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gman

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Everything posted by gman

  1. If Miranda is short of time this winter to work on his batting post surgery, maybe he can bring his father with him next month to help get his swing down..
  2. It's been awhile and I've forgotten what a good pen can really do when you have 5 or 6 really good relievers.
  3. I don't trade either player. If the Twins propose to make consistent playoff appearances they need 12 or 13 players available. As we saw the first half of last year, they didn't have the team hitting to run away from a bad division. Keep the young talent and work them into starting roles, which doesn't mean 160 games a year roles anymore. Without a great amount of luck, the Twins are more than a #3 starting pitcher away from the World Series. Be patient and build a TEAM.
  4. As far as short term call ups go, Michael Helman, Deshawn Kersey and Anthony Prato have all had good stolen base years. Since these three have been in the org for a couple of years and are on the roster for St Paul I'd think they should be call-ups this year as injury replacements. Lee could be but I'd think letting him complete his minor league training to come full time to the Twins is more in his cards. Goodrum is also on the St Paul roster but I don't think he has stolen much in recent years.
  5. Can the Twins win the central without Kepler or Polanco this year as the rest of the team currently stands? I think that answer is yes, unless they have an incredibly bad year. Can they win the Al with both in the lineup all year, I think that answer is probably no. SO the third question I have - can they be traded for players whose multi-year value be worth more to the team then Polanco and Kepler. If those players received are upper level minor leaguers than Larnach's value to the team is higher. His season long stats may not improve dramatically over his history, but it wouldn't have to improve much over last year to offer more hitting wise than Kepler has done over 6 1/2 of the past 8 years. I'm sure the Kepler fans will jump all over that statement, but if Kepler doesn't offer much in the way of value of where the team can finish without him, the question is can they get something that brings longer term value for him. I think trades of Polanco and Kepler are what most people are looking for over the next 6 weeks or so, along with a doubtful high end free agent starter or young future star pitcher. Time to go back to sleep.
  6. I think whoever starts the year at second base this year is just a place holder. Of course should does not mean will, but Lee should be ready by sometime in June to take over at second or third. Julian provides more flexibility in the infield then Polanco will this year and next. Part of Polanco's value comes in holding down a position that no one else can fill, but as several others have pointed out the Twins have multiple second base options. It will be interesting next month to see if Lewis, Julian or Lee start taking reps in the outfield or if Kirilloff plays more left field in the spring. I would expect that Polanco's value as a Twin not necessarily a major league second baseman, but as a Twin will continue to decline. It's trading him as a major league second baseman where his value lies.
  7. A very interesting team to watch, but unfortunately proved to be a not very sustainable model. I think 6th place is to high a spot for this team. My placement on this list would probably be at best 9th place.
  8. That string of 2018-2020 is a pretty big hole on the Twins roster right now, although perhaps Larnach can make some contributions yet. On the other hand the 2016-17 draft could provide the teams 3rd and 4th place hitters and the 2022-2023 drafts could add future punch to the lineup. Unknown what the future holds for that 2021 pick, although the trade results have been good so far. Keeping fingers crossed on the 2024 pick and the return to health and continued development of the pitching side of recent drafts.
  9. The Twins will no doubt need extra relief arms at some times this season, so having guys come in for outs even if not strikeouts is extremely important. Having guys available for outs in innings 4-7 every day is important to a winning season. We seen enough of games getting blown out in those innings. If Winder comes in in inning 5 and gets out in whatever manner I'll take it. Wouldn't be the first pitcher who remade themselves and produced a long career.
  10. I think the Twins win the division next year, sans an injury plagued year. They are not winning a world series, no matter what kind of trades they could reasonably make. I think they need to focus on maintaining a strong projected lineup for 25-28 and not trade any of those players for a 1-2 year rentals. They have pitcher reinforcements coming along but it might not be until 25 before they start getting here. The Twins need to remain focused on building as strong as possible home grown team because they are never going to compete with the Dodgers or Yankees etc for most money spent buying free agents. Unfortunately the Dodgers 700 mil shopping spree only guaranteed they are going to spend more to keep all stars around him. You don't spend that kind of money without further team commitments to build a World Series Dynasty.
  11. Jair Camargo. Jair is on the 40 man roster already and I think expecting the current catching duo to go through another season injury free will be highly unlikely. His impact may only consist of playing time but if you need someone to put on the gear that could be a big impact. Returnee's Miranda and Paddack need to be huge in regular playing roles. Paddack has only pitched 27 innings during the regular season the past 2 years and needs to fill a regular starters role. Miranda could spend more than 100 games divided between 1B, 3B and DH and needs to be an impact right handed bat. Canterino also on the 40 man roster needs to arrive this season hopefully around the allstar break.
  12. I'm hunting a trade for Kepler. This is probably his high point for trade value since 2019 and take that peak for what it's worth. Would they really try to resign him next year for 3/50. I doubt it. If no trade shows up, keep him but plan on trading him as soon as practicable.
  13. I can see the decision of Polanco's future pushed off until Lee is ready. I don't think anyone expects Lee to make the roster out of spring training. Having Polanco on the roster to start next year is protection in case Kirilloff is not ready to start, or in case Buxton is not ready to start. Since there is no hurry to move Polanco, keep him unless someone blows our socks off with an offer and I don't expect that to happen but wouldn't say no either.
  14. The possibility exits that Buxton sits out most of if not all of next year. I wouldn't let him work out anywhere until his knee is healthy enough to with stand the strain of playing fulltime and that may never happen. But there is no point in letting him continue to aggravate or re-injure the leg just to see if he can make it unto the field for a week or 2. The possibility also exists, that they negotiate to buy out his contract over some protracted period like say 12-15 years and use the funds saved for a pitcher now.
  15. Hopefully Martin's elbow heals sufficiently by Spring Training that he is put in centerfield full time. The Twins have about 6 guys they can play at second, but nobody definitely for center, at least big league ready. Hoping guys that were injured most of last year or just mostly bad turn it around on the mound. Could save about 10-12 mil on the relief pitcher market that way. Obviously more than 1 pitcher. I would like to see Funderburk and Alcala stay on the major league roster all year pitching well. One of Balazovic, Richardson, Winder, Hendrick or Henriquez as a real bullpen option would help alot. Maybe Moran will learn to throw strikes. Larnach could probably help the Twins more than someone they could get in a trade for him. May not sound logical, but many times he just seems to be on the cusp of making it.
  16. So far in 270 at bats he has 16 homers and 51 RBI's or extending that out in 540 at bats, a full seasons worth, 32 homers and 102 RBI's. That would be good. Of course he would also have over 200 strikeouts, but an 842 OPS would also look nice. He has enough at bats that pitchers and coaches will have to really work to find more weaknesses in his swing then he has shown so far. Let's hope they don't.
  17. I think if the Twins wanted a player with similar profile for the major league club, they could find them in free agency for not too much money. I would not allocate a 40 man roster spot for him.
  18. Twins scouting department and player development has been much better than they are given credit for.
  19. If you watch Kepler hit over the years, you notice that he frequently dropped his back shoulder and bent his knees a lot more to apparently get under baseballs and drive them over the high right field wall. Unfortunately that never worked out for him too well and frequently resulted in grounders to second. The second half of last year and starting earlier in the year, but not much earlier, he stopped dropping his shoulder and settled for hitting loud line drives off the wall. He also managed to hit the ball over the left field fence, which he has never done with any regularity. Maybe seeing Lewis, just being a hitter, instead of a home run slugger and the players meeting where they discussed being hitters instead of sluggers, helped him more than any other Twin. Question is, will he keep it up going forward?
  20. I can see the Twins picking up the option, but I would think they would more likely trade him than sign him for a 3 year contract..
  21. I don't see the Twins coughing up $500mil for any player. I really wonder if anyone will pay that much for an injured player, probably. As far as the young everyday players go, we all HOPE they will the makings of a very solid lineup for years. None have played a full, healthy season in the majors yet. I think Julian comes the closest but has only played 109 games in the bigs. So I don't expect them to do more than firm up their starting rotation plans, whether that be through promotion from the minors or signing a lesser free agent. I would like to see a magic season of the team getting further in the playoffs and I expect them to win their division without adding anyone at this point. Lest we forget, the Twins didn't even get in the free agent game as most players got signed out of free agency in about a 2 week period a couple years ago. I can see most of these players gone before the team exhales.
  22. It would make sense for him to pitch in relief to begin this year in the minors, maybe at Ft Myers until the weather warms up a bit. I could see him working up to 3 or 4 innings a game and possibly go to the Twins after mid season, But he has been out for most of his time since drafted as mentioned, so getting his control as well as arm strength back will take a while. Any mention anywhere of his off season program?
  23. Schedule 60-80 innings in 2024, at whatever level. It would be great to have Canterino as a "stud" starting pitcher added to the rotation in 2025 with maybe 120 innings thrown. Then a possible 140-150 innings a year pitched in 2026. Don't limit his talent. Relief is good, strong starting talent is better,
  24. Alcala - Yes. Keep Alcala, pitching is hard to find. Unless he has a permanent injury not disclosed to the fans, he has been worth saving for the past two years waiting out the injury. 3 years ago he was expected to be a late inning set up man. Luplow - No. Multiple outfielders available in the system plus probably in free agency late spring training next year. See hat we need in March of 2024. Gordon - No. Multiple infielders available in the system, plus late spring training next year. See what we need in March of 2024.
  25. First base is well covered among; Kirilloff, Miranda, Julian, and Polanco, Others could include Farmer, Larnach, Wallner(would be the biggest target), and Severino. The team doesn't need to use resources at first base but instead save those money for pitching or possibly an extra outfielder. Although, I think the outfield is covered already if a little shy on experience.
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