Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account

jorgenswest

Verified Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    8,085

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    9

 Content Type 

Profiles

News

Minnesota Twins Videos

2026 Minnesota Twins Top Prospects Ranking

2022 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

Minnesota Twins Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits

Guides & Resources

2023 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

The Minnesota Twins Players Project

2024 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

2025 Minnesota Twins Draft Pick Tracker

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by jorgenswest

  1. jorgenswest
    It was a really good take on the first pitch forcing Hader more into the zone with two on base.
  2. jorgenswest
    You must have meant Ryan or Gray. Bundy has the most innings pitched and the most starts with at least 5 innings on the staff. He has 11. Ryan and Gray have combined for 14. I don’t think I would want Winder in the long relief role. They don’t get used enough. It gets to the fifth inning and then the rest of the pen is used to get to the end. An effective mid game multiple inning reliever will be helpful.
  3. jorgenswest
    He is worthy of a roster spot. They should not count on him to be a playoff caliber late inning pitcher. They need to make some trades.
  4. jorgenswest
    I think Duffey had 4 relief appearances without giving up a run. He certainly was helpful in the three wins. That has to be a highlight. Bundy had the best start of the week against the White Sox and the best start of the Rangers series. I am thankful both are still on the roster.
  5. jorgenswest
    There might be an argument that Hamilton will be more effective than someone currently in the pen. That bar isn’t very high. The bar for the relievers they need is much higher. They need to add to the top of the pen.
  6. jorgenswest
    It is about command. Command isn’t only walks. It is also the hard contact from getting too much of the strike zone. I am sure he can reduce walks at the cost of more hard contact but is that a trade off that would lead to success? He hasn’t shown the command necessary to be successful in years. Why would the command return now?
  7. jorgenswest
    Sano has started his rehab. Unless he has a set back the Twins will have to make a decision with a week left in July. Set backs are not uncommon particularly those coming off a 60 day IL.
  8. jorgenswest
    It was a starting pitcher match up of two pitchers that were inexpensive free agents. Both put their teams in a position to win this game. The Twins had the better reliever for extra innings this time and it made a difference.
  9. jorgenswest
    The third time through the order narrative is somewhat a myth that is founded in the skewed data the third time in a row. The main reason pitchers have poorer numbers the third time through the order is that the data is heavily skewed towards the top of the order and the best hitters. Bundy has faced a batter a third time 48 times. The top 3 in the order account for 25 of the 48. The bottom 3 account for 6. With that skew it should follow that almost any pitcher is going to have much worse numbers the third time through. Looking at the data from an individual hitters perspective gives a different perception. I did this a while back and slightly more hitters (around 37%) did better in their third appearance against a pitcher. That isn’t very convincing that the third time through is meaningful. For example here are the top three in the White Sox order last night and OPS by times facing a pitcher. Anderson 945, 854, 658 Vaughn 515, 1133, 846 Robert 413, 835, 862 One batter does best the first time, another the second and the last the third. I don’t think that is meaningful for the individual either but it points out what I saw at the individual batter level data. It seems like the third time through is an established narrative from those that broadcast and write about the game. I believe the skew in the data is misunderstood by many and while there is a slight drop it is not nearly as significant as many assume. I added this to the forum if interested in discussing third time through outside the game recap.
  10. jorgenswest
    The team looks tired and maybe with good reason. They are well into a stretch of 17 games in 16 days. They had a earlier stretch of 18 games in 17 days that spanned May to June. As a result they have played 6 more games than Cleveland and Chicago. The answer just might be the upcoming schedule with some days off and the all star break.
  11. jorgenswest
    I can’t agree with the last part. I don’t believe he has trade value. I do think there is a chance his bat has value to this team in the stretch run. His upside as we saw in the second half last year is his only value to the team remaining. They need to make sure not to send him to rehab until really ready. They need to utilize the full rehab. By then we will likely be into August. If he is hitting put him on the roster. He will be valuable. If he isn’t hitting then release him.
  12. jorgenswest
    Why is cheap part of the equation? He is paid for the year. I am not interested in next year. I would not close the door on his bat as I believe he can help the last two months. Last year in the second half among Twins with over 200 plate appearances Sano’s OPS was second on the team at .847.
  13. jorgenswest
    I will still take it if it goes with health in the playoffs
  14. jorgenswest
    First he needs to get to rehab. That could be a few weeks away. He will need the full rehab and show he has his stroke. That could be after the deadline. I think he will return and be the Sano we saw in the second half. That Sano helps the team. Is there a place for that Sano? Absolutely. Look back at the last 10 games. You will find a couple games that a catcher was DH. You will find Gordon starting several games in LF with Kirilloff at 1B. Sano could have slotted in for any of those games. Urshela doesn’t need to play every day. There is a place on this team for another corner bat. Sano can bring that bat.
  15. jorgenswest
    Lopez looks like he would fit right in with the Twins bullpen.
  16. jorgenswest
    I don’t think they should plan on any of them. Alcala has already had a set back. Ober adds depth but not a pitcher they count on to start a playoff game. They won’t know about Maeda until after the deadline.
  17. jorgenswest
    He started Tuesday. He would have been available until around Sunday. He has a few rehab innings in AAA since his return from the injury list. Rehab innings are not meaningless. They may well use Winder in the pen but his best use this week was starting the double header game.
  18. jorgenswest
    That is on Falvey.
  19. jorgenswest
    The bullpen is a critical part of a team. The Twins are not superior to the Guardians with this pen. That was foreseeable the moment Rogers was traded. They need to pay up and acquire a Rogers level reliever.
  20. jorgenswest
    I don’t think you are reading it correctly.
  21. jorgenswest
    Makes me wonder whether Jayce was advocating for this disastrous trade. The front office had to consult with him about Pagán and Paddack before making this move,
  22. jorgenswest
    I appreciate the insight and work. I do wonder if it makes a difference that Steer got the out and the velocity on that throw was sufficient. Do the brains of infielders and muscle memory help gauge the velocity necessary for a throw upon seeing a runner? Was his max velocity necessary on that play? I also wonder about the mechanics of the timing you chose. Did you time it similar to a catcher pop time so that the timing begins upon the touch of the glove? Is the foot and hand work necessary to get in position to throw taken into account?
  23. jorgenswest
    Nor do those who loved the analytics of this deal comparing the 5 seasons of control and WAR from Paddack and Pagán for one season of a reliever in Rogers. They should rejoice in the fact that the Twins get Pagán for 2023 also.
  24. jorgenswest
    I didn’t hear positive reports about his power either. Young players can be developed. If the Twins thought it was a possibility they would be investing fore than 3 of 29 starts into shortstop. Unless something changes where he plays shortstop regularly I don’t think we can think filling in for Lewis to start next season is a possibility.
  25. jorgenswest
    I just don’t see anything in Thornburg to suggest the Twins should use him in high leverage. He doesn’t get swinging strikes. His contact rate is high. Usually that combination goes with a really low walk rate but he has a high walk rate. Minny5 wrote about the slider but he isn’t getting swings and misses overall. The only thing I see is no barrels in a few low leverage appearances. Perhaps he is a soft contact pitcher but that usually goes with a low walk rate and ground balls when successful which hasn’t fit his profile. What am I missing? What is the coaching staff missing that some are seeing here? I don’t see a high leverage reliever I would trust in Thornburg. I want to be wrong. I appreciate his story of persistence
×
×
  • Create New...