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chpettit19

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Everything posted by chpettit19

  1. chpettit19
    The entire situation is frustrating. I don't know of anyone who isn't frustrated by at least part of it. We all know what Buxton can do in CF, and what his peak is as an overall player. Not being able to see it is incredibly frustrating for us. I can't imagine the frustration Buxton himself is going through. I just know everyone involved with the Twins wants Buxton to be Buxton as much, or more, than any of us here. I don't know what's wrong with his knee, and don't really need to. I know if he could play he would. The only thing that more info could clear up for me is if I need to start preparing myself to never see peak Buxton again. Is this a degenerative thing? Is it something that likely won't ever be truly fixed? Is this the end? My concern is no longer for 2023. It's for 2024 and beyond. But I wouldn't expect the team to come out and tell us Buxton's knee is toast, and this is what he is moving forward. Not just from the PR side of things, but for the human side of things. Buxton has to be struggling enough with all this that I don't see what good comes from telling fans he's toast. While our TD community is by and large very respectful, not all fans are. Why put anything extra on Buxton right now than you have to? I just hope they're open to shutting him down this year if that's what it'd take to get him right for 2024 instead of risking future seasons in the name of him limping through this one.
  2. chpettit19
    Keeping Pagan was a move I never would've made this offseason. No idea why they did it. Keeping Pagan as we get deeper into the season is a move I'd never make. No idea why they're going to do it. But Pagan was useful for the first 3 months of the season. He pitched well far more often than he pitched poorly. But he's done nothing but confirm that he can't be trusted in big spots. That's not a guy you can take into the second half of the year. You thought you could get more out of him. You did, in low leverage spots. It's time to start weeding out the guys you can't trust in the heat of a pennant race, or any possible playoff appearance. If you can't trust them in big spots, you need to get rid of them, and find someone you can trust. Pagan hasn't been bad overall this year, but he's established he won't be good when he's truly needed. It's time to move on. He's one of a handful of guys it's time to move on from. And it's undoubtedly late enough in the season to start moving on. Time for the FO to start making moves. Trades aren't super likely right now, but internal promotions are absolutely possible. Time to raise the ceiling on this season.
  3. chpettit19
    This is where I'm at. Have the established it? No. Are they close? Maybe. This deadline, and next offseason, will speak volumes as to where they're at. If I'm the Pohlads, I tell them they're not allowed to make any big trades this deadline. You've been here long enough, and it's time to sink or swim with your system. If you can't swim with your guys this year you aren't the ones to patch the holes in the offseason. It's time to open the valve, and see what comes out of the pipeline.
  4. chpettit19
    There's a difference between "prefer to make the playoffs than to miss the playoffs," and "happy just making the playoffs."
  5. chpettit19
    I think St Louis would be looking for significantly more ceiling in the return for the reigning MVP.
  6. chpettit19
    Welcome to Twins Daily! Coming out firing on the first post. Respect is the #1 thing around here, so we like to avoid statements like "Mathe (his name is Mahle, FYI) is a joke," so please find other ways to voice your displeasure in the future. You are not alone in your frustrations with Mahle, and that trade, so definitely feel free to voice those concerns, but please avoid name calling, and disrespect when doing so. What is your reasoning for thinking we'll never see Paddack? You're not the first person to suggest that, but I'm curious why you think that when he's already throwing bullpens, and is set to return to the team this season in a likely bullpen role in September. That extension is going to look awfully bad if he doesn't pitch at all the next 2 years we have him signed for.
  7. chpettit19
    Goldy is absolutely the type of player that this team is missing. And I'd be willing to give up quite a bit to get a year and a half of him. I'm not sure I really think the Cards are selling, though. At least not him or Arenado. They aren't really a franchise that does true rebuilds. They reload. And, even if they do sell those sorts of big bats, they need pitching. I don't see the Twins as a good fit as they don't really have young, controllable pitching that is good enough to bring back an MVP type bat. SWR, Jordy Blaze, Winder, etc. aren't the types of guys the Cards would want. So I don't really see a good trade match here. Even if I'd love Goldy on this team.
  8. chpettit19
    He's still fast. Not sure he's quite as fast, but he's definitely still fast.
  9. chpettit19
    66% of first round picks reach the majors. The Twins are at 4 of 9 right now, with a couple too new to really be expected have reached yet. I'd say they're 4 for 6 right now. The idea behind Sabato was that he was going to be quick moving as a "polished" college bat. So he's a miss. Cavaco is on the edge of his timeline as a high school pick, but since he looks like he has no chance of ever reaching the bigs he counts as a miss to me. So they're right at league average. Nothing great, but nothing terrible. I would also have Lewis over Lee at this point. By a pretty wide margin, too. The biggest thing this FO needs out of this group is a star or 2. Lewis looks like he's on his way, and we all hope for it with Lee. But I agree with others that taking the Rooker, Wallner, Sabato types is not my favorite strategy. Just such limited ways for them to impact the game. Those were later picks so it's not as bad, but I still prefer homerun swings on toolsy players at the top of the draft. I'll take a 33% hit rate if those hits are 5 tool stars over a 66% hit rate on MLB average regulars.
  10. chpettit19
    I mean this is just flat out wrong. Mike Trout wasn't very good his rookie season. Then he adjusted. Turned out alright. There is adapting that has to happen at every level. That's not a hot take or anything. You can go ask anyone involved in baseball and they'll tell you that. This isn't even worth anymore conversation if your stance is that rookies are expected to perform immediately and no adapting is needed.
  11. chpettit19
    What's the difference between the rookies being "meh" and Kepler being "meh?" Most of our arguments are that Kepler can't go up from "meh." "Meh" is who he is. He's 30, and there's no reasonable expectation of improvement. The rookies being "meh" before they've had a chance to adapt, and truly gain their footing, have at least a little expectation of improvement. Why hold onto the guy who's proven that "meh" is his peak simply to avoid using a rookie who "meh" could reasonably be their floor?
  12. chpettit19
    There's a nice Jayson Stark article on The Athletic today talking about the Diamondbacks, Orioles, and Reds. He frames it around "New Rule Baseball," but all 3 teams are open about how their plan was in place well before the new rules. They were just trying to get more athletic. Those teams are fun to watch. And they're winning games right now. The lack of athleticism on the Twins is such a bummer. For that reason I'm not a fan of moving Castro (he's in the same age range as most of the guys we're hoping to become the new core). I think he's a wonderful utility player. Don't want him as an everyday starter, but his speed, and athleticism is a real weapon on the bench. As much as it kills me to say, it's probably time to move on from Polanco. And the rest of those guys I'm good moving, even though Solano is steady, and a refreshing change of pace in the batter's box.
  13. chpettit19
    None of us are too young to remember the current Diamondbacks team. Or the current Reds team. Or the current Orioles team. Or the Rays teams from the last decade. Or the Cubs, Astros, and Braves all going young and winning championships. We all remember the Guardians going young and blowing past the Twins just last year. Miami is 10 games over .500 by playing a bunch of young, unproven guys. You don't have to go back to the 70s to remember what young teams can do. Comparing what fans are asking the Twins to do with the 2023 Oakland team is pretty absurd. Oakland ownership is actively trying to lose. They aren't trying to turn the team over to a new wave of players while spending all time high payroll amounts. Oakland being bad isn't an accident, or a plan gone wrong. It was the plan.
  14. chpettit19
    Lots of things I've read have suggest Max Clark may be the cheapest of the "big 5." If that's true, he feels like a great pick there. Get a chance to make up for passing on Carroll, while also saving money to take a big swing at 34, and other spots. Ledbetter doesn't really thrill me at 34. He wasn't great in SEC play, and doesn't feel like a high ceiling type guy. 2 picks in the top 34, with a ton of extra money to spend because of the lottery jump, equals a chance to take 2 massive swings this year. I don't want safe, or "high floor," guys. Go after the 2 highest ceiling players you can with these 2 picks. Ledbetter just doesn't feel like that to me. But he does feel like he fits the Twins model, so I wouldn't be surprised by that pick.
  15. chpettit19
    The question, to me, is what are you targeting? What's the goal at the deadline? I think the Twins being buyers at the deadline would be a disaster. They're not close enough. Lewis, Correa, Lee, Kirilloff around the IF sounds great, but Lee isn't exactly lighting AA on fire, and Lewis may be a better fit in CF. I don't think there's as much of a logjam on the infield as others seem to. Can the Twins get better at the deadline? Of course they can. But to what end, and at what cost? If they rip off a month where they win 65% of their games, and the offense scores 5+ runs in 90% of their games, let's buy. Does anyone expect that? I'm a believer in the idea that once you're in the playoffs anything can happen, but within reason. I think breaking "the streak" is important, and would be "happy" with that outcome this year. But I'm not willing to sacrifice a single piece of 2024 and beyond to do that. I hope they don't trade a single guy who has any shot at being on the 40-man this offseason. It's time to make the transition to the "young guys." If they don't think the young guys can do it they're admitting they've failed to build any sort of reliable prospect pipeline. They have a whole bunch of league average, or worse, vets on this team with no future on the club. If you can't replace those guys with league average, or worse, rookies on league minimum deals that allow you to supplement this offseason on the FA market you're doomed. Unless they're going on a massive tear for the next month, the deadline should be about transitioning to the new core. Don't blow up your chances of winning the division, and breaking "the streak," by going hog wild on selling (keep Gray, for example), but set yourself up with a chance to answer some questions about the future of this team the rest of the way. If they go in a spiral for the next month, then sell off everything, and start prepping your resume (hopefully). This deadline isn't the time to take chances on improving. Next offseason is. You just need to find out how many cheap players you have that are worthy of MLB playing time so you know how much you can splurge on the open market. The goal should be finding more guys to add to Ryan, Ober, Duran, Lewis, Julien, AK, and the rest of the league minimum guys so you can go big on spending this offseason. Don't trade away the league minimum guys for a hope and a prayer that your vets will suddenly be better than they are.
  16. chpettit19
    Simple as that? There's not more to it? We don't care what kind of overall player he is, just that he has historically been a "well above average fielder?" Don't care that he's a well below average hitter now? We also don't care that he hasn't been a well above average fielder this year? This year he's been a well below average hitter, and an average fielder. But Wallner is a below average fielder so he doesn't deserve a shot. I don't see how that math works out. Yeah, hitting well in the minors is pretty much the yellow brick road to the majors. For position players, there's nothing more important, and it's what the vast majority of promotion decisions are built on. Especially if you play a corner position.
  17. chpettit19
    Casey would fit right in with the lower part of the Twins pen! Let's do it!
  18. chpettit19
    Chase Petty and another prospect or 2 is a realistic package for Gray. I wouldn't be mad at that return.
  19. chpettit19
    What does he need to do in the minors to show he's "good enough for the majors?" How does he "earn his way up?" What does Kepler have to do in the majors to show he's not good enough for the majors? I know you love your veterans, but if one of the young guys were playing like Kepler has been for the last 3 years you'd be talking about how they aren't good enough for the majors, and should go back to the minors. Are the standards different for Kepler? Why?
  20. chpettit19
    Totally fair. But that doesn't mean he wasn't really bad for the vast majority of the 2 years immediately following the Twins non-tendering him. I like Eddie. He's a fun player. But he's one of the many guys I feel get what I'd call the "Twins mediocre boost." They're solid players that hit in the heart of mediocre lineups, on mediocre Twins teams, and they get this reputation around Twins Territory that they're better than they are. I'd take Eddie on my team, but as a 6 hole through bench player, not the top/heart of the order guy he was forced to be here. He's a 1 to 2 win type player (if you're a WAR fan), and that's incredibly replaceable. Unless you're on a team full of 0 to 1 win type players like he was here. Example given: He hits 6/7 hole for Atlanta when they're going right.
  21. chpettit19
    It's not even 10 AM (central), Brock. You can't wait until at least 10 AM to ruin our days?
  22. chpettit19
    FYI, he'd entered the game in the top of the 7th as the defensive replacement. Then hit in Julien's spot in the bottom of the 7th.
  23. chpettit19
    While I would be interested in seeing what a red hot Williams may look like in the majors, Kyle Farmer has nearly 3000 professional innings at catcher, so we're in pretty solid shape in terms of a 3rd catcher right now. Williams has 900 innings for reference.
  24. chpettit19
    He had entered in the top of the 7th for defense. Which lead him to hit against Whitlock in a righty-righty matchup in the bottom of the 7th, which I believe was the complaint of the poster I responded to. They appeared to think he was inserted into the game in the bottom of the 7th as a pinch hitter when he'd already been inserted in the top of the inning for his defense.
  25. chpettit19
    Farmer had been put in the game in the top of the inning for his defense as they were attempting to hold a lead late. Edit: should've kept reading posts and would've seen someone already said this. My bad for the repeat.
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