I propose setting the line at 1.5, assuming no dramatic improvement from the current lackluster pace, which now goes back basically 2.5 seasons. Injuries have been a disaster, both with their own players and identifying players from outside, they have swung big (for the Twins) on the trade market but that has mostly gone terribly (although I will grant them the quality starting rotation they put together at great expense largely through trade), the "pitching pipeline" has not materialized, they haven't hit a lick since 2020, and the ongoing roster mismanagement continues to be a head scratcher.
7 years in (already more than they gave Bill Smith), and you have to ask yourself, have they really made any strides success-wise? The deck chairs are all rearranged, but has this group really made any progress over what Terry Ryan got them in general?