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AlwaysinModeration

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Everything posted by AlwaysinModeration

  1. What is the probability of winning 12 Major League Baseball games in a row?
  2. Kudos to Rocco for having Kepler and Julien in the lineup…there will likely be a new pitcher in by the time they reach Julien’s spot in the lineup.
  3. I think you are seeing more of the picture than I am.
  4. The sausage is on a roll.
  5. I was wondering how long it would take the game thread to turn to sausage. About as long as I would have guessed.
  6. If he had been relieved when he gave up the single to Grossman, he would have had negative WPA, because the White Sox were about 20% chance to win there. By putting two runners on base, he made getting that last out way more valuable.
  7. Yes. He moved the outcome from 83% likely win for the Twins to 100%. In between that he moved it higher by recording outs, and lower by allowing baserunners, but at the end of the game, he got to the same place.
  8. Getting an out with the bases empty is not as valuable as getting an out with a runner on base.
  9. There were eight golden pitches last night; the two to Pham, three to Grossman, and three to Lee. Once Mendick walked, the game could have ended in a win or a loss on any of those pitches.
  10. Team leader in stolen bases (and graceful slides) is Christian Vazquez, on pace for 11.5 steals.
  11. I don’t think “soon” means what you think it means.
  12. Chance for Paddack to continue righting the ship and for the team to get back to .500. Did not see either of those things as likely, so quickly, after seeing Paddack and the team get dismantled in Baltimore.
  13. There were two “Golden Pitches” in that game, both pitches in the Trout at bat. The game hung in the balance, as either team could have won the game depending on the outcome of either pitch.
  14. Well, that draft was fun. Hope they picked right!
  15. Is it too late to take “push” on the over under?
  16. Miranda is the top hitter in the lineup and Larnach hasn’t made an out all year!
  17. I just read the Dane Brugler “Beast” draft guide write ups on Maye, Daniels, Penix and Nix. If the Vikings can trade up for Daniels, they should.
  18. And since you are part of the syndicate, you get a share!
  19. Here are a few things I didn’t like about the PH Margot in the 4th with the bases loaded: 1) Julien knows how to work a count—bases loaded favors him, even against a lefty 2) In the 4th inning, you are guaranteed to give Margot 2 abs, likely 3. (Turned out he got 3). So you are choosing to give Margot as many abs if not more than your starter, in order to get a marginal platoon advantage in one of those abs. 3) Julien is a building block for this team. If you keep pinch hitting for him in key spots (and they aren’t bringing in lefties against him in non-key spots, generally), he is rarely going to get a chance to come through in a key situation.
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