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Nine of twelve

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Everything posted by Nine of twelve

  1. Nine of twelve
    Cincinnati 4, Detroit 3. Our number over the Tigers drops to 8. Edited to add: Detroit starts a 10-day, 10-game west coast road trip on Friday. That should help our cause.
  2. Nine of twelve
    I can PM the details to you if you want. It’s pretty conclusive.
  3. Nine of twelve
    SF 6, Cle 5. One week ago we left Cleveland with a 6-game lead. The lead is now 7.5 games. This is favorable. Let the nines begin!
  4. Nine of twelve
    Goodbye, everyone. We’ll miss you.
  5. Nine of twelve
    A month ago we still needed to have him available to start in case the Keuchel experiment backfired. It was only after Keuchel was found to be performing acceptably that they had the option of converting him to relief for the remainder of the season. I expect the organization will want him to revert to starting next spring.
  6. Nine of twelve
    Trading Larnach makes sense for the organization and it would give him a better opportunity to become an established major leaguer. But every other team knows that too, and that’s going to bring down his trade value. The ideal scenario is to find a team who has a need for a player with his skill set.
  7. Nine of twelve
    Well, no, because the point of discussion was how the Twins’ record may or may not have been affected by being in a different division. So it’s only the Twins’ record that should be looked at. Of course to be completely precise if the Twins were in a different division that means the divisions would have to be realigned and one would need to take into account which teams would be in which divisions. Beyond that it would be necessary to wait until the end of the regular season. But those steps are not necessary to show that the strength of schedule has only a very small effect. And further, the difference in the Twins’ overall record of only two wins in spite of the huge difference between the East division’s record and the Central division’s record reinforces how small the effect of strength of schedule actually is, at least as far as the Twins are concerned.
  8. Nine of twelve
    I did some calculations based on how the Twins have done this season against each of the three AL divisions. The results: If we were in the East we would finish the season with two fewer wins. If we were in the West we would finish the season with one more win. So, as you can now see, the strength of schedule is of minimal consequence. This proves what I said, that the overwhelming advantage of being in the Central is the lower number of wins required to win the division, not the strength of schedule as you said.
  9. Nine of twelve
    In his postgame interview he mentioned making adjustments. That’s how he did it. It would have been extremely difficult to hit that pitch as far as he did just by reacting to it. He anticipated how Littell would pitch him and was prepared to apply his skill as a major league hitter when he got the pitch he expected.
  10. Nine of twelve
    But the advantage lies primarily with not needing a lot of wins to qualify for the postseason. The difficulty of schedule is only a very slight advantage.
  11. Nine of twelve
    This goes a bit off-topic. The new schedule doesn’t give us that much of a break because there are fewer intradivision games than in the past. There used to be 76 intradivision games, now there are only 52.
  12. Nine of twelve
    In a way this thread is beating a dead horse. (BTW that’s a really horrible metaphor, isn’t it?) The thing is we don’t know the specifics of any trade that may have actually been discussed. I’d be very glad to have a more reliable bullpen. What if it would have cost us Edouard Julien or someone similar or more? Deadline buying requires overpayment. Always. I strongly suspect that deals were discussed and declined by our FO because the return didn’t justify the cost.
  13. Nine of twelve
    jorgenswest pointed out Kirilloff’s mistake in the fifth inning. He would have gotten the out by committing to handling the play himself. The three-run home run would not have then occurred because the inning would have ended before it happened. It was a classic rookie mistake (that I hope is a lesson learned) that turned out to be the difference in the game. Floro deserved better. Even though the three runs show up on the stat sheet as earned runs it was a fielding mistake that allowed them to score.
  14. Nine of twelve
    Job well done. Now let’s get to work on getting that run back.
  15. Nine of twelve
    As the old saying goes, many times the best trades are the ones you don’t make.
  16. Nine of twelve
    My take on Gray is that he doesn’t need anyone else to motivate himself.
  17. Nine of twelve
    Keep in mind the rosters can be reset after each round of the postseason. So we only need to roster 3 starters for the first round. After that we will need only 4. I think the plan is to have Ober ready for the second round and that’s what I hope for. I don’t think he would work as a reliever and I think Maeda would be better suited for that. I’m glad Keuchel has been satisfactory in his role as the last starter in the rotation as the season winds down but IMHO he doesn’t belong on a postseason roster. Edited to add: Paddack shouldn’t be ruled out as a long shot. If he looks dominant in his rehab assignment he is in the mix.
  18. Nine of twelve
    Actually, because Cleveland holds the tiebreaker going 16-2 would win them the division in that scenario.
  19. Nine of twelve
    Regarding the order in which Gray and Lopez pitch in the postseason, if one is historically better in individual matchups with opposing batters then that’s who goes first. Also, Gray being more experienced may make him slightly better suited for the first postseason game. But beyond that I don’t think it makes much difference. I myself am optimistic about this postseason. I think our starting pitching is flying under the radar of most of the national media and I think some eyes will be opened next month.
  20. Nine of twelve
    LAA 6, Cle 2. Let the 13’s begin!
  21. Nine of twelve
    Whether it’s Stevenson or Gordon, when MAT comes back that player will be taken off the active roster. That will probably happen before Gordon is ready anyway.
  22. Nine of twelve
    As others have said, Castro has supplanted Gordon and it’s on merit, not by default. Given the current oversupply of left-handed bats in the organization Gordon doesn’t really have a place here any more. When the off-season rolls around there are other players who will be higher priorities for those valuable spots on the 40-man. My hope is to find a trading partner for him but that’s unlikely because everyone knows he’s probably destined to be DFA’d. I think he has a reasonable chance to become an important player somewhere else in 2024. Losing him with nothing in return would be unfortunate but that’s the business of baseball. We have to do what’s best for the organization.
  23. Nine of twelve
    A’s on pace for 50.55 wins. Royals on pace for 49.85 wins.
  24. Nine of twelve
    Mike Redmond
  25. Nine of twelve
    Alonso didn’t hit 43 home runs by accident.
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