IaBeanCounter

I agree, I would rather have the bad appearances grouped in one bad loss than spread over 3 potential losses, Including last night Ortega, Moran and Pagan have allowed earned runs in 33.3%, 32.5% and 19.5%, respectively of the games they appear in. Jax and Duran have allowed earned runs in 22.2% and 21.6% of their appearances. It appears last nights game has cost Ortega his spot on the 26 man roster. Actually its more of 6 of 10. Has come in when the Twins are leading by 3 runs or less 5 times and has 2 holds and 3 BS. I don't believe we lose if Pagan starts the inning. Just my opinion The bullpen was bad, and even though the Twins scored 7 runs I'm disappointed in the their at bats after Wallner's homerun. It's like each of them was trying to paid their HR stat line. Following the HR there were 20 outs until the end of 7th inning (before BP blowup). Of the 20 outs one was a SF and one was a CS, leaving 18 outs. Of the 18 outs 14 were strikeouts. What if there were only 7 (over 9 per 9 innings) that would leave 7 outs on balls in play. Assuming a .300 BABIP that means there would have been 3 more hits (assuming no HRs). The Twins had 6 runs on 7 hits through 7. If those 3 hits had generated one more run, even with the blowup, Duran would have had a 1 run lead into the 9th. This was a bad loss that I blame on a combination of factors. 12th game in 12 days, 2 extra inning games the previous 2 days and baseball luck. The Twins had 2 9th inning comeback games in a row and this was the baseball gods evening things out.

18 Ks out of 24 outs!

You are correct. I had $50,000 instead of $500,000 for pick 150.

I doubt they have been offered $150,000. The lower unsigned picks are draft picks 567 and 597. The Twins have signed draft picks 417, 447, 477 and 507 for $100,000 each and 537 for $50,000. They are both HS picks, so the amount offered may no be worth the value of going to JC or college and hoping to to substantially increase their future payoff.

I can understand why Boras wants over slot value. From what I read any of the top 5 would have been a top pick (or 2nd) in any other year. So the 4th and 5th picks are probably worth more than their slot value. The 4th pick went $302,000 over slot, I would expect Jenkins to want at least $300,000 over the slot value.

I think the first 10 rounds count against the slot values and on the signings other than Jenkins are about $450,000 below slot value. So the Twins could go over slot by $450,000 and not pay the 5% penalty. Boras was probably waiting for the others to sign to know how much slot money was available. I think I read somewhere on TD if he doesn't sign the Twins get additional picks in next years draft.

I didn't see the play, but the pre AS Twins seemed just as likely to score on WP or PB as they were to get another hit.

My comment was in jest, but Jax had a rough start this year with soft contact hits. The two homers were on hanging sweepers, hopefully Seattle is the only team that will homers off him.

What does Jax have against Maeda? Two starts in row where he gives up a homerun to snatch a win from Maeda.

Is it Pagan time?

And baserunning

Need a run or two. Who is going to close?

There is always a point to getting to 3rd. Can score on wild pitch, passed ball, infield single, etc.

2 innings on 15 pitches. Twins are in a hurry to get back in the field.

Gallo has a sprint speed of 26.7 ft/sec. and Solano is 25.4. Over 90 ft that's about .2 seconds. I doubt Solana would have even tried to score on that play.

Not yet, but I have to eat some crow. On 6/27 when Stewart went down I responded to a questions as to whether Pagan could step up and I responded that I didn't believe he could because he had troubles with good teams (over .500). Beginning with the Baltimore road series Pagan has appeared in 11 games, 10 innings 1 ER for an ERA of .90. Four of the appearance were against Balt and two against Sea. In those 6 games he has 4.1 IP and 0 ER. So I have to admit he has stepped it up and I was wrong. Pagan has been awful in 3 games (Bos 6 ER, LAD 3 ER and Tor 3 ER). In his other 36 appearance (I don't count the 1 HBP pitch leave with injury) he has given up 4 runs (all single run appearances). Some want to discount yesterday's game, but for the home team to not allow the ghost to score, increases the chances of winning from 43.8% to 80.7% a WPA swing of .369. Do I like seeing Pagan come in close game against a good team, no. But I have gone from perceiving that he will have an 80% chance of failure to believing that its a 50/50 game, even though the numbers to date say it will be more of 60-70% chance of being a successful outing (carryover from last year I guess). I hope July Pagan is the Pagan we see for the remainder of the year.

On the double steal I don't think EJ could return the ball to get Anderson. Has a catcher ever thrown hard, but back to the pitcher? That's the only way I see they get an out.

Wonder if the Moran will be sent down for Keuchel. Seemed odd to use him for 2 inning, even though he only threw 22 pitches

This is a big series for Chicago. If they lose the series the will certainly be sellers at the trade deadline. If they win the series they will still have hope. Hoping the Twins can take care of business at home and win the series.

Is Keuchel's opt out date today or next Friday?

This games feels like Monday's game only in reverse. Monday the Twins should have knocked Gilbert out but allowed him to go 5 innings 94 pitches 2 runs. Today Seattle should have knock Lopez out, but he made it 5 innings 98 pitches 2 runs. Hopefully the Twins will be able to come back and win the game.

Pablo struggled, but only gave up one run. I hope that is his one bad inning and cruises from here

Thanks. I have never seen this before, but based on the definition Pagen (with a 3 up 3 down inning) was the most effective reliver after Jax. Just wondering, if Pagen had loaded the bases but didn't allow a run and Duran came in and struck out the side in 10 pitches, could Duran get both the win and save?

I believe that Buxton is both injured and in a slump. BB had been hitting bullets that the were caught. I believe that he is in an 0-22 streak with 14 strikeouts. The start of the streak coincided with BB taking some out field practice. Prior to the streak he in 23 AB he only had 3 strikeouts. I agree that he should be put on the IL and I am disappointed that Rocco said he would be in the lineup today. I don't know if 10 days or 30 days would improve his physical condition or if it is chronic. A final point is that I am wondering if BB is pressing to hard at DH, thinking he has to sellout for homeruns. Maybe with the rest of the lineup clicking he could take a less is more aspect. Make contact, with his speed there is no routine groundball and singles can become doubles.

How did Pagen get the win? He came in with the Twins leading 4-3. Jax had blown the lead, so I don't think he deserved the win. Does the scorekeeper have discretion to consider the BS in awarding the win to a reliver?