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jorgenswest

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Everything posted by jorgenswest

  1. Doesn’t “elephant in the room” mean that everyone is aware but no one wants to discuss? The framework for a Joe Ryan trade is the deal Derek Falvey made with Jose Berrios. Get two top 100 FV50 prospects (entering the season Fangraphs had Martin 40 and SWR at 76] and then reinvest the money that Ryan would have earned back into the roster. The Twins traded 1+ seasons of Berrios and a good prospect in Chase Petty for 2 useful seasons of Sonny Gray, two good prospects and a then a comp pick for Gray.
  2. The Twins need another catcher. I know that Olivar has trouble controlling the running game. I am hoping he can balance that by being very good at managing the strike zone and ABS. The Twins need him. I also wonder what Jackson’s missed opportunity number has been at AAA. Does he struggle recognizing a strike as a catcher like he does as a batter? It could be the small sample and reluctance to pull the trigger and possibly be wrong on a challenge as he begins his time with the Twins.
  3. Thanks. Caratini did not miss any opportunities that game.
  4. Connor Prielipp needed help yesterday. Alex Jackson was not the help he needed. He wasn’t in his previous start either. Prielipp has started 7 games. In those 7 games catchers have missed ABS challenge opportunities 8 times. In his first 5 starts Jeffers missed on two opportunities. One was a game with a 7-0 lead. In his last two starts Alex Jackson has missed 6 opportunities. Three in each game. Yesterday it cost him two strike outs. The other count went 2-1 and instead of 1-2. Most of the ball on that pitch was in the strike zone. The one challenge Jackson did attempt failed and was a ball by 2.58 inches. With Jackson catching Prielipp has given up 11 earned runs in 8.1 innings with 6 strikeouts outs and 6 walks. In his first 5 starts he gave up 8 earned runs in 25 innings with 29 strikeouts and 9 walks. Jackson has a great pop time but a major league catcher needs to protect his pitcher. Jackson hasn’t done that and I wonder if the Twins should have known. Unlike Jeffers and Caratini, Jackson enters the season with ABS experience. He needs to be better now. Prielipp isn’t the only pitcher needing help from Jackson. He missed two opportunities with Adams yesterday and another with Adam the last time he came in for Prielipp. The most important job of a catcher has become recognizing a strike and protecting the zone for his pitcher. The Twins should not have patience with Jackson. He needs to do better or they need to look elsewhere.
  5. It is also shows their confidence in Martin or Keaschall to play CF. They both have at least some experience there. Clemens could easily fire at 2B or RF. It also shows some amount of confidence in Clemens and his athletic ability. He might not need that much time before he is playing CF adequately. I expect some mistakes early and absolutely no patience from some fans.
  6. Makes sense. They are in 17 day stretch of games. They need Prielipp to give them a little length tonight.
  7. He has no starts in CF in college or minors or majors. He played 1 inning last year for the Twins. I hope he looks good enough so that they utilize the pinch runner/center field spot differently.
  8. Thanks. He has season ending surgery for a torn meniscus in June. Seems like a big miss if placement on the 60 was necessary. He also has season ending surgery this season in May. I suppose it might be better if he doesn’t get the option so the Twins put him on the roster. In reality he can benefit from playing in the majors and then getting reset if necessary. Hopefully he will be ready for Fall League this year.
  9. I thought so also and was arguing that he needs to be on the opening day roster since it is last option year and might need a reset. I am still not sure. I know that they got a 4th option on Kenny’s Vargas for 2017. He missed 3 months due to undisclosed injury in low A in 2012. He played the last few months. It made me look back at each season for Rodriguez. 2022 stands out as he was injured June 8 and never returned. That must have been less than 90 days of active service. The Twins can’t request the 4th option until after the season he exhausted the third but I believe he meets the eligibility requirements. He likely won’t have 90 days of active service this year either but he only needs one of the five to be short of 90. I still would have traded Larnach for anything I could get and brought him up out of spring but luckily I am not in charge.
  10. Would he be eligible for a 4th option based on his injury in 2022 or 2024? It seems likely he will not have been active for 90 days in one of his 5 minor league seasons from 2022-2026. I think 2022 is most likely but with his injury history there may be more than one. If that is the case the Twins probably knew it was not his final option year.
  11. @Seth Stohs can probably correct me but I don’t think he can be put in the major league 60 day IL without being in the majors. If he were on that IL he would be accruing service time as a major leaguer. That would not be a wise decision for the Twins. It seems like there was a minor league version of that longer term IL but it had more to do with that 165 or 175 minor league player cap and not the major league 40 man.
  12. If it is surgery I think he will be ready for fall ball.
  13. They can’t let Contreras get in their head. That’s his goal. It doesn’t seem like it did yesterday. Let it go and come play baseball today.
  14. I don’t think WAR will be a good judge. The Twins intended to contend in 2024 on a lower budget. Polanco was their best trade asset and they needed both starters and relievers. The starter and relievers they acquired were failures and left holes on a team that expected them to fill. In order for this trade to be a win Gonzalez need to be significant contributor to a team that makes the playoffs.
  15. Lee looked good at 3B and the path for Culpepper is clear. The bullpen is getting younger and better. After 51 games the Twins have scored more runs than they have allowed.
  16. I wonder how you would characterize the offenses of the 13 AL teams that have scored fewer runs than the Twins this year.
  17. Tonight would be the night to start him against a left handed pitcher. Outman has been starting for Buxton. Maybe Buxton is ready for CF with Gonzalez on a corner or DH and Outman sitting.
  18. So you would predetermine whether the team can contend and essentially how the players would perform. The only two Twins World Series came after very poor seasons. In hindsight we can claim how the 1987 Twins were going to be able to fix a disastrous bullpen with a late offseason trade for a reliever coming off his worst season and signing some old relievers in free agency. We can claim that two starters would be enough to get to the playoffs. We can see the extraordinary health of our position players. Others may have predetermined to trade Viola at his peak with his two years of control left.
  19. My apologies for derailing the thread but “committing to youth” inspired something I have been wondering about. I lean that way also. My wonder is about utilizing service time. The Twins get six years. Committing to youth should require more development time to be at the major league level. It might mean that things click that last year before arbitration starts. It might take an extra year of service time to get that prime player. There is pressure at the other end of service time also. The pressure to sell high with 2 years left. I don’t think I advocate for both a commit to youth and also a trade at peak value with two years left. I would be squeezing both ends of my 6 years and might leave myself with a productive 2 of the 6. I would call up early and then not trade until we get to that last year. I will sacrifice some of the early part for development in the majors. It seems like many are in the call up early and trade early group. Maybe the best is to be conservative on the call and late to trade maximizing production as a Twin. I acknowledge prospects are all different and a global top 20 should be treated differently than FV50s or below. In general wouldn’t that early/early strategy result in the Twins getting less overall production from their prospects?
  20. Thanks. I asked the question because I wasn’t sure what you meant about not putting him in a corner.
  21. Go to a Saints games and expect to see 11-12 runs (11.5 total average runs per game). Batter stats look superhuman and pitcher stats worthless. That is an astounding 30% greater than the average MLB game. I wonder what kind of implications that has on the hitter. Do the hitters get such good feedback from there at bats in this run scoring environment that they don’t see the need to make the adjustments required to be successful at the next level? Is it the opposite for pitchers? Are they getting feedback on pitches that might actually lead to success?
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