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DJL44

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Everything posted by DJL44

  1. DJL44
    There is not much hope in this list of hopefuls. Old players who aren't stars in AAA.
  2. DJL44
    I think they can get Ervin Santana for $12M to $15M a season and I like him better than Shields.
  3. DJL44
    Plouffe will only "remain" at 3B for 3 more seasons, then he'll be gone. Sano doesn't have to stick past age 30, just fill the gap in the near term. By "blown away" I'm assuming you would agree that if Terry Ryan can find another starting pitching prospect with the pedigree of Alex Meyer that it would be a sufficient return for Plouffe.
  4. DJL44
    I am pretty much counting the Twins out in 2015. If they get to .500 that will be a huge improvement and that's still a long way from contention. Their next shot at contention is when Sano and Buxton are in the big leagues. Put it another way, I'm pretty sure trading Trevor Plouffe isn't going to be the only reason they don't win the division next season.
  5. DJL44
    It all comes down the the Twins evaluation of Sano. If they're confident he can play 3B adequately then they should shop Plouffe. If they aren't then Plouffe sticks around another year and Sano fights for playing time with Mauer, Vargas and Arcia. I think they'll have more suitors in the offseason than at next season's trade deadline. Trade deadline deals are typically for impending free agents. I don't think a utility role for Plouffe makes sense for reasons hinted at above. It is harder to learn 4 positions and play them well than to learn one position. Plouffe has shown he can handle 3B and be an adequate starter. Someone will value that higher than a utility guy at the corners. Turning Plouffe into a utility guy damages his value if it hurts his 3B defense. Unlike CF where the Twins had no acceptable backup plan when they dealt Revere and Span they do have decent stopgaps in Escobar and Nunez and an additional backup in Deibinson Romero.
  6. DJL44
    Except the third best 3B prospect in baseball - Miguel Sano - and stopgaps in Nunez and Escobar. Besides those three guys they're pretty bare I guess.
  7. DJL44
    "It might be more prudent for the the Twins to hold on to Plouffe until Sano forces his way to the majors." Plouffe's trade value can really only go down from here on out. He can get hurt, he can get more expensive through arbitration and he can provide fewer years of team control. I think it's time to move him like they moved Denard Span. Escobar and Nunez can cover 3B for the short term (frees up SS for Santana) with Sano nearly ready. Branch Rickey always said better a year too early than a year too late. Sano is not a lock but he's about as safe of a bet as you will ever see for a prospect. He has the pedigree and has had some success at AA. I hope the Twins are as tired of lousy defense in LF as I am. They need someone with speed who can catch the ball to help the pitching staff. That's not Miguel Sano.
  8. DJL44
    According to the SABR defensive ratings Mauer is an above average 1B. Vargas has not looked good at 1B and the scouting reports agree.
  9. DJL44
    Because it is a defensive downgrade at two positions. Mauer would be a minus at LF and Vargas a minus at 1B. Mauer is a plus at 1B and Vargas is best suited to DH.
  10. DJL44
    Kurt Suzuki in August .238/.294/.349/.643 The guy is too old to ride him this hard.
  11. DJL44
    If Sano does not come through the Twins are not going to be a contender. He's also very low risk of being a failure. Are they building a contender or a .500 ballclub? Plouffe may be at least league average but he's also at best league average. Better a year too early than a year too late.
  12. DJL44
    The infielder to "sell high" on is Trevor Plouffe. He has 3 arbitration years remaining and is coming off his best year as a defender. I think he's reached his peak and projects as an average 3B for the remainder of his arbitration years. Average performance has value and Plouffe should be of interest to about half the teams in the league. The Twins can patch together 3B with Escobar and Nunez until Miguel Sano is ready and give SS to Danny Santana.
  13. DJL44
    He might get a September callup but I'm pretty sure he's getting cut this winter. There are a lot of adds and Colabello should pass through waivers.
  14. DJL44
    Everything about how the Twins approach pitching indicates an extreme aversion to pitcher injuries. They keep the minor leaguers on strict pitch count and innings limits. They prefer innings eaters (Nolasco, Correia) to effective starters with past injuries (Garza, McCarthy) when signing free agents. They prefer their starting pitchers develop changeups, not sliders. The problem with this is it doesn't seem to matter. Pitchers still get injured and pitcher health is still unpredictable. I'm still trying to figure out how the focus on drafting college relievers fits into all of this. Maybe they think those guys have less mileage on their arm. Oakland seems to have a better approach - trade them when they get expensive and have a lot of cheap depth around.
  15. DJL44
    Bring back Denard Span for a year. He's a great stopgap option.
  16. DJL44
    Use a 5 man rotation but keep rotating Pino and Darnell through AAA when they need an extra starter. I don't want Hughes and Gibson to go too long between starts.
  17. DJL44
    I see Rochester, MN as a much more viable Midwest League location due to the closer proximity but they would need to build the stadium.
  18. DJL44
    My shorter list From Cedar Rapids to Fort Myers: Mitch Garver (C, 1B) - dude can hit. They can find room for him and Turner. Todd Van Steensel (RHR) From Fort Myers to New Britain: Levi Michael (2B/SS) after he comes off the DL. He's spent plenty of time in Ft Myers. Jose Berrios (RHS) - when May goes up From New Britain to Rochester: Danny Ortiz (OF) Kennys Vargas (1B) - though I'm not sure if they have room unless Colabello plays OF Sean Gilmartin (LHS) - when May goes up Lester Oliveros (RHR) From Rochester to the Twins: Trevor May (RHS) - when a spot opens up Michael Tonkin (RHR) - when a spot opens up in the bullpen Kris Johnson - when a spot opens up in the bullpen (Duensing or Thielbar)
  19. DJL44
    Leave him in AA but bump him up to AAA if they need an extra player for the pennant race. Same for anyone else in AA at this point in the season (Rosario, Meyer, May, Santana, Ortiz, etc). There is less than a month left in the minor league season. The only player on the 40 man roster who hasn't been with the Twins yet that merits a Sept callup is Josmil Pinto. Gardy would love having four catchers on the roster.
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