wes Johnson to LSU.
  13. AlwaysinModeration
    Excellent use of the no comment comment.
  14. AlwaysinModeration
    What about when they face the Pigseye Beer pig that delivered the balls to the home plate Ump at the Saints games all those years? He’s formidable.
  15. AlwaysinModeration
    Two months in, the verdict from the masses is in—unmitigated disaster of a trade. I’ll wait awhile before I decide, I’m not so sure.
  16. AlwaysinModeration
    The AL Central is on track to play more games out of their division than any AL Central in history!
  17. AlwaysinModeration
    This is great - thank you for putting it together. Skenes #4….need him to have a few bad starts down the stretch maybe for him to fall to the Twins?
  18. AlwaysinModeration
    Twins are batting .234 overall as a team, good for 21st place in all of baseball…and first in the AL Central! White Sox .232 Guardians .228 Tigers .222 Royals .216 By the way, the Rays….282, the Dodgers .230, and the Yankees, courtesy in no small part to Twins pitching, are batting .225.
  19. AlwaysinModeration
    But it was a pretty good inning!
  20. AlwaysinModeration
    Obviously, ERA is very flawed. But it’s not going away. And it’s still used more than any other stat. Just trying to improve it.
  21. AlwaysinModeration
    That way if you leave the game with the bases loaded, you’re only on the hook for a max of 1.5 more runs, not 3 (which is brutal—you could pitch 8.2 shutout innings, leave with the bases loaded, and Ron Davis could give up a homer and cost you 3ER.)
  22. AlwaysinModeration
    I think ERA would be improved if inherited runners scored were divided between the pitcher leaving the game and the reliever. If a runner on first scores: Starter gets 0.25R, reliever gets 0.75R If a runner on second scores, Starter gets 0.5R, reliever gets 0.5R If a runner on third scores, Starter gets 0.75R, reliever gets 0.25R. This doesn’t factor in the number of outs, of course. But it’s better than the current system.
  23. AlwaysinModeration
    I feel like the Twins should bring in Ichiro to work with Buxton on gaining flexibility so he might be a bit less injury-prone. And maybe some stuntmen from the movies to help him improve his landings, rolls, and slides so he is a little less awkward on impact. As for the plan to keep DHing him for another month until his knee is back to normal, I’m fine with it. The season is long. As Billy Beane said (paraphrasing), you spend two months seeing what you have and what you need, two months getting what you need, and two months playing with the team you wanted. This season seems like it can fit that blueprint pretty well, Buxton included. (Although most of the “getting what you need” may entail getting the Polancos, Kiriloffs, Lewis, Juliens…and Buxtons on the field.)
  24. AlwaysinModeration
    My pure speculation is that it will result in increased walks. I think there are a lot more balls that are called strikes than strikes that are called balls.
  25. AlwaysinModeration
    Automated strike zones will be more consistent than human strike zones, so I am in favor of them.
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