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DJL44

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Everything posted by DJL44

  1. DJL44
    They are just MLB depth which is why Seattle would need to add prospects to the deal if they want to deal their depth for the Twins starter.
  2. DJL44
    Looking over the rosters as part of this trade sparks ideas for further deals. WAR projections are from Fangraphs. Twins trade: Jorge Polanco ($10.5M 2.5 WAR); Mariners trade Anthony DeSclafini ($12M 0.5), Luis Urias ($4.7M 2.0) and Walter Ford (RHP, #19 prospect). Seattle upgrades at 2B and saves $6M. The Twins get a starting pitcher on a short-term market value deal, a good pitching prospect and a utility infielder with two years of team control which allows them to make the next deal. Twins trade: Kyle Farmer ($6.6M 0.4); Giants trade Heliot Ramos ($0.75 0.1) and Joe Whitman (LHP, #14 prospect) The Giants need a SS more than any team in baseball and have too many outfielders. The Twins get a backup CF option who crushed AAA in 2023 and the kind of projectable college pitching prospect they love. Plus, they shed the money they added in the Mariners deal. Feel free to rotate in any of the other dozen Giants pitching prospects if you think Whitman is the wrong guy. This doesn't land the Twins a top of the rotation starter but it adds a couple pitching prospects that could help them swing that deal later. It also finishes out their shopping list for everything else except the top starting pitcher.
  3. DJL44
    They traded Ray but got DeSclafini in return. Deeper since DeSclafini can pitch the whole season while Ray was out until July.
  4. DJL44
    Josh Rojas posted a bWAR of 0.5 in 2023. He projects to 1.5 WAR in 2024 (over a full season). He's a bench player. Urias may be the projected starter at 3B but he lost his job in 2023 in Milwaukee and ended up hitting .194 for the season. The Mariners just took on Mitch Haniger's dead weight contract. They're not pinching pennies in 2024.
  5. DJL44
    They got an arm back for Ray (who will be available for the whole season) in DeSclafini. They are deeper now. I hope they would trade Woo, Miller or Hancock for Polanco. I hope it's not Polanco for DeSclafini.
  6. DJL44
    It's a gamble worth taking for the Giants. Haniger and DeSclafini didn't contribute much last year. Addition by subtraction and a possible stud pitcher in return.
  7. DJL44
    Caballero is gone now. Rojas and Urias can platoon at 3B. DeSclafini in the Mariner rotation adds even more pitching depth. 2B is wide open for Polanco in Seattle.
  8. DJL44
    Also, Jose Caballero sent from Seattle to Tampa Bay for Luke Raley. These moves make Kepler to SEA less likely and Polanco to SEA more likely.
  9. DJL44
    Kepler and Polanco are not signed for the next 6 seasons. That's what it will take to get Montgomery at $25M annually. If the Twins can get pitching in return for Kepler and Polanco then it makes some sense to add bats through free agency. The prices are better for free agent hitters than for free agent pitchers.
  10. DJL44
    I heard a good radio interview with Wallner that illustrates this. He was describing his game preparation and said he would take 15-20 pitches from the machine with it set to fastballs, then switch to breaking balls, etc. Provus asked him if he switches things up to randomly go between fastballs and sliders and Wallner's response was (paraphrased) "No, it's already hard enough to hit without doing that".
  11. DJL44
    I like Duvall as a RH bench bat but I would prefer Aaron Hicks for the same role, mainly because Hicks would cost the league minimum salary. If they can't convince Hicks to return to the Twins then Duvall would be my next choice. Hoskins would be a great addition if they decide to trade Max Kepler. They could move Kirilloff to LF and put Wallner in RF. Hoskins would provide more offense than Kepler at the cost of a modest overall defensive downgrade. I was surprised to see Stroman opt out of his deal with the Cubs. He didn't end the season well at all. A sudden drop in performance usually means there is an injury concern.
  12. DJL44
    Creating a big pool is the easy part. Figuring out the 1 or 2 who will be good without giving them 30 innings is the hard part.
  13. DJL44
    Are they trying to get better or just trying to get cheaper?
  14. DJL44
    There will be a negligible difference between the 25th largest bonus and the 39th largest bonus.
  15. DJL44
    You typically want to put the OBP guys at the top of the lineup to make sure they bat the most often. Often it is the sluggers who are the OBP guys because they're the best at recognizing pitches. If you can recognize pitches well you might as well swing with power and make the most of the at-bat.
  16. DJL44
    Correct. Most humans can't change their approach in a tenth of a second. It's difficult enough to change their strategy between pitches, let alone DURING a pitch. If you're looking to foul off a breaking pitch on the black you aren't going to be able to get out in front of a fastball down the heart of the plate.
  17. DJL44
    The change to limiting your starting pitcher to only go through the lineup twice is what makes a 4-man rotation make more sense. Starting pitchers are not being used the same way they were for decades before. If you're limiting the amount of work the starting pitcher does in any individual game it makes sense to get that same pitcher as many games as possible. Teams don't typically give a 2-inning reliever 4 full days of rest between outings (they really can't or they would run out of pitchers). Why is it necessary to give that much rest to someone limited to pitching 4-5 innings?
  18. DJL44
    I can understand giving pitchers more rest in September to prepare them for the playoffs, but I don't know why that would affect how they are used in June. Do you really want to give your 6th best pitcher more innings at the expense of your best 4 pitchers? That doesn't seem like a winning strategy. Maybe there are too many playoff spots now and it's just too easy to get one.
  19. DJL44
    I would like to see the platoon split on the pitches over the plate. I am guessing he has more trouble recognizing when he is getting a meatball when a lefty throws it.
  20. DJL44
    Billy Beane: It's not that hard, Scott. Tell him Wash. Ron Washington: It's incredibly hard. Billy Beane: Hey, anything worth doing is. And we're gonna teach you. If Julien swings more often at pitches that aren't strikes it will lead to more outs, not fewer.
  21. DJL44
    I don't know why teams want even less work from their best pitchers. Innings totals have been trending down as starters are limited to 5-6 innings per start. Now they're going to wait a week between starts? How much recovery time is needed after pitching 90 pitches in a game? We will have starting pitchers getting paid $40M to pitch 120 innings.
  22. DJL44
    I think you're underrating Royce Lewis but otherwise agree. Julien does have a hole in his swing down and in and off the plate. If he didn't strike out looking on some of those pitches the most likely outcome would be a strike out swinging. Because the pitch is actually a ball I'm in complete agreement with Julien that he shouldn't swing at pitches in that location.
  23. DJL44
    I have to imagine if the Marlins decide to trade Alcanatara that the bidding will exceed the excess value of Jorge Polanco.
  24. DJL44
    $65,000 Jhoan Duran Contract Details, Salaries, & Earnings | Spotrac
  25. DJL44
    This article says 28% of MLB players come from outside of the US. International players on 2023 Opening Day rosters (mlb.com) 104 players from the Dominican Republic (population 11M - same as the state of Georgia) and only 8 from Japan (population 125M). I have said before that there are at least 25 more Japanese players who could contribute in MLB. The number might even be as high as 90 players in Japan who would make an MLB 40-man roster. There were at least a dozen pitchers with better stats than Trevor Bauer (including Yamamoto and Imanaga).
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