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ashbury

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Everything posted by ashbury

  1. ashbury
    Heading out to a picnic at the lake. Hope today's game makes me regret this silly choice.
  2. ashbury
    Oh? I hadn't heard.
  3. ashbury
    Take me out to the asset management game, Take me out with the CFO. Buy me some ballparks and writeoffs with a smirk, I don't care if I look like a jerk. For it's root, root root for the profits, If the Twins don't win, well, who cares? For it's one, two, three bonuses for me. At the asset management fair!
  4. ashbury
    Hadn't paid much attention yet to the Dominican Summer League this season, since it's just underway, but in the early going, the batters throughout the league are way ahead of the pitchers. Average run scoring is 6.19 right now. So while the Twins ERA in the 8s is pretty bad, there are 4 other teams doing even worse! Anyone like me who likes to play around with scouting players from their stats had better be aware of just how much of a hitter's league this is. (I also read almost nothing into a player's stats until he's age 20 or so, and a 20-year old in DSL is automatically a bit suspect, thus the DSL is more or less "oh, look at the ugly/pretty numbers.") Hope a few gems emerge from this mass of young talent.
  5. ashbury
    Oakland? He's been-there-done-that. As for punishing him, I believe a trade negates the possibility of a draft pick being attached to him in free agency. That in turn increases his value to the team that signs him, which in turn increases the salary offers. Bring it on, he'll say. They can trade him to Toledo for all he cares. No, the team might "punish" him by keeping him, knowing he still needs to pitch at a high level in order to make money in free agency, and they'll slap a Qualifying Offer on him ($20M) which at his age he probably won't want to accept while seeking a bigger multi-year payday. It's probably not the money, per se, for him, but his legacy as a big time pitcher - he might have a $100M career earnings threshold he wants to exceed, I don't pretend to know exactly how a person thinks when at that level of achievement.
  6. ashbury
    Great. Now what's a Domestic Reserve List? / never mind - looked it up, 180 players per franchise to cover their entire minor league system. There's also a 70-player International Reserve List. https://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/33291388/mlb-seeks-ability-reduce-size-domestic-reserve-list-latest-labor-offer-players-union-sources-say
  7. ashbury
    Slumping Tigers? They've won 2 games in a row. One more and it's a winning streak. It has happened before. You're welcome, Detroit.
  8. ashbury
    Runners? After the second inning, they got 4 more hits and one walk, in 26 PA, give or take (just doing simple math from the box score). That's a .160 batting average. Yes, they didn't literally get no-hit the rest of the way, runners were produced, plural. But the bats went to sleep, just as they so often do. Putrid game. Glad I missed it. I was at a memorial service for an acquaintance, and had arguably a better time. / edit - oops, didn't take into account double plays. 4-for-24, .167 BA. Much better.
  9. ashbury
    Send him to AA Wichita and then bench him once he's there. Nah, he's fine where he is. At least until Nick Gordon is ready to play again.
  10. ashbury
    After tonight's game, I fall back on my two philosophies of life: So far, so bad Live and don't learn Hope AK does better next time he faces a lefthander. Wonder how long it will be until then.
  11. ashbury
    Rocco, or Pete Maki? Of course Rocco makes the decision, but if Maki's input is always different regarding Gray than for the other starters ....
  12. ashbury
    Gray had more self-criticism than critique for the decision to take him out. I might be unaware of some nuance in his words, either to the manager's ears or to the rest of the clubhouse, but to me Sonny Gray showed class in his interview (soliloquy, more like).
  13. ashbury
    "Tick tock, my friend."
  14. ashbury
    The odds do go up.
  15. ashbury
    He was supported by more than 3 runs only once, and he was done in by bullpen hilarity at least a couple of times. He did no worse than keep his team in the game, each outing, and four times was pitcher of record had there been a win instead of a blown save. Of course one tried and true way to reduce the bullpen's role in your own fate is to pitch deeper into the game. Come on, Sonny, we're pulling for you!
  16. ashbury
    There are 3 corollaries for handedness and which side of the ball you are on, that I would also print up in quantity.
  17. ashbury
    "Oh, the pressure! Under the microscope every time I face a lefty!" Have I mentioned I don't care too much about pressure now and then, given how pro sports work? And I always fall back on the bottom-line: "I don't want right handed batters. I want batters who can hit lefties." Yes, let's find out. I think the results will be good with AK.
  18. ashbury
    Puckett was among the three with highest regret. Again, I used Wins Above Average since we're honing in on "greatest" kinds of discussions rather than simply contributions over and above some AAA scrub. And I used career as a Twin, rather than one single peak season, just because. The costs you assigned were often at variance with WAA - so be it, another poster may pick a different metric than I chose, including of course no numerical metric at all. Mauer actually had the highest regret (22 wins), Puckett and Carew were tied (18 wins), and Killebrew was also strong (12 wins). WAA isn't very kind to Hunter, so the gap between him and Kirby is larger than some might expect. Among the starting pitching, the top 3 were very close to each other and there was a steep dropoff to #4, making Santana the "value play" as others phrased it. And so on - the other positions just were not high enough WAAs to make much difference by comparison.
  19. ashbury
    We may have hit some sort of satirical vortex that we'll never get out of. Wait, is there an echo in this room?
  20. ashbury
    Welcome to the site, sonny.
  21. ashbury
    I think I accidentally sabotaged your comment by trying for a quick edit to insert the same point of view at about the same time.
  22. ashbury
    I would not dislike to be disassociated with the anti-sentiment to this. I think. Sometimes I lose count.
  23. ashbury
    It's surprising how detailed the coaching staff's gameplan can be some days.
  24. ashbury
    Everyday players are extremely valuable, and the "sample size" for Kirilloff this year is still pretty small, so I like the idea of giving him a chance to establish himself as a better option against lefties than other alternatives who bat from either side. Injuries have made his raw stats pretty chancy to interpret, but back when he was a hot young prospect in the minors his L/R splits weren't alarming at all. Then again the lefties he faced in the minors could have been sprinkled with "prospect" pitchers whose best credential was merely throwing left-handed, and in the majors those types are (mostly) weeded out.
  25. ashbury
    There is a menu on the right of the page where you can choose many settings, including whether it's batters, SP, or RP you look at. Joe Ryan ranks very highly, #2 among starters. Duran is #6 among relievers.
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