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KirbyDome89

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Everything posted by KirbyDome89

  1. KirbyDome89
    The Twins are at major risk if they lose any single starter for an extended period of time, not just Lopez or Ober/Ryan. Nobody is arguing the worst case scenario, not even close. If this team aims to finish last in their division and start tearing things down Boston might be a decent comp. There was no savvy veteran arm signed. There isn't one, let alone two, high tier arms waiting to break into the rotation. This team is more likely to sign a Kuechel clone, throw bullpen games, or hand a start(s) to Randy Dobnak if somebody gets hurt early enough into the season. They're heavily reliant on health/performance question marks in the rotation, and plan B is a handful of minor league arms that haven't proven they can consistently get AA/AAA hitters out.
  2. KirbyDome89
    Paddack went longer than Ryan in game 4. I definitely think there were trust issues (rightfully so) with Ryan entering that game. Yeah, I think Varland is the better option between the two, but that's not saying a whole lot. Louie needs to show he can stick in the back end of a rotation, he's far from a lock. Paddack's innings limit isn't getting the attention it probably should. He's going to require 50-60 innings allocated elsewhere to fill out his rotation spot, and that assumes he's healthy and productive nearly all year. It's a tough outlook for the SP right now. Trash fire is an awfully low bar to clear. Sure, I'll take Paddack and Varland over Happ, Shoemaker, Bundy, Archer, ect. but the teams that handed that group starts imploded and missed the postseason entirely. Failing to win a pretty pathetic ALC would be a massive **** up. I don't expect anybody (Lopez included) to finish runner up for the AL Cy Young, some regression is/was expected, but right now the 2024 Twins are one injury away from their back end looking eerily similar to those trash fires you mentioned.
  3. KirbyDome89
    Assuming Paddack is healthy and productive all season (major assumptions) they'll still likely need 60+ innings allocated elsewhere just to round out his spot in the rotation. What's lurking behind Varland looks unappealing at best right now too. They better pray for a repeat of the SP health from last season from this point forward...
  4. KirbyDome89
    Topa has exactly one season of being a reliable high leverage reliever. Maybe he defies the odds and becomes a stud in his early 30s, but the jury is still out on his sophomore tour. How long is Brock Stewart going to be healthy this year? That trio doesn't exactly give me the warm and fuzzies. I'll take 80ish games of a proven bat in the top half of a lineup over Topa. I didn't like the trade when it happened; losing DeSclafani (and burning $$ on him) makes it look worse.
  5. KirbyDome89
    Idk why so many are downplaying DeSclafani's role now that he's (predictably) injured. The Twins handed him a rotation spot and allocated nearly 1/3 of what little money they had to spend this offseason towards his salary. Clearly they didn't view him as some toss in.
  6. KirbyDome89
    One guy started 3x as many games and threw 3x as many innings as the other. I don't think there's a comparison to be made but YMMV.
  7. KirbyDome89
    Making 11 starts in a 60 game season. He was pretty bad then hurt in 2021, didn't pitch at all in 2022, and a decent back end option last year. His Cy Young finish is massively overstated on this board. All that said, I too would swap a projected relief arm for a starter I thought would settle into the middle of a rotation.
  8. KirbyDome89
    I'm not seeing any actual "hate," in this thread, more so concern for the floor and whether or not Wallner makes adjustments if necessary. We're talking about a guy with 300 career PAs, suggesting anything seems premature. The Twins sat him against a right handed starter in a deciding game. In that sense he was an exception. If we're going to exclude guys who are viewed as everyday players is there a fair comparison left? Kirilloff? He's received plenty of ****. Taylor, Solano, Castro, Polanco, or Kepler? They're some combination of gone, going, or part time. Julien hit. I guess there's Jeffers at C if that's the route you want to go.
  9. KirbyDome89
    If we're talking about 28 other teams taking notice of that Houston series and whether Wallner can make adjustments I wouldn't consider those 8 ABs to be meaningless.
  10. KirbyDome89
    This. Idk if it's the Pressly effect, or what, but even that good stretch you mentioned came after he was unusable for the previous two months and demoted.
  11. KirbyDome89
    What? He has a career .309 OBP. .370 would put him amongst the best in baseball.
  12. KirbyDome89
    Which hasn't happened once in his entire career. He had more ABs against RHP in 47 games during the shortened 2020 season than you're projecting for all of 2024.
  13. KirbyDome89
    Not if he's CF insurance.
  14. KirbyDome89
    He has posted an OPS north of .700 once in his career, and that was seven seasons ago.
  15. KirbyDome89
    Sure, but I agree with what you said upthread, go sign the AAAA or high injury risk guy to a MiLB deal and stash them. Instead, this FO gave DeSclafani, who has no options, a spot in the rotation and bumped somebody with a higher floor and possibly a higher ceiling. I think DeSclafani likely is a spare part, but it's hard to argue the Twins viewed him as just some throw in when they're going out of their way to make room for him. As for the leash, who knows? There are plenty of recent examples where guys overstayed their welcome.
  16. KirbyDome89
    I don't think he has much (if any) value either but clearly the Twins do/did if they're slotting him into the opening day rotation.
  17. KirbyDome89
    Solano was playing 1B basically full time until mid May with an OPS 100 points below what Julien posted. Yeah Julien was a butcher at 2B, but it's not like the Twins were trotting out anybody elite, or even close to it at 1B. He didn't get better because he was up and down 2x, he started to put up some impressive numbers because the team decided to feed him some consistent playing time from June onward.
  18. KirbyDome89
    He didn't start the season on the active roster. He (Julien) also had a .762 OPS in April/May for an offensively challenged team. That isn't exactly amazing, but it's not like the Twins were so loaded they couldn't carve out ABs for the guy.
  19. KirbyDome89
    I don't think it's simply a cost issue. This FO loves to give vets every opportunity to prove that they're unfit for their role and/or undeserving of a roster spot.
  20. KirbyDome89
    Yeah I'm not excited by anybody in in trio, but I'd say Duvall at least can compensate for his shortcomings in an area that's most impactful for this club. Idk what qualifies as an empty PA, but Margot's own on base skills are far from impressive and there's no power there. Maybe he slaps his way to another mid .200s average.
  21. KirbyDome89
    The overabundance of Ks is awful to watch, and it undoubtedly hurt the team last year. Is Margot being a subpar offensive player in the extreme opposite manner the lesser of two evils? Idk, at some point I think it ceases to matter.
  22. KirbyDome89
    Can you show us that they do? Are you somehow privy to hard revenue numbers across all of baseball? Astonishing that anybody has to actually ask that question.
  23. KirbyDome89
    "But there are definitely other players that can have a positive impact on our team that [president of baseball operations Derek Falvey], I'm sure, is looking at." The optimistic view points to trades. If this team is going to "live where they're at," or however the hell it was phrased, i.e. they're capped, Idk what type of impact player they'll trade for that won't affect the "right sized," payroll, while also providing the type of control this FO obviously covets. Good luck. A Luplow or Keuchel could just as easily fit the "positive impact," bill as far as this team is concerned.... "You see that both with the Tampa Bay Rays and with the Baltimore Orioles having lower payrolls, turning out very successful products on the field but also investing in other areas of the business. That is something that we are doing. But without a question the television situation is having an impact on our business but beyond that we're just trying to right-size our business. That goes into it as well." Problem solved guys, just develop like TB or have Baltimore's farm system + young MLB talent. Hilarious. "What I will say about some flexibility is, when Derek (Falvey) and his team think there is the right opportunity in front of us, we don't live hard and fast by a specific number." Like coming off your first postseason W in nearly two decades? With a promising group of young players? While also having established veterans at or near their prime? Do these guys hear themselves talk?
  24. KirbyDome89
    Yeah, Willie Castro is the fallback in CF, Carlos Santana is already platooning at 1B (and he's one Kirilloff injury/IL stint away from regular starts) and Anthony DeSclafani is taking the mound every 5th day but we're worried about Snell, Montgomery, or Bellinger blocking guys?
  25. KirbyDome89
    Huh? He only made a few starts, but he was part of the rotation to open the season. I'd consider that part of the plan. Agreed, banking on that many guys reaching or exceeding career highs in IPs again, as well as matching or improving performance seems like a near impossible ask.
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