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chpettit19

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Everything posted by chpettit19

  1. chpettit19
    I by no means meant every fan. Just some.
  2. chpettit19
    I'm not quite tracking the argument here. Moran has shown he can go multiple innings. I assume the initial plan was for him to do 2 innings, hopefully scoreless and still with a lead, to get them to the 7th with the lead still. Then turn it over to the back end guys for the save. He was awful in his 1 inning so they took him out, and the equation changed to going to their bad relievers instead. Is your thought that Moran was the wrong choice because he was only set to go 1? He's gone more than 1 inning multiple times this year so I'm just trying to understand why he was the wrong choice.
  3. chpettit19
    It's fascinating to see how people read into insanely small glimpses of teammate, or player manager, interactions. We've had 2 public spats between Rocco and Sonny over a season and a half, and we are discussing how well they get along? People have been throwing out the idea that Sonny is going to demand a trade since last year. Spent all offseason saying it was going to happen because he hates Rocco. He has 1 disagreement with Rocco in his first 14 starts in 2023 and people are back on the "he's going to demand a trade!" bus. If Gray hated Rocco half as much as people seem to think he does, why is he waiting? Why haven't these trade demands come? Why didn't he make the demand in his presser last night? Could this be a little projection? Fans dislike Rocco. Fans have a perception that Rocco has too quick of a hook, and dislike it. Fans want him replaced. Fans see Gray get upset twice and decide it's just obvious that he feels the same way they do and he wants to get as far away from Rocco as possible. Fascinating.
  4. chpettit19
    Short starts are absolutely killer. Especially when it's supposed to be one of your top starters, and he just simply doesn't have it that day, and never finds it over 4 innings.
  5. chpettit19
    You're going to make me blush!
  6. chpettit19
    Using Winder Tuesday comes back to bite them. I don't remember the circumstances Tuesday and if it was "necessary," but the challenge of having a true long man is that if your rotation is good, and mostly healthy, there's very few chances to use him, and you always run the risk of picking the wrong time to "just get him work," and you end up with no long man when he's needed. This is assuming Winder is supposed to be the long man.
  7. chpettit19
    I'd rather have Castro than Kepler. Castro is, to me, the ideal bench player. Switch hitter who can play anywhere but catcher, and steal a base. He doesn't need to be an everyday player, but he's exactly what I want out of my 26th guy. Castro is hitting better than Kepler this year. Provides better base running, and more flexibility. If they're making moves for Wallner, Miranda, Larnach, whoever they need to start with Kepler. Castro isn't the problem on this team. He fits the role he should have. And it's a valuable role.
  8. chpettit19
    Those guys deal with teammates getting DFAed dozens of times a year. They're not heartbroken over it. They might miss their friends, but this isn't some new thing for them. Guys who stop performing get cut. They understand this is a business. Sympathetic? Sure. But I'm sympathetic to people getting fired. They understand that their teammates play is also tied to their own ability to get enormous amounts of money. Whether it's Larnach, Wallner, Miranda, or any other player doesn't really matter to me. Max Kepler, Emilio Pagan, Kyle Garlick, etc. may be veterans, but that doesn't earn them a lifetime deal. Kepler isn't currently earning his spot. He's not a "proven veteran" anymore. He's a subpar hitter on a team that needs offense. There were other very reasonable options to make beyond sending Larnach down. I'm not heartbroken for Larnach going down. But acting like Kepler is a league average player anymore is ignoring a whole lot. He doesn't deserve to be on a team attempting to contend.
  9. chpettit19
    Guys may miss him in the clubhouse or something, but they all understand they're in a performance based business. I could just as easily argue that there's probably some players on the team that aren't happy he's still on the team. If you're not performing, and you're holding the team back from succeeding, there are plenty of players that will be upset with you getting chance after chance, and letting the team down. Not just the guys who's places you're taking, either. The players know who's good and who's not. If the players think Larnach, or Wallner, give them a better chance to win, there's going to be some that are upset the Twins refuse to move on and bring up the better players.
  10. chpettit19
    I think there's way too many variables to make a solid prediction 1 way or the other. Did 1 of the catchers get hurt for the year? He'd go on the 60-day, and they'd probably select Camargo if they feel he's the better player since that 40-man spot will be used all season. Once they get to the offseason they have plenty of guys coming off the 40-man, and Camargo needs to be protected anyways. If they aren't worried about protecting him I don't think DFAing him would be that big of a concern of theirs anyways. Even if it's just a 10-day stint they can 60-day Alcala, and use Camargo depending on what they feel about the rest of the roster, and who'd they'd be willing to DFA when. Pagan, Garlick, and Kepler are easy DFA candidates (well to everyone outside of 1 Twins Way at least...). I don't think the 40-man concerns are all that great. Plenty of ways to get Camargo on it depending on the overall situation.
  11. chpettit19
    Lineup position isn't what creates the consistency people are looking for. Being in the lineup or not can, though. MLB players have gameday routines they do no matter what. They don't do anything different to prepare for hitting 1st, 5th, or 9th. And they don't change their general approaches to their ABs either. Joey Gallo hitting leadoff doesn't suddenly think "dang, I need to cut down my swing and slap it the other way like Arraez since I'm hitting leadoff." He still goes up there looking to launch balls into the seats. Pitchers don't throw Buxton fastballs instead of sliders simply because he's in the leadoff spot, or if he were hitting in front of peak Bonds. Hitters approach ABs the same, and pitchers attack each hitter the same no matter where they are in the lineup. Lineup construction is about the manager putting the right type of hitters in the right order. How well Rocco does that, and how different the hitters really are, is up for debate. If you have a lineup full of the same type of hitter, the order doesn't matter beyond who's hot, and who's not. Luis Arraez has hit in the 1, 2, 3, 4, 8, and 9 holes this year. Primarily 1st or 3rd, though. But he has an OPS of .916 in the 1 hole. His OPS in the 3 hole? The drastically different .918. His OBP in the 1 hole is .442 vs .440 in the 3 hole. Slugging is .474 as leadoff, and .478 in the 3 hole. Guys don't change who they are depending on where they are in the lineup. It's just fans attempting to explain away struggling bats.
  12. chpettit19
    Totally fair. I think that's just saying fans need to chill on manager decisions, though. We have a tendency to just assume that if they'd made the opposite decision the results would have been opposite. Who's to say Snell wouldn't have gotten lit up if he'd stayed in? Or that Familia wouldn't have gotten lit up if he went in? Mo lost a game 7 for the Yankees. Joe Nathan gave up the big ARod bomb. Mo also blew game 4 against the Sox. The best laid plans go wrong all the time. And having them go wrong doesn't mean a different decision would've gone right. But humans have this weird need to blame people when things don't go the way they like. Which allows us all to form wonderful communities like TD, so I guess it's not all bad ☺️
  13. chpettit19
    So? The numbers matter after the 7th, but not before? You want to be in the scout side of the scout vs analyst debate, why does the inning matter? They went with the scout side and ignored the numbers side and they got bit.
  14. chpettit19
    What about the Mets not following the numbers and taking Matt Harvey out in game 5? That didn't work out so well, did it?
  15. chpettit19
    How many more fastballs do leadoff hitters see? How many more strikes do 9 hole hitters see? How about guys hitting in front of the team's best hitters? Do teams really attack a hitter differently if he's in the leadoff spot as opposed to the 3 hole? If I know you can't hit a slider (MLB teams know that kind of stuff) I'm not going to say "oh dang, he's hitting leadoff today, better throw him the fastball he mashes instead of the slider." I don't know the stats to the first 3 questions I asked, but I'd guess they're all way more dependent on the hitter than the lineup spot. And, the "lineup protection" myth has been debunked for a long time. Pitchers actually work harder to get the guy out in front of a star. Throwing them fastballs just to avoid walking them isn't what happens.
  16. chpettit19
    Oh, I don't think his .738 OPS against righties is indicative of who he is as a hitter, I just think the proximity of his OPS against lefties shows that there's not this big discrepancy in his ability against lefties and righties. He was hurt while facing both handedness pitchers, and performed so closely against both that I don't get why the Twins feel they need to platoon him at all (outside of a little extra rest for his wrist). I just don't put any weight at all on his 16 PAs against lefties this year. I'll take the lack of platoon splits over the much larger sample size over a sample size that can have his BA swing 200 points with just 3 hits. I'd guess the Twins argument for platooning the young guys is to put them in the most advantageous positions as possible early to get them comfortable, and their confidence high. But I'd rather them get ABs and work to fix holes in their games that become present by seeing how pitchers attack them. I don't expect to see them change soon, either, though. There's literally no non-injury excuse I'd accept for pinch hitting Kepler for Lewis. I'd let some TD posters hit over Kepler at this point!
  17. chpettit19
    I'm a fan of platooning certain players, but not the guys you expect/hope to be your stars. If Kirilloff, or Julien, can't hit lefties, they aren't stars. 16 PAs are completely useless as a sample size. 1 extra hit in there jumps his BA from .154 to .230. 2 extra hits puts him at .308. 16 PAs show literally nothing about his ability to hit lefties. For his MLB career he has 117 PAs against lefties. He has a .707 OPS against them. Definitely nothing to write home about, but when compared to his career .738 OPS against righties it sure doesn't look like he is "a much better hitter against right-handed pitchers." If you have to pinch hit for someone in the top 4 of your lineup, they shouldn't be in the top 4 of your lineup. I'd actually prefer a top 5 that is "platoon proof," but let's just get to 4 guys and go from there. Stop pinch hitting for your hoped for stars.
  18. chpettit19
    According to a Dan Hayes tweet, the AQI was at 178 when the game ended yesterday, and 271 last evening, so 131 is better than yesterday it appears. I don't know what it's expected to be like later today. I was at the game, and I didn't really notice the smoke beyond the visual, but it was still uncomfortable with the heat and humidity.
  19. chpettit19
    Who can hit better?
  20. chpettit19
    FYI, there were 79 qualified hitters in all of baseball in 2022 that hit .250 or better. It's time to start changing your perception on hitting. You've been left behind.
  21. chpettit19
    I don't disagree here at all, but you'd definitely be depleting the wave of position players during a time when the position players are the weakness on your team. Right now, if you believe in Varland, and think Paddack can be solid when he comes back, you've got a full rotation, and you have to be able to provide the depth behind it with your minor leaguers. But, right now, you have a lineup that is struggling to score runs consistently, and trading a healthy Polanco, plus Miranda, would put them in an even tougher spot with the offense. I like both Burnes, and Woodruff, but Burnes' numbers have been declining for a couple years so I'm not sure I'd want to go too crazy in going after him when the weakness on the team is offense, not pitching. But I definitely agree that the return you get in a trade effects whether or not you deplete you overall talent level. I'd just prefer to hold onto the prospects, and not deplete the young, inexpensive talent anymore since that's the key to this organization being able to be sustainably good. You trade too many young guys, for too many veterans, and your ability to fill holes declines exponentially. Whether the veterans turn out to be useful or not. There's only so much money the Pohlads are going to be willing to spend. If you trade too many prospects from 1 wave you leave yourself with a top heavy team, and the Jake Caves, and Kyle Garlicks, of the world needing to fill vital spots. I don't want that.
  22. chpettit19
    I don't see them trading Miranda this year. It'd be an awfully quick turn to go from clearing out an opening day spot for him to shipping him out. There's a lot of moving pieces in this puzzle. Buxton (DH vs CF), Julien (2B vs 1B vs DH vs cOF maybe?), Lewis (how long is he locked at 3B vs moving to 2B vs OF), Lee (how long til he's ready, and where does he play in the majors), Kirilloff (do they want to lock him in at 1B), Larnach (is he going to claim a cOF spot or leave it open for a Kirilloff move), Wallner (same as Larnach), Kepler (will they ever move on), Polanco (can he stay healthy and will they trade him). A lot of factors here. The "next wave" of prospects is arriving now. They've already moved Steer and CES. Are they really going to move Miranda, too? You can only move so many members of a wave before you deplete your wave so much that it can't provide you sustainable winning. I think they let things settle a bit, and see who really claims a big league role, and then they see how those pieces fit.
  23. chpettit19
    This is where I'm at, too. People talk like it's just a given that any of these young guys are going to step in and be 4 (nearly 5) win players (what Polanco has been since 2019). I'm not sold at all on that. But if he can't stay healthy then he's not a 4 win player (as seen by him being a 3 win player last year). It's a really tough spot. One of the few truly tough decisions this front office has to make if he comes back healthy, and mashing again.
  24. chpettit19
    I definitely agree with that. I'm crossing my fingers Correa gives him the green light soon.
  25. chpettit19
    Is there any recent evidence that they are healthy enough to do that? Dude, I get it, you want Buxton in CF. So do the Twins. There are 30 MLB POBO jobs in the world. There are 30 MLB manager jobs in the world. You don't think those guys want to be able to put their best player in CF instead of at DH? You think they have evidence that he can do it, but they just won't do it? You have no evidence his knees can handle that. You don't get to accuse people who don't think he can handle it of acting like they've medically evaluated him then turn around and make your own claims about his health as if you're medically evaluated him and not be called out on it. You're making every bit of a medical assumption as anyone else.
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