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Everything posted by mnfireman
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Is Rocco Baldelli a Lame Duck Manager in 2025?
mnfireman replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I prefer these types of articles compared to the non-sensical trade for/sign player X trash that has been on here most of this winter. As long as posters can keep their arguments logical and point out actual shortcomings and not just their individual biases and/or "Rocco sucks" it could lead to some interesting discussions. -
New Year, same let's suggest a ridiculous trade/signing article. Only this one sounds like it is coming from Dodgers Daily...
- 58 replies
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- jhoan duran
- hunter feduccia
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Robot umps are not a given either. https://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/40377683/mlb-robot-umpires-automated-balls-strikes-challenge-system-umps-majors
- 66 replies
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- james mccann
- ryan jeffers
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3 Twins to Watch for Potential Regression in 2025
mnfireman replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I'm not overly concerned about Duran given the general small sample size and volatility of a high leverage relief pitcher. My main concern would be his conditioning, to me he looked heavier last season. I didn't get to see a lot of his games, but in the games I did see, he induced a lot of weak contact, leading to several infield hits and/or plays not being made behind him, which in turn led to big innings. He also gave up a lot of contact on pitches outside the strike zone, which generally meant foul balls that prolonged PA's instead of K's.- 41 replies
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- carlos correa
- matt wallner
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3 Twins to Watch for Potential Regression in 2025
mnfireman replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I am more concerned about more of the same from the guy standing in the third base coach's box than I am about a regression from any of these 3. Maybe one (or more, as is usually the case) of the TD contributors could do an in-depth analysis of the coaching staff and their performance, strength's/weaknesses, potential for improvement, etc...- 41 replies
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- carlos correa
- matt wallner
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Being on the 40-man roster does not guarantee him a spot, nor does it protect him from being traded again. He gets a ST invite to MLB camp so the coaches can get an extended look at him, and work with him. As stated, he's a switch-hitter who has experience at C, 1B & 2B - but he's not taking anybody's position, other than maybe Camargo, who for whatever reason has fallen out of favor within the organization. IF he makes the team out of ST, he's a once a week player used to manage somebody else's playing time (hate that term), a PH option, or an insurance plan if the team uses both Jeffers and Vazquez in the same game so as not to lose the DH. For a "nothing story" about a "nothing move by nothing organization" this is living very freely in many poster's heads - around 170 responses over at least 3 articles.
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The Most Iconic Pictures in Twins History
mnfireman replied to Matthew Lenz's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
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- jim kaat
- kirby puckett
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https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2024/12/diamondbacks-to-sign-corbin-burnes.html
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According to Baseball Savant, Kepler hit a ball 115.4 MPH against Michael Soroka on 4-25, but it was for an out. Wallner also hit a ball 114.3 against Zach Wheeler on 7-23, but it was also for an out. Correa had a single that was hit 113.9 MPH against Jose Urena on 5-24 that was the next hardest hit base hit, so the 6th hardest for a base hit, tied for 9th hardest hit ball overall (Larnach also hit a ball 113.9 but was an out.)
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So did Punto, Lew Ford and any number of Gardy's Gamers. Rosario also brought bad baserunning, bad routes to fly balls, a below average arm, and questionable plate appearances.
- 67 replies
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- max kepler
- brent rooker
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I don't buy that, he's only 25 years old. I think the league adjusted to him (less fastballs) and he was unable to make his own adjustments because he didn't have a healthy lower body (if you don't think having a healthy lower body is important see Buxton, Byron 2023). Hopefully a full off-season to rehab, concentrate on agility instead of bulk, and study video will pay big dividends for Lewis, and therefore, the Twins. Might want to check the "I don't do slumps" ego a little bit also...
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So Correa should make less because he plays in Minnesota? WAR isn't variable because of who a player plays for, neither should any value assigned to it. FanGraphs assigning a $$$ value to WAR is by no means perfect, but it's a good way of seeing if a team is getting value out of a player, and by the current value assigned to WAR and your own statement of getting paid by performance, Correa earned his paycheck last season
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According FanGraphs, Correa's 4.3 fWAR was worth $34.2 MM last year, against a real salary of $33.3 MM. So by your own quote in another thread, he is worthy of his salary: "PERFORMANCE BASED PAY .. Well, there's an idea. Why doesn't every player get paid based on performance? Give everyone a base salary and pay them on performance based on everyone else. Naw, that would make too much sense .." - saviking 12/14/24 09:50 a.m. Agree or not, FanGraphs formula of assigning a $$$ value to WAR is widely accepted when talking about player value.
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Miranda had the second most appearances batting in the clean-up position, followed by Wallner. Wallner (19 games)- .299/.390/.537 (.927 OPS) 3HR, 11 RBI, 25/5 K/BB Miranda (35 games) - .339/.362/.515 (.877 OPS) 2 HR, 23 RBI, 21/5 K/BB Lewis (17 games) - .167/.247/.379 (.626 OPS) 4 HR, 9 RBI, 20/7 K/BB
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- max kepler
- matt wallner
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He also would have walked a lot sooner had Falvey not signed him to a team-friendly extension that bought out a couple years of FA...
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- max kepler
- brent rooker
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So, the players the Twins have aren't good enough to play here, but some other team should take them so they can play them? If we as fans think that several players aren't worth the salary they are being paid, then I'm quite positive that MLB executives that do this for a living probably know this as well [insert sarcasm emoji here]. Falvey/Zoll/Adler can't force another team to make a trade. Falvey has put together a good roster with a good mix of young affordable players, veterans earning a fair MLB salary and superstars earning mega millions. That being said, a combination of injuries, under-performance and young players not reaching their projected potential has hurt this team. Where this falls - ownership, front office, coaching or the players themselves is what needs to be addressed and fixed.
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Correa is a 30 year-old SS coming off of consecutive years with foot injuries, an ankle that raised red-flags during his FA signing period and has no-trade protection through his age 33 season (2028). He's not going anywhere this off-season, he needs a healthy year to show he's worth his contract and the team has no other viable option at SS. The caveat to this being is that the team is supposedly for sale, so he also needs to show potential buyers he's worth their investment - a good season and the new owners can build around him, a bad season and the new owners can work with Correa to find him a new home, after all, they didn't sign him.
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Twins Listening On Trade Inquiries About Pablo Lopez
mnfireman replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
With the team supposedly up for sale, I don't think any of the "big ticket" players should be traded, that would be like buying a house only to find out the previous owner sold off all the appliances... -
Twins Listening On Trade Inquiries About Pablo Lopez
mnfireman replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
By your logic he should have taken the QO - $21.1 MM is more than $20 MM/ year. Players want long term security, even if it means a lower AAV. We don't know what he and his agent were asking for and I never said he would sign for 5/$70 mm, which is not 40% less than he signed for, 5/$60MM would be, I said if he had an offer over 3 years he probably would have taken it. Walker could very well be the exception, but most MLB position players stats start to drop off pretty quick after age 36-37, whether it be due to eroding skills or injury. -
Twins Listening On Trade Inquiries About Pablo Lopez
mnfireman replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
The 3 year deal he just signed covers his age 34-36 seasons, he more than likely doesn't get another contract at age 37, much less at $15 MM/year. If he had an offer for more than 3 years he probably would have taken it. -
Twins Listening On Trade Inquiries About Pablo Lopez
mnfireman replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
Even if you used Baseball Reference, SWR had 2.0 WAR compared to Berrios 2.2 WAR - literally a wash and still a huge cost savings. Plus SWR isn't a FA until 2031. -
Twins Listening On Trade Inquiries About Pablo Lopez
mnfireman replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
You are asking this question in an article about a player THIS front office acquired in a half way decent trade.....LOL -
Twins Listening On Trade Inquiries About Pablo Lopez
mnfireman replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
The ol' Hot Stove is very cold this year....Falvey has stated multiple times he gets asked about the availability of all players and, in good faith, listens to the other teams pitch. I look at TD everyday for one reason or another, but lately its just been the same series of articles (i.e. the Ishbia's, trade player X, extend player X) only written by each writer/contributor. However, some of the Payroll Blueprints give me a good chuckle...

