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AlwaysinModeration

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Everything posted by AlwaysinModeration

  1. AlwaysinModeration
    Here is what Dustin May might cost. Pretty steep price, in my view. More palatable, to me, would be German Marquez: Marquez fits the definition of “3.5 WAR”…but hasn’t reached that level since 2018. Not sure if 2022 showed a decline in performance or just a bad year, but I’d be interested in seeing how he fares outside of Colorado. He’s under contract through 2023 with a 2024 option. Edit to add: Marquez, unsurprisingly, has pretty marked home/road splits. Note 790 OPS at home, 699 OPS on the road; 1.40 WHIP at home, 1.18 WHIP at home. Not listed but HR/9 is 1.32 at home and 1.15 on the road. Get him out of Coors, see how he does! Plus, maybe Max thrives in Coors like Cuddyer and Morneau before him - I don’t think anyone around here would begrudge him success.
  2. AlwaysinModeration
    If the Twins trade for Pablo López, he might stay for more than two years.
  3. AlwaysinModeration
    I just can’t see them trading a player after winning a batting title.
  4. AlwaysinModeration
    It’s up to 80% now, I tell you. But did Correa really tackle Boras into a hotel bed when he landed him the Mets “contract”? I might’ve had that reaction if it was the Yankees…or the White Sox.
  5. AlwaysinModeration
    Talks between the Twins and Boras re: Correa are “accelerating”….
  6. AlwaysinModeration
    All true and I’ve wondered why he didn’t go for shorter, higher AAV contracts. Two reasons come to mind: 1) Boras wanted to get the full commission, so incentivized to get him out of the Twins 3/105 deal as soon as possible 2) Maybe the plate in his ankle is legitimately going to disintegrate after a few years, so he wants to get as long a contract with as high a value as possible now.
  7. AlwaysinModeration
    I’ll bet the plate in Correa’s ankle on it.
  8. AlwaysinModeration
    They’ve agreed! The deal is for 20 years. They just haven’t agreed on how much they are giving him per year. The Twins say 10.5 per year, whereas Correa wants 30.5 per year. But stay tuned, this should be wrapped up shortly.
  9. AlwaysinModeration
    Which happens first? Correa contract House has speaker
  10. AlwaysinModeration
    And just read on the other rumor thread the post by Brock saying he’s hearing secondhand that “it’s gonna happen.” I’m pushing my odds up to 62.5%
  11. AlwaysinModeration
    I said 25% when I posted this last night. I’d say at least 50-50 now?
  12. AlwaysinModeration
    And they have “momentum” per Jim Bowden. For what it’s worth.
  13. AlwaysinModeration
    Could the Minnesota Twins wind up with Correa after all? The Giants deal fell through, then the Mets deal was agreed to weeks ago, but hasn’t been finalized due to medical concerns. And now today is a Jon Heyman report that “Boras engaged at least one other team regarding Correa this afternoon.” The Twins are mentioned in the report as having tried to reengage, and as an obvious landing spot, having employed Correa (healthy) last year, and having a vacancy and payroll space to accommodate him. The likelihood of Correa coming back to the Twins has to have crept up. Maybe 25%? View full rumor
  14. AlwaysinModeration
    More information about "A new team is talking with Boras about Correa…"
    Could the Minnesota Twins wind up with Correa after all? The Giants deal fell through, then the Mets deal was agreed to weeks ago, but hasn’t been finalized due to medical concerns. And now today is a Jon Heyman report that “Boras engaged at least one other team regarding Correa this afternoon.” The Twins are mentioned in the report as having tried to reengage, and as an obvious landing spot, having employed Correa (healthy) last year, and having a vacancy and payroll space to accommodate him. The likelihood of Correa coming back to the Twins has to have crept up. Maybe 25%?
  15. AlwaysinModeration
    I had the same thought, but remember, he just switched to Boras as his agent. So Boras would only get half of a long-term contract commission. So Boras was incentivized to get Correa to sign a one-year deal.
  16. AlwaysinModeration
    A few different ways of thinking about this: 1. Correa passed on the latter two years of the Twins’ 3/105. So he passed on 2/70 and instead got 13/350. If he had take the Twins options, would he have gotten 11/280 in two years? That’s $25mm/year. 2. The Twins paid him $35mm last year, and then offered him 10/285 on top of that. That’s 11/320 they offered him in total. In other words, the Twins offered a player 11 years of $29mm/year. 3. He’s making $27mm/year from the Giants. That’s an $8mm/payout from what the Twins would have been paying him this year and next year if he had taken the option years. 4. I’m dying to know what the other offers the Twins made him are. Reports of 6 years at $30mm+ per year. Opt outs? It seems like he could have done a lot better if he’d gone year-to-year or gotten a contract with options. Anyway, it was fun to have him on the Twins this year, but not overly upset that he signed with the Giants. (Glad it’s not the Yankees.)
  17. AlwaysinModeration
    I’d hate to see what “not mad” looks like!
  18. AlwaysinModeration
    Jax working on velo at Driveline = ding ding ding
  19. AlwaysinModeration
    1) Highly doubt the Twins would contemplate attempting to trade for Reynolds, and 2) I really hope they don’t, either.
  20. AlwaysinModeration
    If they offer him a 20 year deal, the last ten could literally be dead money.
  21. AlwaysinModeration
    So, if LaVelle says it is three offers, one 10, one 8 and one 6 that is over 30/year, the offers could be: 6x31 = 186 (opt out after 3) 8x28 = 214 (opt out after 3, 5) 10x25 = 250 (opt out after 3, 5)
  22. AlwaysinModeration
    .500
  23. AlwaysinModeration
    How does having Billy Hamilton on the Twins jive with the fact that the Twins don’t attempt steals?
  24. AlwaysinModeration
    This is one of the most insightful comments I have ever read on Twins Daily.
  25. AlwaysinModeration
    What might really make your head explode is if Kepler gets thrown out at home on Miranda’s single in the 8th, Pagan would have pitched the 9th down a run. Also, the home plate umpire was bad at calling balls and strikes. Buxton looks like he has regressed at the plate.
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