AlwaysinModeration
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Everything posted by AlwaysinModeration
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While both are from Venezuela, the answer seems to be no. From the former Twins’ pitcher’s Wikipedia page: “Silva resides in Medina, Minnesota, with his wife Maria Hermann, son Justin, born June 12, 2007, and daughter Gabriella, born September 8, 2008.” Undoubtedly a namesake for the Venezuelan-made-good, though!
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- ariel castro
- hendry chivilli
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I’m looking thought Rockies listings on MLB Trade Rumors, it seems clear that one thing the Rockies are looking for is a LH hitting OF, preferably a center fielder, so trading from the Twins’ [redundancy of? plethora of? stable of?] left handed outfielders to the Rockies makes even more sense. To top it off, the Rox appear stretched financially, so trading Marquez’ more expensive contract for Kepler’s cheaper one works too. The Rockies aren’t necessarily in “win now” mode, so maybe a deal would work even better with a pitching prospect or two thrown in for a current reliever? I doubt Daniel Bard would come back, but how about adding in Tyler Kinley (reunion!) for Festa and Headrick?
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Thanks, Ted—hadn’t seen the full list before, or the dollar figures for Silva and Chivilli. Looks like the Twins are scouting Venezuela heavily—wonder if Arraez’ success has helped? Chivilli was ranked #38 by mlb, but elsewhere was listed top ten, so the higher signing amount makes sense. (One note—I think your link to the Jamie Cameron October piece is wrong.)
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- ariel castro
- hendry chivilli
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Here is what Dustin May might cost. Pretty steep price, in my view. More palatable, to me, would be German Marquez: Marquez fits the definition of “3.5 WAR”…but hasn’t reached that level since 2018. Not sure if 2022 showed a decline in performance or just a bad year, but I’d be interested in seeing how he fares outside of Colorado. He’s under contract through 2023 with a 2024 option. Edit to add: Marquez, unsurprisingly, has pretty marked home/road splits. Note 790 OPS at home, 699 OPS on the road; 1.40 WHIP at home, 1.18 WHIP at home. Not listed but HR/9 is 1.32 at home and 1.15 on the road. Get him out of Coors, see how he does! Plus, maybe Max thrives in Coors like Cuddyer and Morneau before him - I don’t think anyone around here would begrudge him success.
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- bailey ober
- jose miranda
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If the Twins trade for Pablo López, he might stay for more than two years.
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I just can’t see them trading a player after winning a batting title.
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- carlos correa
- luis arraez
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It’s up to 80% now, I tell you. But did Correa really tackle Boras into a hotel bed when he landed him the Mets “contract”? I might’ve had that reaction if it was the Yankees…or the White Sox.
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Talks between the Twins and Boras re: Correa are “accelerating”….
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All true and I’ve wondered why he didn’t go for shorter, higher AAV contracts. Two reasons come to mind: 1) Boras wanted to get the full commission, so incentivized to get him out of the Twins 3/105 deal as soon as possible 2) Maybe the plate in his ankle is legitimately going to disintegrate after a few years, so he wants to get as long a contract with as high a value as possible now.
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I’ll bet the plate in Correa’s ankle on it.
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Rumor: Another Correa rumor....
AlwaysinModeration replied to mnfireman's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
They’ve agreed! The deal is for 20 years. They just haven’t agreed on how much they are giving him per year. The Twins say 10.5 per year, whereas Correa wants 30.5 per year. But stay tuned, this should be wrapped up shortly. -
Rumor: Another Correa rumor....
AlwaysinModeration replied to mnfireman's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
Which happens first? Correa contract House has speaker -
And just read on the other rumor thread the post by Brock saying he’s hearing secondhand that “it’s gonna happen.” I’m pushing my odds up to 62.5%
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I said 25% when I posted this last night. I’d say at least 50-50 now?
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And they have “momentum” per Jim Bowden. For what it’s worth.
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Could the Minnesota Twins wind up with Correa after all? The Giants deal fell through, then the Mets deal was agreed to weeks ago, but hasn’t been finalized due to medical concerns. And now today is a Jon Heyman report that “Boras engaged at least one other team regarding Correa this afternoon.” The Twins are mentioned in the report as having tried to reengage, and as an obvious landing spot, having employed Correa (healthy) last year, and having a vacancy and payroll space to accommodate him. The likelihood of Correa coming back to the Twins has to have crept up. Maybe 25%? View full rumor
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Could the Minnesota Twins wind up with Correa after all? The Giants deal fell through, then the Mets deal was agreed to weeks ago, but hasn’t been finalized due to medical concerns. And now today is a Jon Heyman report that “Boras engaged at least one other team regarding Correa this afternoon.” The Twins are mentioned in the report as having tried to reengage, and as an obvious landing spot, having employed Correa (healthy) last year, and having a vacancy and payroll space to accommodate him. The likelihood of Correa coming back to the Twins has to have crept up. Maybe 25%? -
I had the same thought, but remember, he just switched to Boras as his agent. So Boras would only get half of a long-term contract commission. So Boras was incentivized to get Correa to sign a one-year deal.
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A few different ways of thinking about this: 1. Correa passed on the latter two years of the Twins’ 3/105. So he passed on 2/70 and instead got 13/350. If he had take the Twins options, would he have gotten 11/280 in two years? That’s $25mm/year. 2. The Twins paid him $35mm last year, and then offered him 10/285 on top of that. That’s 11/320 they offered him in total. In other words, the Twins offered a player 11 years of $29mm/year. 3. He’s making $27mm/year from the Giants. That’s an $8mm/payout from what the Twins would have been paying him this year and next year if he had taken the option years. 4. I’m dying to know what the other offers the Twins made him are. Reports of 6 years at $30mm+ per year. Opt outs? It seems like he could have done a lot better if he’d gone year-to-year or gotten a contract with options. Anyway, it was fun to have him on the Twins this year, but not overly upset that he signed with the Giants. (Glad it’s not the Yankees.)
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I’d hate to see what “not mad” looks like!
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2023 Breakout Candidates
AlwaysinModeration replied to Cody Pirkl's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Jax working on velo at Driveline = ding ding ding -
1) Highly doubt the Twins would contemplate attempting to trade for Reynolds, and 2) I really hope they don’t, either.
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If they offer him a 20 year deal, the last ten could literally be dead money.
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Rumor: Some Correa Rumors, Twins Offering Multiple Packages
AlwaysinModeration replied to CRF's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
So, if LaVelle says it is three offers, one 10, one 8 and one 6 that is over 30/year, the offers could be: 6x31 = 186 (opt out after 3) 8x28 = 214 (opt out after 3, 5) 10x25 = 250 (opt out after 3, 5)
