Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account
  • Ranking the Twins Top-5 Speed Tool Prospects: 2023


    Cody Christie

    In coming years, bigger bases and fewer pick-off attempts might change a team's base-stealing tendencies. Here are five Twins prospects to watch during the 2023 season because of their speed tool.

    Image courtesy of Darren Yamashita-USA TODAY Sports

    Twins Video

    The Twins have been a poor base running team in recent years, which projects to stay the same in 2023. Last season, Minnesota ranked last in baseball with 38 stolen bases, and FanGraphs ranked the team second to last in BsR, an all-encompassing base running statistic. Some of Minnesota's best base running prospects could help the team's running game in 2023 and beyond.  

    Scouts and front office personnel use a 20-80 scale to evaluate players' tools. This ranking system also projects how those tools will change as the player develops. Speed is one tool that tends to decline as players age, and that reflects in the projections. Below are the top five Twins prospects regarding current and future speed potential.

    5. Yasser Mercedes, OF
    Current Speed/Future Speed: 55/50

    Mercedes quickly impacted the 2022 Dominican Summer League after signing with the Twins for $1.7 million out of the Dominican Republic. Born in Puerto Rico, he hit .355/.421/.555 (.975) with 13 doubles, three triples, and four home runs in 41 games. Even more impressively, he stole 30 bases in 35 attempts. He turned 18 in November, so he projects to become more physically mature. All his defensive innings came in center field last season, and the Twins hope he can stick at the position for the long term. Mercedes is a five-tool talent, and speed might be his worst tool when he reaches Target Field. 

    4. Ben Ross, UTL
    Current Speed/Future Speed: 60/55

    The Twins took Ross with their fifth-round pick in last June's draft out of Notre Dame College (Ohio). Ross was a tremendous hitter in college as he batted .405/.471/.758 (1.229) and showed to be a baserunning threat. He played 22 of his 24 games at Low-A during his professional debut and went a perfect 6-for-6 in stolen base attempts. Since turning pro, the Twins have adjusted his swing, and he has added muscle to his frame. His speed can help him stick at shortstop, but he will likely move around the diamond to multiple defensive positions. He will likely begin 2023 in Fort Myers and is a prospect to watch during the 2023 campaign. 

    3. Jose Salas, SS
    Current Speed/Future Speed: 60/55

    Salas was the top-ranked prospect acquired from the Marlins as part of the Luis Arraez-Pablo Lopez trade. In 2022, he went 33-for-34 in stolen base attempts between Low-A and High-A. He is a very athletic player that projects to add more weight to his body, which will likely take away from his speed before he reaches the big leagues. For now, he's considered a shortstop, but he might lose some quickness and shift to second base, third base, or the outfield. Salas was over three years younger than the average age of the competition in the Midwest League, so the Twins can have him start the 2023 season in Cedar Rapids. 

    2. Will Holland, SS/OF 
    Current Speed/Future Speed: 70/65 

    The Twins selected Holland in the fifth round of the 2019 MLB Draft from Auburn University. His speed helps him on both sides of the ball, and that's one reason the Twins have used him at shortstop and in the outfield. Last season, he went 32-for-36 in stolen base attempts between High-A and Double-A. For a player with limited power, he doesn't make consistent contact (.227 BA in 2022), and he strikes out a lot (137 K in 116 G). His numbers did improve when he got to Double-A, so there is hope he can continue to develop at that level in 2023. 

    1. Royce Lewis, SS/OF
    Current Speed/Future Speed: 70/65

    Evaluators have praised Lewis' speed since he was an amateur, but that was before two major knee surgeries. He returned strongly from the first surgery and is on pace to return to action later this year. His rehab work from the first knee surgery strengthened him and increased his speed. Lewis averaged 25 steals per season in both years, where he played over 50 games. Last season, he went 12-for-14 in stolen base attempts at Triple-A. Overall, he is a smart base runner with the speed to cause havoc for the opposition. 

    Who do you think has the best speed tool in the Twins system? Should someone else make the list? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion.

    OTHER POSTS IN THE SERIES
    -Power Tool
    -Hit Tool

    MORE FROM TWINS DAILY
    — Latest Twins coverage from our writers
    — Recent Twins discussion in our forums
    — Follow Twins Daily via Twitter, Facebook or email
    — Become a Twins Daily Caretaker

     Share


    User Feedback

    Recommended Comments

    Featured Comments

    DaShawn Kiersey and Austin Martin were our top two base stealers last year. Can't really complain about anyone on this list. Didn't realize Ben Ross was this speedy. I'm going to have to pay attention to him this year.

    Generally, guys who have speed play good defense. If these guys can get on base more often and their bat is decent (generally, this is what stops the speed guys from getting to MLB), you really have a player then.

    Oh, and these guys better know how to bunt for hits (other than Lewis who has power). The rest should be our best bunters in the system.

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    I'll believe the Twins will have a running game when I see it. Speed isn't what prevents the team from stealing bases (e.g. Buxton). While I don't like it, I don't think they are wrong either. A guy like Buxton, or great speed, is almost as likely to score from first on a good hit as from second. SBs are even less relevant for a team that isn't built for station to station offence. You're just as likely to be stranded on first after three bad outs than at third-- except on the rare occasion you make it to third with fewer than 2 outs and can tag up. Why risk the out at second, and an inning ending prematurely, from a SB, or in the Twins case, why risk the broken ankle? 

     

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    It'd be interesting where Martin lands. Although speed is essential for base stealing & defense, it's not everything. Instincts and the ability to catch the ball, plays a big part.

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    10 minutes ago, roger said:

    Also, no mention of Julien.  Isn't he supposed to have a lot of speed?

    He's not in the same speed category of the guys listed but more like the next tier of speed, one notch down. He had 19 SB's last year, playing with Austin Martin the entire season (Martin missed a month and still stole more than 30). If Martin got on base like Julien and was healthy the entire season, he would steal 50 bases. It's Julien's combo of decent speed with great OBP, good batting average and power, that has me excited.

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    10 hours ago, MABB1959 said:

    It's all great to speculate on prospects but we rarely get them past prospect.  If we do they are usually one eyelash away from a serious injury.

    I don't understand what this comment does to contribute to the conversation. Idk, maybe I'm just having a bad day.

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    I like the aspects of the speed game. Having guys that can steal bases can mean more than actually stealing bases.  The stolen base threat on first base means the defense having to hold the runner, thus opening up the right side of the infield.  The shortstop has to play closer to the bag if he is going to be the receiver of throws from the catcher.  It affects the pitcher's concentration, timing and pitch selection. And on defense, the faster guys tend to have more range, unless your name is Lonnie Smith.

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    1 hour ago, Devilsadvocate said:

    I don't understand what this comment does to contribute to the conversation. Idk, maybe I'm just having a bad day.

    Because the article is about prospects.  If you don’t like a reply just move on.  Don’t let it ruin your day.  

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Base stealing is a skill. A some point, some players (like, perhaps Buxton) will refrain from doing something they could probably do very well because it does have injury concerns.

    Be interesting to see where it goes in 2023. I have monitored and the Twins have been threatened with at least one steal per spring training game. Most of the Twins steals have come from minor league players.

    Julien and Martin would be the two biggies. Michael Helman also went 40/45 in stolen bases as an infielder/outfielder at two levels last season. The big thing is that the guy has to get on base.

    Also, can argue having a guy like, say, Helman on the bench who could pinch run for the guy on second in the tenth to possibly take third before an out happens. Which ahs become a BIG apt of the game these days.

    And, the topper, you still have to have a batting order to construct around the "base reunner." If he gets on abse, can the next guy advance him. Is the next guy a hitter that will allow the base runner to easily get to third.

     

     

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    On 3/23/2023 at 8:00 PM, MABB1959 said:

    Because the article is about prospects.  If you don’t like a reply just move on.  Don’t let it ruin your day.  

    Don't give yourself too much credit, my day was ruined before reading your comment. I just don't understand the idea of stating that not all prospects pan out and that injury can take place at any time. Both statements are correct but what's the point of stating something that everyone already knows for a fact? 

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    14 hours ago, Devilsadvocate said:

    Don't give yourself too much credit, my day was ruined before reading your comment. I just don't understand the idea of stating that not all prospects pan out and that injury can take place at any time. Both statements are correct but what's the point of stating something that everyone already knows for a fact? 

    I guess I feel like this is what we get year after year after year and we watch and wait and wait.  In just recent memory we got Polanco, a few years of Berrios and some but not enough from Buxton.  So excited for Lewis but not sure what will happen there.  Is there a top prospect I am forgetting about that is here and not often injured?

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    I love players with above average speed, not only the ability to steal bases, but running the base paths well, and in general being a disruptive influence for the opposing team. Hoping the Twins can utilize this skill with players (hello, Mr. Buxton!) that have this trait. 

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites



    Join the conversation

    You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
    Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

    Guest
    Add a comment...

    ×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

      Only 75 emoji are allowed.

    ×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

    ×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

    ×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

    Loading...

×
×
  • Create New...