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mnfireman

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Everything posted by mnfireman

  1. No runs, but made Verlander work - 23 pitches. Also looked real shaky out of the stretch, maybe the boys can keep getting on base and chase him after 3 or 4 innings.
  2. Another MLB pitcher who can't pitch inside. Hope this doesn't sideline C4...
  3. Looking on Baseball Savant, his strike zone has benefitted the Twins more than the Jays, so I'm not gonna complain to much...
  4. https://www.msn.com/en-us/sports/mlb/tim-wakefield-who-revived-his-career-and-red-sox-trophy-case-with-knuckleball-has-died-at-57/ar-AA1hxedf
  5. Congratulations are in order for Luis Arraez on winning back-to-back batting titles, but really!?!? There are 4 qualifiers in the AL over .300, and 5 in the NL. In the AL the the #10 best AVG is .276 (Marcus Semien) and in the NL the #10 best AVG is .285 (Xander Bogaerts). This is 1968 lower-the-mound bad hitting, except that today's pitchers aren't Gibson, Tiant, McLain, McNally, Drysdale, Seaver or Marichal good. As recently as 2020 there have been 20+ .300 hitters in MLB, and 2019 was the last season with no qualified batters hitting less than .200. Different times my friends, different times.
  6. It also looks like Miami has the tie-breaker, according to MLB.com. If both teams win or lose today, Miami is the higher seed and does not need to play Monday. The Marlins would win a tiebreaker with the D-backs for the second NL Wild Card spot (No. 5 NL playoff seed).
  7. If Miami wins today AND Arizona loses, Miami is the 5 seed and does not have to play Monday.
  8. I don't think Keuchel is really being counted on for the play-offs.
  9. This ump's strike zone is very inconsistent, kinda hard to figure out when a pitch is called a ball once and a strike the next time...
  10. I would assume Paddack, Varland, Maeda and Duran needs an inning, as does Jax.
  11. Perfect scenario is to win it in 2, especially if Rocco is set that Ryan gets Game 3.
  12. With Rocco's penchant for stats, spreadsheets and optimizing match-ups, I'm surprised he made the Maeda to the BP announcement already. Seattle is a very realistic WC opponent and Maeda had back-to-back quality starts against them in July, allowing 3 ER in 12.2 IP with a 17/2 K/BB ratio. The Twins won both games, but Maeda got 2 no-decisions. He did not face Houston or Toronto this season. Ryan, meanwhile, pitched against Seattle, Houston and Toronto, but not very well. He was 0-1 with a 9.82 ERA, a 7/2K/BB ratio and allowed 2 HR in 3.2 innings against Seattle. Against Houston he was 1-1 with a 8.10 ERA, a 16/4 K/BB ratio and allowed 4 HR in 10 innings. And against Toronto he was 0-0 with 4.50 ERA, a 4/1 K/BB ratio but allowed 0 HR in 6 innings. And just to muddy the waters a bit, Ober pitched decently against both Toronto and Seattle, but did not face Houston. Against Seattle he was 1-0 with a 4.50 ERA, a 5/0 K/BB ratio and allowed 1 HR in 6 innings. Against Toronto he was 0-0 with a 3.60 ERA, a 7/1 K/BB ratio but allowed 0 HR in 5 innings.
  13. If the team rosters Buxton for the WC series, he would need to be used without limitations, not as a break glass in case of emergency type. Every roster spot on this team, as constructed, is too valuable to have a player sit on the bench waiting for the perfect opportunity to play him. If the plan is to DH Lewis, then I don't feel Buxton has a spot unless he is healthy enough to play in the field. If he is healthy enough to play in the field, then he should be starting and MAT comes in late for defense (whoever thought that line would be used!!). Rostering Buxton in hopes of a Kirk Gibson type PH appearance doesn't make sense for the WC series but could (and maybe should) be revisited if the team advances.
  14. There are no times assigned to the games as of yet...
  15. Stats for the big 4 over the last 30 days, 5 starts each: Lopez - 2-2 3.19 ERA 37/7 K/BB ratio 4 HR in 31 IP 4 QS Gray - 1-2 1.50 ERA 28/4 K/BB ratio 2 HR in 30 IP 4 QS Ryan - 2-2 4.21 ERA 32/6 K/BB ratio 3 HR in 25.2 IP 2 QS Maeda - 3-0 4.44 ERA 24/6 K/BB ratio 4 HR in26.1 IP 1 QS With the exception of Gray, they all at least one BAD start over this time frame, but he did only go 4 against the Rays on September 11. Lopez is the only one to not have a start of less than 5 innings and all have pitched into the 6th at least twice. I think the starters are ready, but if the offense and/or the bullpen doesn't, it will be another quick play-off exit.
  16. Kirilloff was on the 40 man roster, Lee is not. Can't/won't play until he is.
  17. As the rotation sits right now, Lopez is on track for Game 1, Gray for Game 2 and Ryan for Game 3, unless the team skips Maeda's last start, which projects to be the last game of the regular season. If the team skips Ober's projected start on Tuesday and moves everyone else up, Monday's day off keeps them on regular rest, they can have Ober pitch the last game of the regular season, and Lopez, Gray and Ryan have an extra day of rest for the WC round, and Maeda would be on normal rest for Game 3, so Rocco's choice for Game 3. If the team wins the WC round, Lopez and Gray would both be on short rest to start Games 1 & 2, but both Ryan and Maeda would be available. If they win in 2, its Rocco's choice between the two, if they win in 3, whoever didn't pitch Game 3 would start Game 1.
  18. Division Winner Chicken Dinner....
  19. Not exactly what I said, but I guess I was kind of vague. With WAR values being so different across the baseball sites, people pick and choose which site's value they want to use when making their argument for one player over another.
  20. Gray turns 34 on Nov 7, who gives him a $100 MM contract in FA? Bassitt and Eovaldi are the 2 closest examples of a FA SP of his age and talent and they received 3 years and 2 years respectively. 3/$50 MM is probably his target window.
  21. WAR would have a lot more meaning to me if Baseball Reference, FanGraphs, ESPN, etc... all used the same formula. Cole's bWAR was over 1.0 higher than his fWAR the last time I checked. That being said, I still think Cole wins the CYA based on the stats I've seen.
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