chpettit19
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Everything posted by chpettit19
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Interesting thought there. Are there any reports that he's even been shagging balls or anything during pregame activities? My guess would be that this IL stint is every bit as much about his knee as it is his ribs. Would make some sense to get him off that knee for a little extra time, and then see how he's feeling and maybe look at him as a CF option here and there when he's back. Would certainly make all of us feel a little better about things.
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The Twins actually have the easiest remaining schedule in all of baseball according to some metrics. If you just go by winning percentage of opponents they have the 3rd easiest schedule left. Their remaining opponents have a combined .479 winning percentage so far this year. The argument that it only gets tougher is factually incorrect. Not even July is harder. They have 12 games against teams well under .500 in July. That's half their games in July against teams way under .500.
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Was extending Buxton a mistake?
chpettit19 replied to farmerguychris's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
If someone isn't preparing a documentary about this already I'm willing to be a part of the TD team that does. I'm sure we could make quite a bit of money selling the documentary on how Carlos Correa took over an entire baseball organization and forced them to do things they didn't want to do. I'll start calling 30 for 30, and Ken Burns, now. This is going to be huge! -
To be fair to Yelich, he had 2 otherworldly years after having been very good for years. That contract is not looking great, but if you have a guy win an MVP, then come in 2nd the next year, you don't really expect them to be a .750 OPS guy moving forward. 112, 115, 118, 135, 120 OPS+ in his Miami years followed by going to a better power park and going off for 164 and 179 OPS+ marks definitely didn't suggest he'd go 110, 101, 110, 109 in his prime. If you give me back to back years of 1.000+ OPS I'll absolutely sign you to a deal through your age 36 season that never tops 26 mil a year.
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FYI, Gallo would not be eligible to receive a QO if he's traded. You have to be on the same team all year to qualify now. I agree he's a dark horse candidate, but the only way a QO plays into a Gallo trade is if the Twins feel they would place one on him they'd have a bench mark of how good of a return they'd need. It'd be all about whether they think he'll get $50 mil on the open market this offseason or not. If they think he will they'd set their asking price at a package equal to, or better than, half a season of Gallo plus a 1st round comp pick. If they don't think he'll get $50 mil they'd be asking for a package equal to, or better than, half a season of Gallo plus a pick after the 2nd round. If they don't think he'll get $50 mil they probably aren't looking at placing a QO on him unless they really want him back for around $20 mil next year. I'd say the chances he gets a QO are pretty small as of today, but a lot can change in the next month and a half before the deadline.
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Twins Should Extend Tyler Mahle
chpettit19 replied to Cody Schoenmann's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
You mean his 508 professional innings pitched lead you to believe he'll never pitch again? You realize how incredibly out there it is to claim a 27 year old is simply never going to be able to pitch again because he had a second Tommy John surgery 6 years after his first one, right? I know Verlander is a freak, but he came back at the age of 39 and pitched again after his 2nd TJS just last year when he won that little award they call the Cy Young. Mike Clevinger is back on a mound after his 2nd. The Rangers are really hoping deGrom comes back from his 2nd since they owe him a whole lot of money. Nathan Eovaldi is slicing up big league hitters, and he's had 2 TJS. Chris Capuano, Joakim Soria, Daniel Hudson, and the list goes on and on. Many of those guys had their surgeries 5, 10, 15+ years ago. We've made even more advancements in medicine since most of those guys went through it. I get if you want to argue he may not be as good coming back from his second surgery, or they shouldn't really rely on him as a rotation option next year. There's some arguments that could be made there. But to suggest he'll never pitch again is based on nothing. He's throwing off a mound now. He's on pace to join the team by the end of the year. How good will he be? Up for debate. Will he ever pitch again? I mean let's be serious, of course he's going to pitch again. -
I'm going to start by saying I don't understand why people think the As would want Larnach for Ruiz. Ruiz is younger, and has more team control, than Larnach. Why would the As be interested in trading him for Larnach? Why would they want to trade him at all when they have him under control for 6 more years? I assume they plan to be good within the next 6 years. If he's so good why would they be trading him? Also going to add that Buxton has a full no trade clause. That doesn't mean he wouldn't waive it, but he fought to stay here, and I'd be awfully surprised if he waived the clause he fought to have added before he'd sign so early in the deal. The Twins aren't trading Buxton. As for the strategy at the deadline, I'm guessing it's very limited, and mostly just looking for a pen arm or 2. I think they're stuck in "we need depth!" mode right now, and it's got them afraid to move on from Kepler (especially when they also seem to think he has value). If I were them I'd start moving on from some of the veterans, and just let the kids play. But I don't expect them to move Gallo or Solano, unless Solano stops hitting, but then he'd be a DFA, not trade. I think they really want to trade Kepler so he'll be here until the deadline. Same with Pagan, unfortunately. This team doesn't really have many impressive trade chips anyways. Lee could headline a deal if you're buying, but behind him it's still hard to build a package necessary for a star. I don't think they're targeting any stars anyways, though. I love Polanco, and I want him back healthy, but his value is dropping by the IL trip. If he were valuable enough to bring back a big return we shouldn't be asking for him to be traded. The Twins are attempting to be in win now mode, and if he's healthy he's one of their top 5 players. Teams trying to win now don't trade those guys very often. Unless we're getting a player of the same talent level at a different position that trade doesn't help this team.
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Was extending Buxton a mistake?
chpettit19 replied to farmerguychris's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
Ok? "“Load management is the NBA term,” Twins president of baseball operations Derek Falvey said. “It’s probably a fair term to use just because we think about games and reps in center field, games and reps at DH. Those are different stresses every day, obviously. It’s more: How do we maintain his health through the course of the season as much as we can?”" There's another quote from a Dan Hayes article. You think Falvey said that because Correa came to him and told him they had to DH Buxton? I'm honestly asking you if you believe the FO, and Rocco, have been told by Buxton, and the medical staff, that he's fully healthy, and there's no reason he can't play CF, and they're choosing to put out an inferior lineup because Carlos Correa told them to DH Buxton. That's truly what you think? You think those guys are all putting their jobs on the line by DHing Buxton instead of putting him in CF because Carlos freaking Correa told them it's the right thing to do? You don't think the more likely scenario is that the FO, on advice from the medical staff, were trying to get Buxton to DH, but he was fighting it, so they asked Correa to step in and help if he could? -
Was extending Buxton a mistake?
chpettit19 replied to farmerguychris's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
No, he didn't. He reported that Correa and Buxton had dinner, and Correa helped convince him that DHing to keep him in the lineup would be good. He never at all said that it was Correa's idea. You can't honestly think the FO is putting their jobs on the line by not playing Buxton in CF when they believe it'd be the right thing to do all because Carlos Correa, in all his medical expertise, told them to DH Buxton. -
Twins Should Extend Tyler Mahle
chpettit19 replied to Cody Schoenmann's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
What a fascinating take. Do you think Do-Hyoung Park is lying in this article? Or you just think his arm is going to fall off between now and September? You know Tommy John is a pretty common surgery now, right? And guys come back from it all the time. Even their second one. What is the basis of your belief that there's a limited chance he'll ever pitch again? -
Was extending Buxton a mistake?
chpettit19 replied to farmerguychris's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
Your belief is that Buxton, the FO, the coaching staff, the rest of the players, and the medical staff all want Buxton to play CF, and all believe Buxton is healthy enough, and capable, of playing CF, but because Correa told him to DH he's DHing. That's honestly how you think things went down? -
Who’s Coming for the Twins in the Central?
chpettit19 replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Not significantly. Twins remaining opponents have a .478 winning percentage. Cleveland's have a .492 winning percentage. Chicago's are a .474 winning percentage. So slight advantage to MN and Chicago as of today, but even Cleveland's remaining schedule is full of winnable games. -
Was extending Buxton a mistake?
chpettit19 replied to farmerguychris's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
If he's a DH only for the entirety of this contract it's nowhere near as good of a deal for the Twins. He's probably still able to earn 2 WAR a year as a DH, and thus be "worth the contract," but Buxton at DH really changes the outlook for this organization over the next half decade. The Twins need to have very real conversations with Drs and figure out what Buxton's body can do moving forward. If he can't play CF anymore they need to change a lot about their team building plans. -
Twins Minor League Week in Review (6/5-6/11)
chpettit19 replied to Jeremy Nygaard's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
If I remember correctly Canterino didn't have his surgery until August last year. I'd guess the best hope is he's back on a game mound late August, or September. I know he was doing flat ground throwing in spring training, but haven't seen anything recently. I'd guess getting him some relief appearances late is probably their goal with him this year. Will be interesting to see if they make a fulltime move to the pen with him next year. He'll be 26 next year, and a long ways away from being ready to throw a starter's workload, but if his stuff comes back he's likely ready to contribute out of the pen next year.- 3 replies
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- jair camargo
- cory lewis
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While I don't at all disagree that the Ks are a problem, Cleveland is really not the team you should be pointing to as a shining example of an offense doing things the right way. They're 1.5 games back for the same reason the Twins are at .500, they can pitch. Twins 2nd in baseball in ERA, Cleveland 6th. Twins K way too much, but they've still outscored the Guardians by 38 runs. Cleveland is 27th in baseball in runs scored. If they were an offense to emulate they'd have run away with the division the same as the Twins would have if they were an offense to emulate. Nobody is trying to be Cleveland's offense. Not even Cleveland is. They brought in Josh Bell for a reason. And it wasn't to just put the ball in play.
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I don't disagree. My best hope right now is that Gallo was slumping because he was hurt, and he comes back and hits .220 with power, walks, and great defense. I've never liked Garlick, and have literally no idea why he's ever on the team. And Larnach was someone I had great hope in, but looks to be overmatched in the bigs. May help if he'd swing at the first pitch fastballs down the middle, though.

