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DJL44

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Everything posted by DJL44

  1. DJL44
    I was trying to figure out a comp for Arraez. There are so few players like Arraez but John Kruk feels like a good comparable. Kruk had high batting averages, modest power, bad knees and was a short first baseman. He managed to play to age 34. I don't see a lot of risk locking up Arraez until age 30.
  2. DJL44
    A good contract extension makes him more tradeable, not less.
  3. DJL44
    The Twins will lose leverage every season after this one. It's a lot easier to say "no" to an extension when you have $7M in your pocket than when you only have $2M. 5 years, $50M could be enough to get him to sign. His arbitration awards could go $5M/$10M/$15M - that's 3/$20M so you would be tacking on 2 years $30M. [Edit, That's actually 3 years $30M, 2 more years at $20M seems light] His lack of power and bad knees are going to keep him from getting paid silly money as a free agent. The Twins were able to get Polanco and Kepler to sign for a lot less than I expected.
  4. DJL44
    Coming off injury I'd plan on getting no more than 140 innings out of Maeda and 125 seems like a better target.
  5. DJL44
    Athletic has a writeup on Julien. I'm not a subscriber so I can't see it. Ten Arizona Fall League prospects scouts liked most, plus 5 who left mixed impressions - The Athletic
  6. DJL44
    Arraez is the only player on this list they should pursue a long-term contract with. Even then I think I'd do a Brian Dozier type deal that only buys out a year or two after arbitration.
  7. DJL44
    He should get a Qualifying Offer of around $20M if he finishes the season healthy. That's not too much to pay for one season. There is little incentive for the Twins to give him an extension right now or for Gray to accept. That decision will happen in the next offseason.
  8. DJL44
    I agree that he will adjust but I'm not sure he ever gets back to the performance we saw in July. They know what he likes to hit and they aren't going to give it to him. If he can get back to an 800 OPS he should be a useful player.
  9. DJL44
    Why do you think the C is red?
  10. DJL44
    Why would anyone want to sign Pagan to a multi-year deal? Glad he turned them down.
  11. DJL44
    I hope this is why they added Legumina. Farmer isn't great but they needed a utility player who can actually play SS.
  12. DJL44
    He only has to play 3B until Royce Lewis is ready to come up. Not sure how 3B is more taxing than 1B for someone's knees.
  13. DJL44
    Some speculation at MLBTradeRumors that the Angels intend to have Urshela play SS since they have Rendon at 3B.
  14. DJL44
    They were better off playing Urshela at 3B last year but he's gone now so that's not an option. Assuming they don't add a different player for third I would lean toward playing Arraez at 3B. He's a much better defender than Miranda so it makes sense to give him the more difficult defensive position.
  15. DJL44
    #15 for Fangraphs. The description I saw said average fastball, good curve, minus changeup. If his changeup has improved his prospect stock would also rise. Not sure which of Arraez and Miranda gets 3B, the other will get 1B. I liked Urshela and I think they probably could have received just as much at the deadline. A little disappointed in this trade.
  16. DJL44
    Wait until you hear what the "Twins" team name refers to
  17. DJL44
    Lots of analysis on the shortstop supply, not much on the demand. I count the Dodgers, Red Sox, Phillies and Cubs as teams actively looking for a SS and I expect each of them to pursue one of the big four (Correa, Turner, Bogaerts, Swanson). The Braves, Yankees, Angels and Giants will also have interest at the right price. That's 8 teams with deeper pockets than the Twins they will have to outbid.
  18. DJL44
    The M looks like the Washington Senators W turned upside down.
  19. DJL44
    I am more interested in Manuel Margot of the Rays. RH bat who is a good defender. He's getting too expensive for Tampa.
  20. DJL44
    Urshela would be the top 3B on the free agent market if non-tendered. Any team looking for a 3B would be glad to have him at his projected salary.
  21. DJL44
    I don't think Boras lets Bogaerts sign before Correa.
  22. DJL44
    Besides the players not added this year (Urbina at the top of that list) the list of trade bait, ahem, players who need protection are Austin Martin, Aaron Sabato, Marco Raya, Alerick Soularie and Kalai Rosario. It will be a light year for adds next winter due to the 5 round 2020 draft.
  23. DJL44
    I'll take the under on that
  24. DJL44
    I get that they want to keep the lefty. Hope he's ready for the bullpen soon. They must know something about Legumina because based on his stat sheet he looks like a pitcher I would sell for $100k without worrying about it.
  25. DJL44
    Martin and Julien named to MLB's AFL team 2022 All-Arizona Fall League Team (mlb.com)
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