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AlwaysinModeration

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Everything posted by AlwaysinModeration

  1. AlwaysinModeration
    Julien on base five times today, OBP up to .441 on the season.
  2. AlwaysinModeration
    Aaron Gleeman posted a lengthy story on this topic in the Athletic on Monday (“Twins’ blind spot with Pagan may cost them a playoff spot”). Here is one sample paragraph: Pagán has a 3.93 ERA in 287 appearances, including marks of 5.23, 4.83 and 4.50 the past three seasons. He’s posted an ERA better than league average just once in the past five years. His lifetime rate of 1.8 homers allowed per nine innings is the highest in baseball history for a reliever. And it’s rising. Pagán has allowed 18 homers in his last 52 innings, a staggering 3.2 per nine frames.
  3. AlwaysinModeration
    Or end an inning. If he comes in to a game vs a leftie in a key two-put spot, he doesn’t have to come back out to start the next inning…
  4. AlwaysinModeration
    Was it ill-advised for Gordon to dive for that ball? If he fields it on a hop, the tying run holds at third.
  5. AlwaysinModeration
    Bleh.
  6. AlwaysinModeration
    According to baseballtradevalues, no: Rodon 13 Canterino 5.3 Encarnacion-Strand 2 The three closest options for a comparatively similar straight-up deal would be: Emanuel Rodriguez 14.2 Spencer Steer 14 Austin Martin 11 If you wanted to do a 2:1 deal, which SF might prefer, here is one way to approach it, offering one bat and one arm: Wallner (7.7) + either Canterino (5.3) or Woods-Richardson (5.4)
  7. AlwaysinModeration
    He got more than double the money for about half the number of games?
  8. AlwaysinModeration
    In Joe Ryan’s defense, trying to pitch to Padres batters wearing those uniforms would have been a challenge for anyone.
  9. AlwaysinModeration
    Yes.
  10. AlwaysinModeration
    Yes, the Twins should absolutely be in on Thor (even if they use him out of the pen). Trading for him now increases the likelihood he stays with them beyond this year, too. What would he cost? That’s the question. Off to go look up baseballtradevalues… …and now back. Thor is valued at 4.5. Twins could offer Julien (2.4) and Hajjar (2.4) and that would be considered an even trade according to that site. The closest individual players in terms of value would appear to be: Canterino 5.3 Miller 4.8 Balazovic. 3.5
  11. AlwaysinModeration
    Yes, the Twins should absolutely be in on Thor (even if they use him out of the pen). Trading for him now increases the likelihood he stays with them beyond this year, too. What would he cost? That’s the question. Off to go look up baseballtradevalues….
  12. AlwaysinModeration
    I think they should take as many LSU-commits as possible.
  13. AlwaysinModeration
    In other words, there is a lot of tampering and shenanigans. They should just allow picks to be traded already.
  14. AlwaysinModeration
    On a related note…do you think the Guardians might be interested in a former Marlins / Padres reliever whose name has a certain devil-worshiping connotation?
  15. AlwaysinModeration
    Fixed that for you. Also, Buxton is 9th in the AL with 2.7 WAR.
  16. AlwaysinModeration
    Can’t tell if you are joking because he gave up a walk-off homer or serious because he’s been one of the best relievers in baseball. If the Twins trade for him, sign me up. You know what they say—of you can’t beat ‘em, join ‘em.
  17. AlwaysinModeration
    I’d be totally onboard a Neto pick. He’s batted over 400 each of the last two seasons for Campbell. In the NCAA regionals in three games against Georgia Tech and Tennessee, he went 7 for 13 with 3 doubles and 3 walks, including going 2-2 with a double against Chase Dollander. (He also got a hit and a walk off of Marquis Grissom Jr). He also has pitched 25 innings for the team in more than a dozen relief appearances for the Camels, including getting three saves this year. They probably could have used him on the mound in their game against Tennessee - they trailed 8-7 after 8 and then gave up 4 runs in the 9th.
  18. AlwaysinModeration
    So far this year: Garver OPS+ 79 Jeffers OPS+ 125
  19. AlwaysinModeration
    Stankiewicz has the better nickname, so I’m giving him the nod at #1. Hope that we have this same argument every month all season…
  20. AlwaysinModeration
    No walks. And two DPs. And actually, according to the box score, he threw 75 pitches, 57 for strikes, a 76% strike rate. https://www.milb.com/gameday/hammerheads-vs-mighty-mussels/2022/04/15/670476#game_state=final,lock_state=final,game_tab=box,game=670476
  21. AlwaysinModeration
    If four HS players get taken before the Twins, and they want to go college player, they essentially have the fourth pick. Now, what are the chances that either Lee or Parada fall to them? Maybe there is a late riser like Barriera sneaks up the list ahead of their pick.
  22. AlwaysinModeration
    Could we have this exact same update every single day? Seriously, couldn’t ask for a better day on the farm. CES hot as the sun, SMR another strong start, Martin four steals, Lewis two hits, Rodriguez coming on strong. Throw in a Stankiewicz, Contreras and Isola, and you cannot not feel good about yesterday’s showing. CES deserves to get an asterisked honorable mention in the top prospects listings, at this point. That kid is on fire.
  23. AlwaysinModeration
    Great piece and interesting discussion. Trying to piece a few clues together, it seems in the past when the PTBL is just a throw in, you hear the beat writers report that the player is nothing special. We’ve not heard that with this PTBL, so it should be something. Couple that with the Rosenthal comments of the value being “2 million plus”, and it’s definitely worth trying to parse out who it might be. Looking on the Baseball Trade Values site, here are some listed values: Susana RHP 2.9 (Keith Law: honorable mention) Gasser LHP 2.4 (Keith Law: #9) Acosta SS 2.4 (Law #11) Rosario 2B 2.4 (Law#15) Lizarraga RHP 1.9 (Law#14) Kopps RHP 1.9 (Law#19) Morejon is 6.6 and is listed on the Padres 40-man roster, so I don’t see how he could be the guy. Rosenthal also suggests they are selecting from a group of players. Now, maybe the Padres gave them six names to choose from, but isn’t it possible that Minnesota told SD to pick 12 guys that are off limits, and Minnesota could choose anyone from the rest of their system? One player not mentioned so far that might fit the bill: 24 year old “funky” LHP Ethan Elliott. He’s reached AA, and is listed in Law’s honorable mentions. He went to a small college in Tennessee, and in his college and early minors career, posted consistently good K/9 numbers, exceptional BB/9 numbers, and also has limited H/9 and HR/9. He had a 40FV on Fangraphs in 2021, and he’s listed on the Baseball Trade Values page as 2.1 in value. Seems to match up with a lot of the criteria. Probably would prefer Gasser or Susana, but Elliott looks intriguing.
  24. AlwaysinModeration
    Taylor Rogers can join Ryan Pressley and Liam Hendriks in Los Angeles this summer at the All Star Game.
  25. AlwaysinModeration
    The Twins got a lot better alphabetically with this trade.
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