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KirbyDome89

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Everything posted by KirbyDome89

  1. KirbyDome89
    Yeah I'm not excited by anybody in in trio, but I'd say Duvall at least can compensate for his shortcomings in an area that's most impactful for this club. Idk what qualifies as an empty PA, but Margot's own on base skills are far from impressive and there's no power there. Maybe he slaps his way to another mid .200s average.
  2. KirbyDome89
    The overabundance of Ks is awful to watch, and it undoubtedly hurt the team last year. Is Margot being a subpar offensive player in the extreme opposite manner the lesser of two evils? Idk, at some point I think it ceases to matter.
  3. KirbyDome89
    Can you show us that they do? Are you somehow privy to hard revenue numbers across all of baseball? Astonishing that anybody has to actually ask that question.
  4. KirbyDome89
    "But there are definitely other players that can have a positive impact on our team that [president of baseball operations Derek Falvey], I'm sure, is looking at." The optimistic view points to trades. If this team is going to "live where they're at," or however the hell it was phrased, i.e. they're capped, Idk what type of impact player they'll trade for that won't affect the "right sized," payroll, while also providing the type of control this FO obviously covets. Good luck. A Luplow or Keuchel could just as easily fit the "positive impact," bill as far as this team is concerned.... "You see that both with the Tampa Bay Rays and with the Baltimore Orioles having lower payrolls, turning out very successful products on the field but also investing in other areas of the business. That is something that we are doing. But without a question the television situation is having an impact on our business but beyond that we're just trying to right-size our business. That goes into it as well." Problem solved guys, just develop like TB or have Baltimore's farm system + young MLB talent. Hilarious. "What I will say about some flexibility is, when Derek (Falvey) and his team think there is the right opportunity in front of us, we don't live hard and fast by a specific number." Like coming off your first postseason W in nearly two decades? With a promising group of young players? While also having established veterans at or near their prime? Do these guys hear themselves talk?
  5. KirbyDome89
    Yeah, Willie Castro is the fallback in CF, Carlos Santana is already platooning at 1B (and he's one Kirilloff injury/IL stint away from regular starts) and Anthony DeSclafani is taking the mound every 5th day but we're worried about Snell, Montgomery, or Bellinger blocking guys?
  6. KirbyDome89
    Huh? He only made a few starts, but he was part of the rotation to open the season. I'd consider that part of the plan. Agreed, banking on that many guys reaching or exceeding career highs in IPs again, as well as matching or improving performance seems like a near impossible ask.
  7. KirbyDome89
    I think people forget how fortunate the starting unit (sans Mahle) was from a health/production standpoint. The Twins relied heavily on the the starting staff and they needed a Cy Young runner up season from Gray to get to 87 wins. Idk if I'd call concern over replacing that type of production hand wringing.
  8. KirbyDome89
    This. I think his HR total overstates his value. Clearly others don't. What can you do...
  9. KirbyDome89
    For sure, a HR is unquestionably a better outcome than a double, and I'm not going to pretend to know exactly how that value is derived, but looking at Gallo's 2023 and seeing seeing average attached, Idk what conclusion to make other than he's an outlier.
  10. KirbyDome89
    Yes, because we're hoping for the status quo, not a bounce back, and Santana's role from the jump is lesser one. No, because I don't trust that the FO will pull the plug when necessary. Overall, signing a 38 year old on the decline isn't something to celebrate. They're buying time, and I'm ok with that (right now) when the alternative is guys with little to no MLB success/experience.
  11. KirbyDome89
    Do you think a HR is worth 2x more than a 2B? OPS(+) overrates somebody like Gallo, who has a disproportionally high percentage of his hits leave the park but offers nothing in the way of a rounded offensive game. "By the numbers," he's average, but his OPS is carried by his slugging, which is carried entirely by HRs. Heavy. Like I said earlier, the juice wasn't worth the squeeze. Yes, disagreement makes me an idiot; meanwhile, you're touting Gallo's ability to reach base. Glass houses and stones yada yada...
  12. KirbyDome89
    Quantify the weight? The multiplier is there for all to see. C'mon, this is a dead end. So because the BB% didn't lead where you thought it would, OPS needs to be reintroduced? Smh, this is off the rails. We're done.
  13. KirbyDome89
    It feels a lot like shuffling the bottom of your bench, hoping you find that diamond in your fantasy league.
  14. KirbyDome89
    Could I rattle off the exact weights assigned? No. Does that mean I don't understand what they're attempting to quantify? Also no. Lucky for us, these equations, aren't kept under lock and key. A .301 OBP would've put Gallo in front of only 8% of qualified hitters. Moving him to an average OBP jumps that number to 35%. Adding another 20 points of OBP has a similar effect; he's better than 65% of qualified hitters. Yeah, I'm going to stick with 20 points being kind of a big deal. Yep, I'm fully aware of your "by the numbers," stance. I'm saying those number(s) aren't painting an accurate picture. You disagree. It's ok. Yikes, that's a tough look huh....
  15. KirbyDome89
    Literally said HRs are weighted heavily. That actually is pretty far off but don't let that minor detail get in the way. Never once implied his April was worthless. Nope, "my narrative," is that the juice wasn't worth the squeeze and continuing to roster him was a mistake that didn't require the benefit of hindsight to correct. Controversial take, I know.
  16. KirbyDome89
    Anytime friend! **How the variables are weighted. Different outcomes are assigned different values. Yeah no, OPS+, wOBA, and wRC+ are all saying the same thing, he's average. Thanks for the "education," though. Uh huh, and despite the walks he still couldn't come close to reaching base at an average clip. I've never argued that what Gallo can do well is invaluable, I said what he does well doesn't compensate for his shortcomings. I could go 6 for 8 with 5 HRs + a double in 2 games, and then revert to mid summer Gallo for the rest of the month and my cumulative stats would probably still look decent, but if I'm a net negative 80% of the time, yeah, I'd argue the aggregate fails to paint an accurate picture of my true contribution, or lack thereof. His production, or value PA by PA, isn't reflected. Just watching games even remotely regularly, you know that, but seeing that he was nowhere near an average offensive player for 5/6 of the season should cement it. What's "silly," is that somebody is still defending the 2023 Joey Gallo experiment. No, both aren't be true, because an average MLB player isn't 50 PAs away from being a DFA'd or stashed with exaggerated (at best) injury.
  17. KirbyDome89
    Well, no, I argued that Gallo's one offensive skill happens to be something OPS+ values highly, i.e. I believe his final tally is skewed. I'm also sure I was clear that Gallo can be viewed as an outlier and OPS+ overrating his offensive contribution isn't condemnation of the stat as a whole. If you think that being a DFA candidate for 80% or more of your 300+ PAs means you've been an average offensive performer, Idk what to tell you, we'll just disagree.... The genesis of the argument you jumped into was another poster pointing to hindsight as a reason the Twins didn't move on from Gallo, and then citing his "average," offensive performance. If your stance is "his stats would look worse if they gave him 600 PAs instead of 300," I'm thrilled to say that I agree. Do you have anything of substance to add to the argument, or are you just being an antagonistic ***hole?
  18. KirbyDome89
    Yep, I'm rooting for him. I'd much rather have what we hope Martin can be than what we know Duvall is; I'm just not in a hurry to be relying on MLB production from a guy who hasn't been all that consistent in the high minors.
  19. KirbyDome89
    He had a .717 OPS in September.
  20. KirbyDome89
    The trade didn't seem to bother him at the time it occured; Idk why it would cause him to spiral in 2022. I feel the same way about the pandemic stuff. He had a rough start to 2022 and he didn't finish well last year either. I don't think injuries explain away his lack of production.
  21. KirbyDome89
    "The price you're paying for the production far outweighs the value of those homers." If only you had kept reading....
  22. KirbyDome89
    Martin scuffled at AAA in 2022 and posted good numbers for only 1/3 of his short season last year. He hasn't shown the ability to consistently hit AAA pitching in 2 years. Duvall and Gordon aren't sexy options, but it makes sense.
  23. KirbyDome89
    The "half season," wasn't due to injury. It was performance related. I don't know why this is difficult; the pros don't outweigh the cons. You can play him for 140+ games and maybe get 35-40 HRs, but the price you're paying for the production far outweighs the value of those homers. Kepler's hot streak to Luis Arraez's runs scored. Lol, pure entertainment at this point. Keep going!
  24. KirbyDome89
  25. KirbyDome89
    Sure you did, the "benefit of hindsight," is irrelevant when Gallo is putting up the numbers I posted earlier. The idea that the team needed to watch him be awful for 5 months instead of 3, because you can't know for certain in the moment, is nonsense. The FO needed to roster him for the off chance he'd put up a career 2-3 month stretch a la Kepler? What an argument.... Miguel Sano could probably do that with a 50% K rate too. Go look at how the variables are weighted for determining OPS+. Tell me HRs aren't heavy. That doesn't mean the stat is "wacked," and if you want to argue that Gallo is an extreme/outlier that stretches the formula I'd tend to agree, but if you want to say he was remotely close to an average offensive performer last year than you either weren't watching, or you're being willfully obtuse.
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