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Joel Sherman of the New York Post reported yesterday that the Chicago Cubs are “desperate” to trade at least one of Cody Bellinger and Seiya Suzuki. Their intention is to use their salary for catching and pitching help, and to create space for some of their top prospects and young players to get more playing time. While Bellinger’s $27.5 million salary (and $5 million buyout should Bellinger opt out of the final year of his deal) is almost certainly unworkable for the Twins, trading for Seiya Suzuki may be more workable. Let’s talk specifics, and discuss what it might cost to pry his bat away from the Northside of Chicago.
Seiya Suzuki is a right-handed corner outfielder who may be best suited to designated hitter. He was a five-time All-Star in the NPB, where he played for the Hiroshima Tokyo Carp. He’s under contract through 2026, making $18 million each of the next two seasons. When he enters free agency, he will have just turned 32 years old, so he’s got plenty left in the tank.
What’s to like?
Honestly, a lot. He has averaged just shy of 3.0 fWAR across his three major league seasons. He has neutral platoon splits across his career, and should be an everyday player. He would give the Twins another plus bat, and allow the Twins to hedge against the need for Jose Miranda or Edouard Julien to reach their potential (although if they do take a step forward, all the better).
From a results standpoint, all Suzuki does is hit, draws walks, and hit for power. He’s got an .824 career OPS, and the past two seasons have been even better.
He strikes out more than average, but makes up for it with a strong walk rate. His K-BB% for his MLB career is 14.8%. While he’s not a great baserunner, he does have a plus sprint speed, so he wouldn’t clog the basepaths. Still not sold? Check out his Baseball Savant page.
Despite being defensively limited, he is serviceable in right field, and Suzuki could still give the Twins a more complete roster. When the Twins face tough lefties, one of Larnach or Wallner could sit, and Suzuki could play right field. When facing righties, Suzuki could be the primary DH, and his bat is good enough to justify losing the flexibility to rotate guys through when they need a partial day off.
While he hasn’t logged even a single inning as a first baseman with the Cubs, Suzuki could also potentially be part of a first base committee. There’s no guarantee that part would work, but it’s worth exploring. He would give the Twins additional outfield depth in the event of an injury to one of the corner guys, and would allow the front office to let Emmanuel Rodriguez continue to develop in the minors until he forces their hand. His defense wouldn't always be pretty, but he's not a butcher either.
Overall, Suzuki would check a lot of boxes for the Twins, and would make them immediately better.
What would he cost?
Here’s the thing. Seiya Suzuki would help almost every club, so there will be some competition. However, knowing the Cubs want both pitching and catching, the Twins could be a better fit than most. As current rosters stand, the Twins have the fourth-best rotation and the best bullpen in baseball, according to Fangraphs. The Cubs rank 18th in both rotation and bullpen.
Suzuki has some surplus value compared to his contract, but not an outlandish amount across the two seasons. The Twins will need to drop around $20 million in salary to take on his pay. So, I’m looking to get slightly creative here. The package I would lead with, out of necessity, is Christian Vasquez and his $10 million salary, and Chris Paddack and the $7.5 million he’s owed in 2025. That makes the deal salary-neutral so far. The Cubs would appreciate Vasquez’ defensive chops. They may not be terribly interested in Chris Paddack as they just signed Matt Boyd to round out their rotation, but perhaps they could see their way to using him as a swingman, injury replacement, or potential impact reliever.
Then, the Twins would need to add at least one impact player of their own to entice the Cubs. Giving the Cubs the option to choose between Jhoan Duran and Griffin Jax could possibly be enough to get it done. It’s possible a prospect would need to change hands to balance the ledger, but it shouldn’t be a top prospect either way.
In this scenario, both teams get better, and accomplish clear goals each has for the offseason. The Twins subtract a couple million dollars in payroll, and also don’t lose anyone they can’t live without. It would hurt not having one of Duran or Jax at the back of the bullpen, but again, it’s a position of strength, and it’s likely worth it.
What do you think? Would you be excited about this trade? Do you think it’s realistic? Comment below!
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