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AlwaysinModeration

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Everything posted by AlwaysinModeration

  1. AlwaysinModeration
    Is it possible that Pablo is top five…and Buxton is not top 20?
  2. AlwaysinModeration
  3. AlwaysinModeration
    Heard that Ryan, Jax, Lopez and Thielbar were there.
  4. AlwaysinModeration
    Last year there were 20 voters who either voted for one person (12) or zero (8). So far this year there is only one such voter. Meanwhile, Helton has edged ahead of Mauer, 91 to 90 out of 109 votes, while Wagner is over 80%.
  5. AlwaysinModeration
    I agree, he would be a great addition to the rotation. But I just cannot see this FO trading for a player that is under contract for four years and $85mm.
  6. AlwaysinModeration
    I think Manoah has more upside than Cabrera and would be my target.
  7. AlwaysinModeration
    The Twins FO MO is to trade for pitchers with multiple years of control, usually on an affordable contract, that don’t have astronomical trade values (ie wont cost a top prospect to get). Corbin Burnes (1 year) and Luis Castillo (owed $80mm) Jesus Luzardo and Logan Gilbert (both cost too much) do not fit their MO in my view. Alek Manoah and Edward Cabrera do.
  8. AlwaysinModeration
    To answer the question, no, he’s not viable. Signed by the Reds for $16mm, with a $20mm mutual option.
  9. AlwaysinModeration
    I say they trade him to Toronto for Alek Manoah straight up.
  10. AlwaysinModeration
    Travis Sawchik’s column https://www.thescore.com/mlb/news/2800615/explaining-a-hall-of-fame-vote-and-process makes 100 ballots. Beltre 98 Mauer 83 Helton 82 Wagner 79 Sheffield 73 In answer to your question, DJ, I’d say he definitely has a chance.
  11. AlwaysinModeration
    Interesting analysis.
  12. AlwaysinModeration
    Ten votes posted in the last 24 hours after Christmas. Not doing a full update, but I think it’s worth noting this development in the voting pattern: Helton 81.4% Mauer 81.4%. Mauer pulls even with Helton for the first time, by getting 9 of 10 ballots from 50 to 60, while Helton only got 6 of those 10. Last year Helton fell just 11 votes short of enshrinement, with 72.2% of the vote. His public total via the tracker last year was 78.6%, so he lost 6.4% of that public total when the actual vote totals were released. This year so far, Helton has a net loss of one of his votes from last year—remember he only needs to add 11 measly votes to get in. Historically, if a player is right at the cusp, a bunch of voters add him to their ballot the next year and they get in the following year. This is definitely worth tracking - if Mauer can keep even with Helton, he’s got a good shot of eking in this year on the first ballot.
  13. AlwaysinModeration
    50 votes in: Beltre: 98% (not unanimous) Helton 86% Mauer 80% ————————- Sheffield 74% Wagner 72% A Jones 66% Beltran 62% Utley 52% Everyone drifting down a bit.
  14. AlwaysinModeration
    One other thing helping his candidacy—Ichiro played in the season opening two-game series in Japan at the Tokyo Dome in March of 2019. Those two games delayed Ichiro’s eligibility from this year’s ballot to next year’s. If Ichiro and Beltre were both on this ballot, I think Joe would be receiving less support. It’s still going to be close this year, but fingers cross he can stay above 75%.
  15. AlwaysinModeration
    25 vote mark: Beltre, still 100% Helton, 88% (22 votes) Mauer, 84% (21) Sheffield 76% (18) ———————————- Wagner 72% (17) Andruw Jones 68% (16) Beltran 68% (16) Utley 60% (14)
  16. AlwaysinModeration
    I’m not sure where exactly to start here
  17. AlwaysinModeration
    And Jason Kelce says the play is an absolutely brutal, draining play.
  18. AlwaysinModeration
    Who liked her?
  19. AlwaysinModeration
    That was a remarkable catch. That no KC Chief makes.
  20. AlwaysinModeration
    He was trying to avoid a sack and go out of field goal range. Incredible unfortunate it wound up being a pick.
  21. AlwaysinModeration
    Yeah, and Reader is out. Run the ball.
  22. AlwaysinModeration
    Vikings win, and sit back and watch the rest of the playoff contenders falter the rest of the weekend.
  23. AlwaysinModeration
    While I agree that seems likely to be the ultimate outcome, which is great, “first ballot Hall of Famer” is quite the distinction. Last year there were 8 blank ballots and 12 1-vote ballots.
  24. AlwaysinModeration
    15 votes in. Top Ten currently; Beltre 100% Helton 93.3% Mauer 80% Sheffield 80% Wagner 73.3% Andruw 66.7% Utley 60% Beltran 53.3% ARod 46.7% MannyBManny 40% So far, so good. Hopefully there aren’t too many of those curmudgeonly “Zero!” voters this year.
  25. AlwaysinModeration
    The Hall of Fame voting is underway, and while there have been countless debates on these pages about Joe’s Hall of Fame credentials, we finally have some actual, real, live votes being cast that, you know, matter. Ryan Thibadoux does an annual tabulation of publicly available ballots; many writers post their ballots online, write articles about it, justify their votes, etc. Thibadoux also manages to get ahold of some anonymous ballots as well. The tracker website is here: http://www.bbhoftracker.com As of today, with 11 total votes cast; Joe has 8 of 11 votes, for 72.7%. He needs 75% of the 300+ expected votes. Beltre has 11 of 11, and Helton has a 10 of 11 (91%). Sheffield is tied with Mauer at 72.7%, while others of note, like Billy Wagner, ARod, Andrew Jones, and Chase Utley trail. It’s early days in the voting, but the early signs are quite encouraging.
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