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AlwaysinModeration

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Everything posted by AlwaysinModeration

  1. I’m Pollyannaer than most, and even I can’t come up with a scenario that nets the Twins Crews and Meyer.
  2. Something I found interesting in an article by Callis on the draft slots. Last year 23 of 30 teams exceeded their draft pool (which you can do by up to 5% without losing any picks; it’s simply a financial hit of 75% surcharge on the overage) while the Twins (and Rockies) have NEVER exceeded their draft pool. This year, with a draft pool of $14.35mm, the Twins could spend an extra $717K this year (which would cost an additional $500K in tax), which is not an insignificant amount. Essentially, the Twins are purposely shorting themselves some draft capital that almost all other teams are taking advantage of.
  3. Great article. This kid has shown a lot of perseverance to get to this point. The progression over three years at UNC is impressive. It’s also interesting to see how a player can use a year at IMG Academy, which you hear mentioned a lot, to springboard to a big college program (not just to get drafted out of high school). Would be nice to see the Twins get him at #82….
  4. The one thing we know for sure is that the Twins will walk away from today with three picks in a very deep draft. If they go under slot with their first pick, they should wind up with even stronger picks at 34 and 49. By the end of the day, how many pitchers and how many prep kids will they have ultimately selected? How would a: Dollander - González - Eldridge first day be rated?
  5. If the Twins have Jacob González ranked as their fifth best player, have $14-15mm to spend, and he’s projected as the 15-20th pick / prospect by many lists, then the Front Office needs to figure out a way to get him at pick #34. my personal preference would be Dollander at five, giving him more money than we would get if he were to go in the 10-15 range many outlets are projecting, but under slot. And then give all those savings to González.
  6. Law also has Langford going #1 to the Pirates and Crews falling to the Tigers at 3. There are probably 10 players I’d prefer the Twins draft before González: Crews - Skenes - Langford - Teel - Dollander - Lowder - Shaw - Troy - Bradfield - Clark Not sure on Jenkins.
  7. From Keith Law’s last mock draft, he has González going to the Twins at #5, over Jenkins. He writes: “Several sources have told me that if Crews and Langford are gone, Gonzalez is the top player in the Twins’ draft model and he’d be the pick over the high schoolers…”
  8. Skenes has had an amazing spring. It was exceptional, and it sure seems like he is going to become a great MLB pitcher, quickly. But… It’s only one season. Could he revert to his prior performance level he put up for the two previous years at the Air Force? (He was also mediocre on the Cape in limited innings.) He struck out 15/9IP at LSU. That rate is going to tick down. He gave up 5H/9, and 0.5HR/9 last year. Those numbers are going to get worse. He only has two above average pitches. Usually players with two pitches are “destined for the bullpen.” A year ago, Dollander was considered way better than Skenes. Now Skenes is considered way better than Dollander. Which is it? I think the answer is Skenes, and if the Twins wind up with him, I’d be thrilled. But there are legit reasons to not be 100% certain Skenes is a slam dunk.
  9. Here are “deals” I wouldn’t mind…any of these in the realm of plausibility? Dollander - Schanuel Teel - Meyer Shaw - Eldridge Any other palatable deals?
  10. Over his last two starts: 15IP, 7H, 1ER, 3BB, 18K ERA down from 4.41 to 3.89
  11. There is a good book called River Town: https://a.co/d/ghYMi74
  12. Really nicely written piece. You are living the dream indeed.
  13. Is Yennier Cano better than Duran?
  14. The scenario where they get Dollander at 34 involves saving a LOT of money from the first pick…which might happen if it’s Wilson or González?
  15. If Dollander and Skenes’ last two seasons were reversed, we would be talking about how we hoped Dollander would somehow fall to the Twins at five. Another time a player was at the top of the board heading into the spring and fell after a middling college season was Trea Turner. Twins didn’t take him when they had a chance to get him at #5, but instead took Nick Gordon. Turner fell to #13. I think Dollander is the right call this year. I think there is a good chance he winds up considerably better than Skenes.
  16. I think the Twins should get Skenes as a compensation pick for losing Wes Johnson to LSU.
  17. What about when they face the Pigseye Beer pig that delivered the balls to the home plate Ump at the Saints games all those years? He’s formidable.
  18. Two months in, the verdict from the masses is in—unmitigated disaster of a trade. I’ll wait awhile before I decide, I’m not so sure.
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