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DJL44

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Everything posted by DJL44

  1. DJL44
    I don't know why a 33,000 seat stadium costs $1.5B. Target Field cost $555M not even 15 years ago. Globe Life Field cost $1B and it just opened. I don't think we've had 50% inflation in the past 2 years.
  2. DJL44
    I don't think we're talking about the same player. Jax had an ERA of 3.86 and K/9 of 9.4. Brock Stewart had an ERA of 0.65 but only threw 27-2/3 innings due to injuries. He's always had problems with injuries and now he's going to be 32 years old. I don't think the league has adjusted to him yet and I'm pretty confident he can't maintain an 0.65 ERA for 65 innings in 2024. I think he'll still be pretty good but I'm not confident at all the Twins will get 4 productive seasons out of him even though he's controllable for the next 4 seasons,
  3. DJL44
    The Twins should absolutely be developing relievers, not buying them.
  4. DJL44
    He suggests moving a player with "hit tool issues" from A-ball directly to the major leagues? That's a hot take.
  5. DJL44
    He was an exactly average pitcher according to baseball reference (0.1 WAA). He is 29 next season and only has one cheap year remaining before his salary starts increasing through arbitration. If someone wants to overpay for 60 innings of bang average relief pitching then I would let them. If trading Jax helps them replace Sonny Gray in the rotation then they should absolutely make that trade.
  6. DJL44
    I'd trade anyone in the bullpen if the return was right. Someone might put a high value on Brock Stewart and ignore his age and propensity for injury. Griffin Jax supposedly has one of the highest trade values on the team and he's pretty replaceable IMO.
  7. DJL44
    I'm not sure what Nick Gordon does better than anyone else on the roster. That's why I have trouble figuring out his role on the team. It's fine to have guys around for depth that are just depth but usually you stash them in AAA.
  8. DJL44
    I don't see Lewis as an above average fielding CF. His sprint speed was closer to Matt Wallner than it was to Willi Castro. He's already above average at 3B.
  9. DJL44
    Or you trade someone. Often times it is better to trade a player rather than moving them to a less ideal defensive position.
  10. DJL44
    He's probably worth $1M even as a AAA stash. They may try to get him through waivers later in the offseason.
  11. DJL44
    Would you say that about Alex Bregman or Manny Machado? Royce is an above average fielding 3B, I'm not sure how that is a "waste". 3B is a defense first position.
  12. DJL44
  13. DJL44
    There are also some Tampa Rays on the list but I get queasy thinking about trading prospects to Tampa for established players. They seem to always win those trades.
  14. DJL44
    The article is an interesting read. Polanco and Kepler are on there as expected. There are some names that would be a fit on the Twins roster Grisham would fit the role that Taylor played last year and would come cheaper than Kiermaier as a glove first CF to (hopefully) split time with Buxton. He's not a good hitter but moving away from San Diego might help that. San Diego is cutting more payroll this offseason than the Twins after their push to buy a championship before their owner passed away fell short. They would be mainly interested in young prospects not on the 40 man roster. Looking for a power RH bat? Here's your guy. He's young enough to bounce back from a poor 2023 season playing for a White Sox team that phoned it in all summer. He's under contract for $13.8M for 2024 with $16.5M and $18.5M options for 2025 and 2026. That will reduce his trade value and might be hard to fit into the Twins constrained payroll. The Mariners have some pitching to trade and the Twins are always looking for cheap starting pitchers. The Mariners are looking for infielders and could be a good destination for Jorge Polanco but I have a feeling it would take Edouard Julien to pry loose one of these three young starters. Could the Twins make another Arraez for Lopez type of trade this offseason? I have no idea which of the three starters has the most upside. This is similar to the reason they would want Trent Grisham. Carlson is a switch hitter who is basically average in CF. He's cheap and controlled through 2026 but might get non-tendered before then if he turns out to be just a backup. The Cardinals have other outfielders as well but they're probably looking for pitching in return and the Twins will be loathe to trade away from their thin minor league pitching depth. The Twins could buy low on an established starting pitcher who had a bad 2023, including a demotion to AAA, but finished 3rd in CYA voting in 2022. I'm not sure why the Blue Jays would want to get rid of him but it sounds like they want more consistency than they got from Manoah.
  15. DJL44
    I agree, pretty easy decision to tender all of these players a contract. I also think buying out Jeffers through arbitration is a good idea but am hesitant to extend him more than a 4 year contract. He's turning 27 next year and catchers don't age well. 4 seasons $24M plus a $10-12M option would be best for the Twins and guarantee Jeffers his first big payday.
  16. DJL44
    With the depth the Twins have on the current roster I don't expect to see anyone added unless they force themselves onto the roster or they're forced to add them. That may keep Festa in AAA for most of the year since he doesn't need to be added to the roster until next offseason and they will want to keep his 3 options for 2025-2027. Kalai Rosario, Pierson Ohl and Marco Raya will all wait until 2025 to get added the roster. That's also a reason why we probably won't see Schobel, Miller, De Andrade or Cory Lewis until 2026,
  17. DJL44
    It's up or out for most prospects. Either they debut on a pretty predictable timeline or they're not going to make it. Injuries can cause delays (Royce Lewis) but otherwise it's make progress or go home.
  18. DJL44
    I would expect Camargo in 2024. He's on the roster and catchers get injured. I also expect to see Severino next season.
  19. DJL44
    That would make him worth $20M for a whole season, which would make him the 3rd highest paid 2B in the league after Altuve and Semien. I like Polanco but he's not that good. The Twins upgraded on him by having Julien and Farmer share the position.
  20. DJL44
    They actually try to set replacement value at the level of someone you can get off the waiver wire or buy for $10,000 cash from another organization's minor leagues.
  21. DJL44
    The timing was entirely because Severino could have elected minor league free agency and Martin/ERod could not. It had nothing at all to do with the front offices' opinion of their future value.
  22. DJL44
    Neither. Add someone better than either of them. I'd also like them to upgrade some of their marginal pitchers (Balazovic, Henriquez, etc)
  23. DJL44
    It's laughable to call Solano or Taylor "expensive" - they were paid like backups. Gray cost the most but he also provided 3x that value. Gallo was only "expensive" relative to his production. The Twins are going to be fortunate that most of their young depth is already in AAA and ready to contribute if needed. Emmanuel Rodriguez is the only player on the 40 man roster who is very unlikely to get called up in 2024. There are also several young players with AAA experience not on the 40 man roster who could help.
  24. DJL44
    The Dodgers also match up with the Twins.
  25. DJL44
    Maybe they won't sell any tickets either! They'd better cut payroll to nothing in case nobody attends games in person!
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