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Everything posted by ashbury
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GALLO!!!!
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w00t
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The Twins Have a Hitting Development Problem
ashbury replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
On a team with post-season ambitions I see him as a spot starter, bullpen, AAA shuttle, type. Of course he could slot into Oakland's rotation and give them a steady 5-6 ERA at the moment. Maybe at age 25 he hasn't quite peaked yet, I dunno.- 28 replies
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- trevor larnach
- aaron sabato
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The Twins Have a Hitting Development Problem
ashbury replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
He was a nice find in the 15th round but is profiling as a supplemental arm at best. "Bad" is such an unpleasant word.- 28 replies
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- trevor larnach
- aaron sabato
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Weather delay, per mlb.tv. Does this bit of rain help wash some smoke out of the air? My reading of the AirNow map shows a little improvement. My reading of the NWS forecast shows that the rain is moving out but more will arrive soon.
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Once again the b-r.com link leads to the wrong player with a similar name. The one we want is https://www.baseball-reference.com/register/player.fcgi?id=gonzal006jac Anyway, let some other team take this prospect. The bat would be interesting for a SS, not as much otherwise.
- 10 replies
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- jacob gonzalez
- mlb draft
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Last off-season I felt a change at the top should be on the table, and a good season in 2023 (after two bad ones) was a must. If their 5-year planning horizon involves the word "rebuild" in any form or synonym, then I want them out. They had one rebuild and I'm not interested in them leading another. It's not that FalVine are incompetent, far from it, but there are always assistants in other organizations who can be given a chance and failure should not be accepted for long periods. Another losing season in 2023 and IMO they're basically on a path to running the franchise into the ground. Next, please.
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Nygaard Mock Draft v. 2.0
ashbury replied to Jeremy Nygaard's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
I still feel elite catcher is a rich team's luxury for when all other needs are filled. I don't remember why Teel is not in the consensus top five, but the Twins need to be really sure of their player evaluation skills relative to other competent organizations if they take the catcher. As others have said, don't try to get cute at #5.- 31 replies
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- mlb draft 2023
- twins daily mlb draft
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Replying to my own post, just for simplicity, the current CBA is found online here and Appendix A contains a uniform player's contract. (Any important contract no doubt contains unique language beyond this.) There are many clauses of course and amateur legal sleuths may enjoy digging through them all, but I found 7(b)(2) in that appendix to contain the language regarding skills, notably, "fail, in the opinion of the Club’s management, to exhibit sufficient skill or competitive ability to qualify or continue as a member of the Club’s team" (my emphasis) This specifies contract termination, so like I said. Nuclear Option. And of course the distinction between "exhibit" versus being injured is going to be fraught.
- 117 replies
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- kenta maeda
- jovani moran
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I think* it's the case that MLB contracts of any significant value carry a clause regarding so-called "diminished skills." It's not often brought into play but here is a link to what happened with Frank Thomas a couple of decades ago. link I'd imagine the current contract does not specify that Buxton has to play CF specifically, so it depends on how exactly the diminished skills clause is worded. It's kind of a nuclear option, and the FO would want to think extremely carefully before trying to invoke it; not only could it result in a grievance hearing or a lawsuit, but they'd have to feel sure of where the teammates stand on the matter. Perhaps "only" $15M for several years isn't enough to justify the risk. However, actually invoking it is not the only value the clause carries for the team. It could also be the basis for starting a frank discussion, where a renegotiated contract would be the outcome. * okay, for all I know, such clauses could have been banned by more recent Collective Bargaining Agreements.
- 117 replies
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- kenta maeda
- jovani moran
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If Willi Castro is your best position player,
- 35 replies
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- byron buxton
- carlos correa
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Firing Popkins won't accomplish anything unless it marks an organizational change in how hitting is approached throughout the system. Waiting for mistakes from the pitcher, if that sloganized summary suffices to explain the philosophy, is of course where a lot of every team's offense comes from, but taken to extremes it will produce hitters who look great in the minors but then fizzle when facing the elite arms who reach the majors and stay there.
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Shutouts are by definition "complete game shutouts." This important information was passed along unsolicited by an MLB official scorer so I take it more seriously than some distinctions.
- 45 replies
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- joe ryan
- byron buxton
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Should The Twins Make A Swap At Third Base?
ashbury replied to Cody Pirkl's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I live to serve. -
Now Is Not the Time for a Six-Man Rotation
ashbury replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Keeping Ober's innings down means keeping someone else's innings up. The pitchers performing well are presumably already maxed out. You want more innings from Pagan? -
Do MLB roster rules permit a team to IL a player against his wishes? If that veteran player says, I'm good to go but only as DH, are the team's options to play him, bench him, or DFA him? IOW can a team IL a player simply on the grounds of being a bad hitter at present?
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This Team is Just the Timberwolves
ashbury replied to Hans Birkeland's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Part of me wishes I followed the Wolves more closely so that I would fully grok all the great analogies and references. The saner part of me reminds my other self that there's only room for so much aggravation in one's life.- 19 replies
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- byron buxton
- carlos correa
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Now Is Not the Time for a Six-Man Rotation
ashbury replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
You hit several negatives, and to me they outweigh the positives. Except in rare cases, a six-man rotation's main feature is to give more starts to the sixth best candidate you currently have, the last thing you should want. Only if the extra day of rest will elevate everyone's performance will it pay off, because also the bullpen is weakened for the cases a given starter has a bad day. I'd sooner explore the potential of a four-man rotation, but that introduces different objections. -
Should The Twins Make A Swap At Third Base?
ashbury replied to Cody Pirkl's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
No. Emptier. -
It's not always easy to guess which incentives will have perverse outcomes. The clear intent was to incentivize him to be as healthy as possible. The catch is that the threshold benchmarks only measure part of a star player's performance; he's incentivized to be able to bat.
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The subject line could have been clearer.* It's a game. I like games. Games can be arbitrary. Fun to play with friends, and that's why I bothered to participate, when usually I pass "all-time team" discussions right on by. * And I resisted until now to mention the spelling/grammar error. Whose on first?
- 54 comments
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Week in Review: Momentum Killers
ashbury replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Yeah, every argument in his favor, whether counting stats or rate/percentages, is fueled by his first 15 starts of the season. Maybe he's capable of heating up again, but right now it's what have you done for us lately, Joey?- 54 replies
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- carlos correa
- byron buxton
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Should The Twins Make A Swap At Third Base?
ashbury replied to Cody Pirkl's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
It's cherry picking, but after his monumental home run against Cleveland, his OPS has been .577. No extra-base hits, only 2 walks. However.... he's hitting .273 in that span. It's the classic "empty" batting average, one that's powered by a BABIP north of .400. Still, he's putting bat on ball, and not being overwhelmed. If he was the worst problem on the roster, maybe send him down to AAA, but given his age and pedigree, I'd say to let him keep at it. Another week's worth of data might change my mind, if the BABIP goes down without an uptick in power or batting eye, and also to wait and see if Miranda's mild resurgence at AAA stands up a bit longer.

