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DJL44

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Everything posted by DJL44

  1. DJL44
    Wallner (970 OPS vs RHP, .480 vs LHP), Kepler (832 vs 750), Larnach (766 vs 412) and Kirilloff (858 v 452) are also worse against LHP than RHP. Castro outhit all but Kepler. Buxton is really the only OF you would expect to hit lefties well. That could give Austin Martin a niche to fill. A reunion with Aaron Hicks makes a lot of sense. He had a .970 OPS vs LHP and will cost the MLB minimum for the next two seasons. He's below average in the field at age 34 but can cover all three outfield positions without embarassing himself. A Wallner/Hicks platoon could be All-Star level production for less than $2M.
  2. DJL44
    Brooks Lee is not known for his sprint speed. Willi Castro IS known for his sprint speed and was pretty good defensively in the outfield, probably better than I would expect from Kepler. Putting Kepler in CF would only make sense to get an extra bat into the lineup and unless you move Kirilloff back to LF and play someone else at 1B there isn't a configuration where Kepler in CF makes sense.
  3. DJL44
    They signed him to a major league contract and gave him roster spot. They only get 40 of them in the offseason. 3 spots left before they need to put players on waivers. 3 spots left that they can use for players received in trades.
  4. DJL44
    Pete Rose signed a lifetime ban from baseball. He's no longer eligible.
  5. DJL44
    Is Terry Ryan consulting for the front office? This is exactly the kind of low-risk, low-reward move he loved to make. At best they get a back end reliever for $1M. At worst they spent a roster spot on someone who can't even contribute. The opportunity cost may be higher than the salary cost.
  6. DJL44
    Bally's sucks for fans and for the team. They can't even get the games into people's homes. Their app crashes all the time. Bally's has already announced that they are ending MLB broadcasting for the rest of the teams at the end of 2024. Going back to Bally's when they've already had several years to prepare for the transition is a management failure. The Twins had an opportunity to lead the pack and they're opting back into a broken distribution model. The only thing I can figure is MLB said "we have a plan for 2025 on, don't make any long-term contracts".
  7. DJL44
    That is nonsensical. Are you going to go back to those games, turn the hits into outs and re-score the game? Pete Rose at the top of the all-time hits list is just a record of what happened during baseball games. Any honors you ascribe to it is entirely your own.
  8. DJL44
    Small chance. Most players have their peak season at about his age. The good news is he doesn't have to improve that much to be effective.
  9. DJL44
    Kansas City and Cincinnati are spending money this offseason.
  10. DJL44
    But somehow only for the Twins with all 29 of the other MLB teams unaffected.
  11. DJL44
    Everyone should be thrilled with Joe's vote totals so far. He's basically guaranteed to get elected by ranking this high immediately. If it doesn't happen this year it will happen by 2026 at the latest. Next year (2025) adds Ichiro and CC Sabathia and it is Wagner's final time on the ballot. In 2026 there is nobody special added (Cole Hamels tops the list) and if he isn't already elected Joe would be the top returning player.
  12. DJL44
    The news about a 1 season negotiation with Bally's is so frustrating. Kick the can down the road one year and try it all over again. The Twins will wait for MLB to figure out the future of television distribution for them. No innovation from this management team.
  13. DJL44
    Yes. A starter as good as Maeda was last season is more valuable than all but the most elite relievers.
  14. DJL44
    That's likely to keep happening. The final numbers will probably be lower than what we see in the tracker. People who don't release their ballots publicly tend to vote for fewer players. Mauer will need to be at 80% on Jan 22 to have a real shot.
  15. DJL44
    I'd say I'm a Hall of Fame sized Hall of Fame guy. All of those players meet the historical standards for enshrinement. I don't see a reason to punish the players from the current generation and hold them to a higher standard than players from previous generations. Abreu was better than Oliva, for example.
  16. DJL44
    Relieving IS a role almost any decent starter can shift into and succeed. That is exactly how nearly every relief pitcher gets the role. It's how Billy Wagner got the role. Pitcher is a position. The Hall of Fame should be focused on electing the best pitchers. Starting pitchers keep their job in the rotation because they are better at pitching than relievers. Would any general manager from the 2000s trade Johan Santana straight up for Billy Wagner? Of course not. Santana threw over 1000 more effective innings than Wagner. Santana was twice as valuable as Billy Wagner. It's baffling that Wagner would be enshrined instead of Santana. The same goes for two pitchers on the current ballot - Mark Buehrle and Andy Pettitte. Any GM building a club would rather have an ace starter like Buehrle or Pettitte instead of a reliever like Wagner. That doesn't even get into Wagner's horrible postseason performance or his habit of trashing his teammates in the press. He is not qualified for the Hall of Fame.
  17. DJL44
    There is a big difference between people cheating to win (especially before steroid use had an actual penalty) and people like Rose who violated the only rule that comes with a lifetime ban because it could destroy the entire league. A-Rod got caught and served his suspension. Rose should have to serve his (a lifetime ban) as well.
  18. DJL44
    I am okay with trying Varland in the rotation. He's plenty good enough to be a 5th starter for many teams. The 6th starter will get innings - no team keeps 5 starting pitchers healthy for all of their starts. The worst malpractice would be for Varland to spend the entire season in AAA. He's going to be 26 years old. Wasting one of his prime seasons in the minors would be sad. If he's bumped down to the 7th starter by major leaguers who don't have options they should move him to the bullpen. Pitchers only get so many healthy innings in their career.
  19. DJL44
    If they put Pete Rose in the Hall of Fame they might as well burn the place to the ground.
  20. DJL44
    My ballot (if I could vote): Abreu, Beltran, Beltre, Buehrle, Mauer, Pettitte, Ramirez, Rodriguez, Sheffield, Utley. I'd probably vote for Andruw Jones too but they only give you 10 ballot slots. I'm iffy on Helton. No way on Billy Wagner or Torii Hunter. You'd need to double the size of the Hall of Fame to justify voting for either of them.
  21. DJL44
    Completely disagree with this one. Relievers are an overrepresented group in Cooperstown with relievers being elected instead of many vastly superior starting pitchers. Billy Wagner in while Johan Santana is out is a travesty. I would prefer only three pure relievers were elected - Rivera, Wilhelm and Gossage. Eckersley makes it based on how much value he provided as a starting pitcher. Gossage is actually borderline.
  22. DJL44
    You might, but that would pretty much guarantee the most people are watching. Lose a handful of fans in small markets but gain ten times as many in NY and LA. If you want to fix baseball you have to change the incentives. Teams should make the most profit when the stadium is full.
  23. DJL44
    Setting the bar so high that all but a handful of players would fail to meet expectations is not helpful. He can provide a lot of value and still be a "failure" in your eyes.
  24. DJL44
    That's a good argument for the Twins Hall of Fame, not the national one.
  25. DJL44
    I am also thrilled that Yamamoto is joining MLB. In a salary cap constrained MLB he might have decided to stay in Japan. Ohtani might have decided that as well.
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