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DJL44

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Everything posted by DJL44

  1. DJL44
    Up there with A-Rod to the Rangers
  2. DJL44
    We would probably have another 20-30 additional players from Japan in MLB if there was full freedom of movement between leagues. In a generation we've gone from having our first Hall of Fame level talent from Japan (Ichiro) to having the best baseball player in the world from Japan (Ohtani).
  3. DJL44
    Country, population USA, 334M Mexico, 129M Japan, 124M South Korea, 51M Canada, 40M Colombia, 52M Venezuela, 28M Cuba, 11M Dominican Republic, 11M Panama, 4M Those are the countries where baseball is a major sport. The total population is 784M which gives the USA 43% of the population of baseball playing countries but 74% of the MLB population. We aren't as crazy for baseball as the Dominican Republic but we're producing more than our share of baseball talent. Those stats include Puerto Rico as part of the USA (because it is).
  4. DJL44
    I think the people who are saying trade Polanco aren't usually the same people saying Julien can't play 2B.
  5. DJL44
    I don't think it helps the game on the field to force players who aren't ready onto rosters earlier.
  6. DJL44
    My point is this is not the "big bucks". $8M a year for a decent relief pitcher is the going rate. $15M a year for an average starting position player is the going rate. This isn't "overpaying" it's just "paying". I'm not going to argue that Pagan is the best choice for their bullpen but it's better to go after someone you like than to sit around and wait to see if there is anything left over after everyone else has their pick. I don't expect the Twins to fill their roster with free agents but they should absolutely be looking to supplement and fill holes for this season on the open market. If Cincinnati and Milwaukee can afford it so can the Twins.
  7. DJL44
    Cincinnati is one of the 5 smallest markets in major league baseball.
  8. DJL44
    Waiting 8 months to tell a joke shows commitment to the bit.
  9. DJL44
    I agree. It is still probably the weakest competition of any division in baseball.
  10. DJL44
    After two seasons is usually the sweet spot for negotiating contract extensions. The Twins should make it a priority to give Jhoan Duran a long-term deal this offseason. Ryan and Ober are each controlled until age 31 which lessens the urgency to give them a guaranteed deal. For offensive players a 3 year contract extension with a team option for Jeffers makes sense and Willi Castro might sign a team-friendly extension since he has never really had a big payday.
  11. DJL44
    Kepler and Candelario are roughly equal in value. Candelario is reaching free agency 2 years earlier than Max and wouldn't have even received that deal if it cost a draft pick to acquire him. It proves Max Kepler was close to being worth a QO two seasons ago. Max would be very likely to accept a qualifying offer. I agree that this says Kepler and Polanco are each worth about $15M a season. They're getting paid $10M a season. That's not a lot of surplus value.
  12. DJL44
    Not a good sign when they have a 21 year old repeat rookie ball. Even worse when he doesn't get a whole lot better.
  13. DJL44
    Yes, every other team is overpaying the mediocre players. The Twins are right to not spend money like the big market Cincinnati Reds. Just keep telling yourself this.
  14. DJL44
    Victor Caratini signs for 2 years $12M. That sets a floor for what Vazquez is worth, though I'd rather have Vazquez than Caratini.
  15. DJL44
    Sounds like there will be a TV contract announcement tomorrow Target Field teases 'big announcement' for Thursday, possibly involving Twins - Sports Illustrated Minnesota Sports, News, Analysis, and More
  16. DJL44
    I don't think baseball teams tank to get the #1 pick. They tank to avoid paying player salaries so they can put a lot of money in the bank. They're not actively trying to lose, they're just not trying to win.
  17. DJL44
    10 players picked. 8 pitchers. 2 infielders. 3 Yankees.
  18. DJL44
    I think this is a fair comp for Kepler's trade value. I also don't see a reason to trade Kepler unless it improves the 2024 team. That trade for Verdugo doesn't improve the Red Sox in 2024.
  19. DJL44
    Plus Emmanuel Rodriguez on the 40 man roster and playing CF in AA next season. Right now Keirsey is the 4th outfielder for the St. Paul Saints. The Rule 5 draft was designed precisely to give players like Kiersey a shot in a different organization.
  20. DJL44
    Will DaShawn Kiersey ever make his MLB debut or will he head overseas as a minor league free agent? I don't see any upside taking him. Teams can get someone like Kiersey for the league minimum as a free agent so it doesn't save any money. In Rule 5 a team is looking to grab someone who can be a backup now but could be more than just a backup later. Kiersey has very little projectable future value.
  21. DJL44
    Yes, if moving the money around helps you avoid taxes. It's a lot cheaper to pay interest than it is to pay capital gains taxes.
  22. DJL44
    The Brewers have done a much better job connecting with fans which gets 500,000 more people to Brewers games than the Twins despite the Twins being able to draw from a metro population roughly twice as large. In 2023 the Brewers drew 2.5M fans out of a population of 1.5M. The Twins drew 2M fans from a population of 3M. I think a lot of that is the Brewers are trying harder to win than the Twins.
  23. DJL44
    You're not understanding. If the Twins need a loan they can loan the money to themselves and charge interest to themselves which can be used to avoid taxes on their income from running the Twins. It's one way to tap into equity without selling the team.
  24. DJL44
    His competitive nature is fine. The knee injury meant he couldn't load on his back leg. One of my favorite hitting coaches likes to say "a good load fixes a lot of flaws".
  25. DJL44
    See Bryce Harper
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