Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account

DJL44

Verified Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    9,567

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    60

 Content Type 

Profiles

News

Minnesota Twins Videos

2026 Minnesota Twins Top Prospects Ranking

2022 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

Minnesota Twins Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits

Guides & Resources

2023 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

The Minnesota Twins Players Project

2024 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

2025 Minnesota Twins Draft Pick Tracker

2026 Minnesota Twins Draft Pick Tracker

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by DJL44

  1. DJL44
    I see Ramon Laureano as a good comp for Celestino. He could be an average MLB centerfielder.
  2. DJL44
    3 $1M position players and 10 $100,000 pitchers.
  3. DJL44
    I don't think he has ever wanted to play for the Twins if he had the choice to play elsewhere.
  4. DJL44
    Rolls Royce, Austin Martin and now a Mercedes. Go spend the rest on pitchers.
  5. DJL44
    My favorite player growing up. I got an autographed photo from him once.
  6. DJL44
    One thing to consider about these trade values: Arraez will only come down while Sano and Donaldson will come up over time. Arraez has value now because he's cheap and versatile. As he gets closer to free agency and his arbitration salary goes up his trade value decreases. He is at "peak" trade value with established but not expensive performance. Sano and Donaldson have negative trade value because their remaining salary is high. If the Twins hold onto them for half a season, those numbers get less negative. Sano might even reach positive trade value if he starts the season on a hot streak. There is no urgency to trade Donaldson now, the Twins have plenty of room in the budget for payroll (> $30M) and no desire to spend it.
  7. DJL44
    Trading Arraez is a good idea. If there is "no confidence" that the current front office can trade Arraez for value then the solution is to fire the current front office, replace them and then trade Arraez. Arraez at DH doesn't make any sense to me. He had a 105 OPS+ last season - that's easy to find in a DH. Also, I'd rather have Arraez playing 1B and Sano at DH. You put Sano (the worst defender on the team by a WIDE margin) at DH because he hurts you the least on defense at DH. The Tommy Herr reference earlier is interesting. Herr is one of the most similar players to Luis Arraez.
  8. DJL44
    Yes, they should trade Arraez but if they do as bad trading him as they did LaMonte Wade there will be grumbling.
  9. DJL44
    I am concerned that Duran is going to run out of options before he can show success as a starter. That will probably make him a reliever.
  10. DJL44
    I expected to see Royce Lewis and Austin Martin on this list.
  11. DJL44
    I think an automated strike zone would end his career. He can't cover the rule book strike zone.
  12. DJL44
    The hardest part for the Twins is the 40 man roster is full of prospects who aren't ready yet. None of Balazovic, Duran, Enlow, Sands, Strotman, Vallimont and Winder are expected to help early in the season. That's 1/3 of the pitchers on the roster. Maeda is out for the season. That means they're choosing a pitching staff of 13 from the remaining 14 pitchers. Out of those 14 pitchers Ober, Ryan, Moran and Garza have very limited MLB innings. Bundy, Dobnak, Jax, Stashak and Thorpe were a combination of injured and terrible last season. Right now 4 of those 5 pitchers are locks and the 5th one is the first call-up from AAA. This is why the moves to add Bundy and Cotton are so bizarre. Why keep adding question marks to a pitching staff that is almost all question marks?
  13. DJL44
    That's probably because pitching prospects actually develop into pitchers other teams want to trade for about 25% of the time. Success and Failure Rates of Top MLB Prospects - Royals Review
  14. DJL44
    Absolutely don't trade him for veteran pitching. The Twins should be acquiring high-upside pitching with lots of team control, not expensive veterans.
  15. DJL44
    Grammar nitpick - I always thought it was relief corps - like the press corps or Marine corps.
  16. DJL44
    25-30% - if you assume the Twins are about as good as anyone else at developing pitching. Pitching prospects flame out all the time.
  17. DJL44
    Donaldson has negative trade value and Maeda is hurt and untradeable.
  18. DJL44
    Someone already mentioned Arraez as a great trade candidate, mainly because he would be worth more to another team as an everyday player than he is worth as a bench player on this team. It also opens a spot for Jose Miranda. Arraez is young and cheap but also an established big league player. The Twins should try to move Mitch Garver this offseason. He turns 31 in January. A contender would give up quite a bit for a productive hitting catcher like Garver who is on a $3M contract. Garver should get a chance to play his last couple productive seasons for a contender. The Giants, Braves and Rangers should all be interested and there are probably more teams since every team needs two catchers and his contract fits every team's budget. The Twins should also be looking to trade Tyler Duffey, Taylor Rogers and Caleb Thielbar but those moves will probably happen closer to the trade deadline. Rogers is going to bring back a better return if he shows he's healthy. Duffey might look better if a contender only has to pay his salary for half the season.
  19. DJL44
    He's certainly ready. He was ready for a September callup and didn't get it.
  20. DJL44
    They're either lying or they're too incompetent to realize this isn't a contender. I don't really like either option. As you said the pitching staff is all question marks, shortstop is a giant hole and they're relying on rookies in left field.
  21. DJL44
    When have the Twins created an entire rotation out of prospects in one season? I can't think of that happening before in this organization. This team has been lucky to get a decent starter once every 5 seasons (Berrios, Gibson, Liriano). Out of the pitchers you listed above only one is on the MLB top 100 list - Balazovic - and he can't stay healthy enough to pitch a full season. This organization believes it's own press releases.
  22. DJL44
    Vallimont looks like bullpen or bust. He's going to need to be able to put the ball over the plate more consistently. 6 walks per 9 innings is way too high.
  23. DJL44
    I have advocated for a different idea - go back to the 4 man rotation. When baseball changed to the 5 man rotation starting pitchers were throwing 250 innings a season over 40 starts. Now they're lucky if a starter pitches 160 innings over 33 starts. Workloads have dropped from 130 pitches per start to 90 pitches. Starting pitchers are your best pitchers. You want to get more innings from them. We have seen the rise of the bullpen because generic relievers can do better their 1st time through a lineup than your 3rd starter can the 3rd time through that same lineup. To get more innings from your starting pitchers you either need to let them face the lineup a 3rd time more often or have them start more often. I would opt for the latter. Limit the starter to 2x through the lineup but pitch them every 4 games. This should give a team 180-200 quality innings from their starter. With the reduced workload they should be able to recover in time for the game 3 days later. It will require modifying their between-games training regimen but that should be manageable.
  24. DJL44
    Minor league signings don't mean much but right now in addition to Larnach and Celestino they have Cave, Fisher and Garlick for AAA.
  25. DJL44
    I was excited to see Christian Encarnacion-Strand destroy Fort Myers. He's about 6 months younger than Sabato but did much better at that level. It will be interesting to see how the Twins get both of them playing time.
×
×
  • Create New...