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chpettit19

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Everything posted by chpettit19

  1. chpettit19
    Lopez and Gray and the rest of the staff also strike hitters out. That's the point of this article. When you're only striking out 10-15% (or 0% in his first start) of the guys you face while also giving up hard contact it's different.
  2. chpettit19
    Over half the balls put in play against him were hit over 88 MPH (11 of 21). Another at 85, and 1 at 83. There were far more than "a few well hit balls."
  3. chpettit19
    October 3 sounds like a good start date to me...
  4. chpettit19
    I can't imagine him being super good at picking poor throws with the hands he's shown. And his feet are terrible. Can't picture him easily changing his feet on off the mark throws to be able to best stretch in one direction or the other.
  5. chpettit19
    I think it's a 99% chance they pick up his option. They believe in Max, and his current hot streak has confirmed their beliefs. They're not dumping him for nothing. Will he be with the Twins in 2024? That likely depends on their belief in Larnach, and what kind of trade offers they receive for both over the winter. I'd put it at 80/20 that he's standing in RF wearing a Twins uniform on opening day 2024.
  6. chpettit19
    What does Gallo have to do with any of this? I was having a discussion with another poster about choosing between Laureano and Luplow. I don't care which one of them they choose. Lefties have nothing to do with what I was talking about. I don't care about the very small differences between whatever random waiver claim right handed bat they bring in to be the short side of a platoon outfielder.
  7. chpettit19
    Yeah, I was unaware that they dropped the league dependent part of the waiver claim process in the new CBA.
  8. chpettit19
    Well neither of those guys is a .170 hitter against lefties so I'm not sure what the point is? Over the final 2 months of the season it's such a small sample size of opportunity that I don't really care which one of them they pick. I actually don't think the FO came up with an answer of "no." I think they carried Solano for that situation. They're massive believers in platoon splits and force themselves into really weird spots because of it.
  9. chpettit19
    I guess my overall point is simply that neither of them make any real difference. I'm not interested in playing the "which below average player is going to be 2-5% better than the other below average player" game. Neither of these guys significantly improve the team's chances of winning playoff games so I'm just not interested in which player they shouldn't be relying on that they go with. I don't want either of them on the roster. But, as you said, moot point now.
  10. chpettit19
    Interesting. Thanks for the heads up.
  11. chpettit19
    Sounds like he's headed to Cleveland.
  12. chpettit19
    No thanks. Doesn't bring anything Luplow doesn't. Switching around our "hits against lefties only" cOF bat does nothing for me.
  13. chpettit19
    Starts with the league of the releasing team (so AL in this example) and goes from worst record to best. If none of them place a claim it goes to the other league and goes from worst record to best.
  14. chpettit19
    You say "20-30 points lower" like he was hitting .150 in those situations or something. 20-30 points lower was still .280. He was a .286/.412/.410/.822 hitter in high leverage situations and this is what you want to complain about? This is your big "he was overrated" argument? He only hit .286 in 1500+ high leverage PAs? Had an OBP over .400 in 1500+ high leverage PAs? Yeah, real downer of a hitter in high leverage spots. He had an .822 OPS in high leverage situations and you're mad at it. That's quite a hill to die on. And walk offs? How many chances at a walk off did he have from 2008 to 2017? Was he 0-100? 0-5? 0-0? Going to need some more context before that's a big "got him" argument.
  15. chpettit19
    "During his last few seasons?" Few is 3. So his 3rd to last season he hit .265. Definitely not ideal. Down year for sure. His second to last season he hit .305 with a 115 OPS+. He was 15th in baseball in BA. His last season he hit .282. I assume you were a fan of the Arraez trade since he was a first baseman without power. Mauer was the best catcher in American League history when they extended him. A Hall of Famer in his prime coming off an MVP season. I will never understand even questioning trading that player. There was no reason to think he didn't have another 6 elite years in him. If your FO tells you their rebuild plan is going to take 6+ seasons you should probably find a new FO. I will never understand the idea of not trying to have great players until your "rebuild" is complete, or close to. Imagine if the Rangers would've taken that approach instead of signing Seager and Semien. To each their own, but I will never understand why anyone would want their team to not bring in, or retain, great players at any point. Not going to argue that you should've enjoyed Mauer's career as much as you enjoyed Killebrew, Oliva, or Carew's. Or even put him in their category, objectively or not. But he's a Hall of Famer. Why would we ever want the team to trade him? Especially when we knew he'd prefer to stay here if they offered him anything reasonable. I just don't get that stance. Even knowing how his entire career played out afterward.
  16. chpettit19
    I don't think he makes it on the first ballot, but Joe Mauer should make the Hall of Fame. A Hall of Famer who plays his entire career with your team is always worth it. I get that his career got a little disappointing towards the end, and after he moved from behind the plate, but it's crazy to me that anyone looks at a Hall of Famer and thinks "yeah, what a terrible job this team did by keeping that guy around." Joe Mauer deserved his number being retired, and deserved his induction into the Twins Hall of Fame yesterday. It's absurd, to me, that we're still questioning his extension. Bi-lateral leg weakness will forever be joke worthy, but Joe Mauer is an all-time great Twin, and he was worth every penny (in the context of the pro-sports world).
  17. chpettit19
    When you think of a career .306 hitter who only hit below .280 three times, and had an OPS+ under 100 once, in a 15 year career, 10 years of which he was a catcher, what you think of is "left fielders waiting to catch his predictable fly balls and line drives?" Yikes.
  18. chpettit19
    Totally fair about the consistency of the results. I guess my point/question is how flawed can your roster, and in tandem process, be if you win the WS, reach the ALCS, reach the ALDS? I don't think a roster that wins the WS could be so severely flawed that it's not worth reassessing the FO. ALCS would make me think, but not quite as hard. ALDS would make me pause, but probably still be on the "fire them" bandwagon. I'm just saying that I believe playoff success should make us rethink things even after the last couple regular seasons depending on what the playoff success is. I just don't think your roster can be as flawed as we may view this one if they win the world series.
  19. chpettit19
    Well I was wrong about AAA. He's immediately added to the active roster taking Buxton's spot. Yikes.
  20. chpettit19
    Big money comes with big risk for sure. But Donaldson was 34 when he joined the Twins. Correa's guaranteed portion of his deal only runs til he turns 34. Correa shouldn't be on the downside of his career yet. Seems pretty reasonable to expect a bounce back after a regular offseason. But there's always risk.
  21. chpettit19
    Most of the rumors I've heard have Keuchel starting Sunday and pushing Lopez back a day.
  22. chpettit19
    1A. Correa 1B. Buxton 1C. Lewis- To make up for 1A and 1B just a little None of the rest matter if 1A and 1B don't perform better. I mean if the rest of the roster is fully healthy, and performs to their ceilings starting September 1 through the end of their playoff run, they could make up for 1A and 1B being bad. But that's not very likely. Your stars have to be stars as they're the ones you count on to pick up the slack, not provide slack that needs to be picked up by non-stars.
  23. chpettit19
    I will say that there's definitely people within the industry that other orgs have their eyes on, and who people believe could run a team. How easy is it to get that right, though? There's new head baseball guys hired all the time who do great. Look at the Orioles for example. Or the Reds. Both made changes at the top in recent years and are on the rise. But plenty of other teams have made changes and seen little to no improvement, or gotten worse. It's not quite as easy as saying "15 other teams would have hired them by now." But, it's also not as easy as "just fire them and hire someone better." The reason I've been slow with jumping on the "fire the FO" bandwagon is because I don't love or hate this FO. I think they're OK. I'm just not a fan of their brand of baseball, or their speed at which they make adjustments. They're kind of like Kirk Cousins to me. Do I think they're good enough to get us to the playoffs, have some nice stretches, and keep us from being a dumpster fire? Yes. Do I think they're good enough to win us championships, or be true, consistent contenders for championships? No. And I'm ready to make an upside play. Even if I know if may lead to Christian Ponder taking over. I want to take a shot at finding a Mahomes.
  24. chpettit19
    He was speaking about a new regime coming and changing culture, etc. taking years. Suggesting that making a regime change wasn't going to lead to immediate result changes that many of us are calling for. He wasn't shifting the goalposts, he was talking about lining up a new kicker. I don't disagree that making the playoffs is entirely about them being in the central. Don't disagree that this is a flawed roster. Is winning playoff games not the goal you're hoping to achieve, though? If they get to the ALCS does it make you rethink anything? WS? ALDS? Is there any amount of success this team can have in the postseason that would make you rethink your stance on their employment with the Twins continuing? There's definitely some success that would make me rethink things. Their "process" this year, as you seem to be acknowledging, is to win with great SP first and foremost. If they get in and win with great SP is that really a "faulty" process? My understanding from most fans, and my own stance, is that playoff success is our goalpost. Maybe I'm just misunderstanding you and all you care about is changing the process even if the process leads to great postseason success this year. But if playoff success doesn't negate the regular seasons the last 2+ years I don't know what could. Maybe that's your point. In which case you just have different goalposts than most the rest of us from what I can tell.
  25. chpettit19
    Faster Kyle Garlick. Just what the Dr ordered. I assume he's headed to St Paul as "depth." I generally don't pay much mind to these pretty insignificant moves, but it doesn't feel right to sit out the deadline and then bring in Kyle Garlick with speed. I generally believe the baseball side of the FO should pay pretty little attention to the desires of the fans (beyond fans wanting a winning team) and leave that up to the owners and business side, but it feels like a bit of a slap in the face to your fan base to make this move right now. At the end of the day it's a "meh" move that we really shouldn't care much about, but 3 days post deadline, in a heated division race where you're floundering left and right it has a little sting to it. Not a fan of this.
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