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ashbury

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Everything posted by ashbury

  1. ashbury
    Not a very close comp, exactly because he's "younger" as you point out. Age matters and Walker was achieving better numbers at AA at a younger age than Lee, and was holding his own at AAA this year at age 21, after being sent down for a while to polish up some things on defense reportedly. The learning curve for a super-talented youngster can be very rapid. Lee is no graybeard and he's coming along too, but it's getting a bit out over our skis to bring him up now.
  2. ashbury
    No, because you're expecting me to proactively ask also about Buxton's and Correa's seasons so far.
  3. ashbury
    Wallner will also launch someone's fat pitch toward the stands in RF and you'll say "Kepler would not have caught that," in either sense of the phrase.
  4. ashbury
    Star light, star bright. First star I've seen tonight. I wish I may, I wish I might, have this wish I wish this night: "Have TD get the correct player consistently when they link to baseball-reference.com" Dang it. I forgot to wait until tonight to post this.
  5. ashbury
    Varland has pitched very much like a #5 in the rotation, his past two starts. His seasonal OPS-against indicates the league finds him hittable, with the longball his bugaboo in particular. I hope he puts up a splendid game against the weak-hitting Tigers. Otherwise it may be that the pixie dust has worn off of this lightly-touted prospect and he needs to go to AAA for another application of the magic. Maybe that will coincide with Maeda suddenly being ready to pitch like a rotation asset for the big club; otherwise, we're starting to look at choices like Aaron Sanchez or Brent Headrick, holding our breath each start. Pagan rightly gets vitriol for blowing the lead, but Varland's short start led to Pagan being in the game at all. Starting pitching has been the team's strong point this season, but the supply is not infinite.
  6. ashbury
    Concur. There are times when WAR is a useful measure of a player's contribution, but when the discussion involves words like "greatest" I prefer the related measure, Wins Above Average. On b-r.com this change in view knocks Kepler down to 10th from 8th. This was setting at 80% the number of total games when in the outfield - if I lower it to 60% then I get reminded that Tovar played a lot of CF and should be in the discussion. My Mount Rushmore for Twins outfielders would be something like Puckett, Oliva, Allison, Buxton. For a franchise like the Twins, going much beyond 4 (Mack? Span?) starts to get into a Local Hall of the Very Good, not "greatest." Max Kepler certainly was Very Good.
  7. ashbury
  8. ashbury
    Clean sweep in the minor league system today? A welcome tonic after getting basically skunked yesterday (maybe one low-minors win?). Kudos to Mr. Soularie for a good game. It would be nice to see something develop from the top of that 2020 draft. Granted, the later rounds* of that draft are working out well. * I jest a little. It was a short draft that year.
  9. ashbury
    Ceiling remains high. I'm not sure the staff, broadly viewed, it getting the most out of the position players or the bullpen.
  10. ashbury
    75% blame to FalVine for bullpen construction. 25% blame to Pagan for being Pagan.
  11. ashbury
    Probably short for in need of down-time, and not the more dire connotations.
  12. ashbury
    You have to think about how WPA works to really let this number soak in. Each team starts at .500 to win, at the outset. If you put together a win, that means .500 worth of points is available to split among all your participants that day, batters and pitchers together, which brings the sum to 1.000 for the complete win. The reverse point system goes for the losing team, accumulating their negative .500 to bring their sum to .000 and the loss. Pagan in those three batters did more than a typical loss's worth of damage. He turned a very likely win to a very likely loss, in that short span of time. Not unheard of (Cimber had a -.754 just yesterday for Toronto, and we all LOLed), but it's still remarkable. Pagan's ERA for the season rose from 3.76 to 4.61 with this one game. That's the nature of being a short reliever. Bad as the ERA is, his season WPA is now -.781, worst on the staff, and that to me says more. It lines up better with how much of a gut punch his 3 biggest failures this season have been. He racks up tiny positive WPA in the low-leverage successes, but more than offsets them with these disasters.
  13. ashbury
    Not seeing professional at bats when the chips are down.
  14. ashbury
    Gotta protect better than that with 2 strikes.
  15. ashbury
    Game on the line, Correa tries to pull an outside pitch.
  16. ashbury
    Wait, I take back all the criticism of Pagan. I mean, he just pitched a clean 1-2-3 against the top of the lineup.
  17. ashbury
    I think we do have to hold you accountable this afternoon.
  18. ashbury
    This is on Varland. I realize he's a rookie and you have to make allowances. But if he goes 6, Pagan doesn't appear. Notice Rocco gave Emilio the bottom of the order to work against. That's the second choice, to not having to use him at all.
  19. ashbury
    **** **** **** **** **** **** Pagan **** **** ****.
  20. ashbury
    Close, Squirrel. So close.
  21. ashbury
    The panel would also have accepted Hebrides Overture.
  22. ashbury
  23. ashbury
    Don't forget Rickrolls. We're not just one-trick ponies here at the Game Threads. Spam and clickbait are just two of the many services we offer.
  24. ashbury
    Granny buzzed an inside pitch at eye level against Kep and he swung weakly at the next pitch for a strikeout. You remember that kind of thing.
  25. ashbury
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