whosafraidofluigirussolo
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Everything posted by whosafraidofluigirussolo
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A few recognizable pitchers have hit or cleared waivers recently: https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2023/08/the-opener-diaz-albies-recent-dfas.html Mychal Givens would have been a worth a look as a medium-leverage reliever within the past couple years, and is a wild card after rehabbing an injury basically all year. Chasen Shreve (who I knew nothing about before reading the post about his DFA, other than his having an unusual portmanteau of a first name) has decent peripherals even this year. Dinelson Lamet was a good starter...maybe 3 years ago? The Twins bullpen doesn't really have a black hole spot at this point where any of these guys would be a clear upgrade. However, since they'll cost nothing more than the prorated MLB minimum, they shouldn't need a 40-man spot, and Keuchel's roster spot presumably isn't safe... maybe someone here is more interesting than a typical waiver castoff?
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This is a good point—it's hard to see why they couldn't have found some suitable #20-something-ranked prospect who they could stomach giving up to add depth to the bullpen. (Guessing you meant Robertson instead of Peterson?) I also wonder whether they really couldn't have found a rookie-ball player the Mets liked just a little more than whoever they got from the D-backs for Tommy Pham...that was never going to be a costly deal and he seemed to make a lot of sense as a role player.
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I know the BTV trade simulator can show some real flaws—and particularly at the trade deadline, the higher value placed on proven MLB players relative younger/MiLB players' upside will deviate from the formula that puts an "absolute" trade value on each player. However, for what it's worth, the simulator values Larnach alone more than Raley and Pham together. The Mets certainly have money to throw around, but I don't know what backs up the claim that they have "no standards." Certainly with their last big deal, they used their spending power to pay down Scherzer's contract with the precise purpose to get a particular prospect, or level of prospect, back. Even with the Lindor trade a couple years ago (leaving aside how the subsequent contract extension looks) they didn't touch their top prospects to make the deal.
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- trevor larnach
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Rumor: MLBTR Twins Rumor Roundup
whosafraidofluigirussolo replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
If the Twins were looking to trade with the Mets, they could get both - Brooks Raley should be available in addition to Canha and Pham. -
Not that I think there's any real reason to worry about Jenkins signing, but I looked this morning and I believe he's the only first-rounder still unsigned, and one of only about 4 unsigned players in the top two rounds plus compensation rounds. They're making us wait!
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It was a homecoming of sorts for Joe Ryan. The Southern California native took the mound... Ryan is from Northern California so it may have been more of a homecoming than you describe here - he's from Marin County just outside of San Francisco.
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- alex kirilloff
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This makes me think of Miami's recent decision to option their young starter Eury Pérez. He was a top prospect and he's been good in the majors, so the report was that they're managing his innings due to the limited number he'd thrown in past seasons (and I don't think they made any secret of that fact) and wanted him to save some bullets for the playoffs. The Twins would be in a different situation—they have a decent chance to make the postseason by winning their weak division but have a much worse record (and maybe less hope of playoff success) than the Marlins, and Ober's in his third year, not a rookie. But it does seem like the same logic could be at play. If they right the ship enough in the second half to make the playoffs, I think Ober belongs in the playoff rotation, at least in a four-man one.
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- dallas keuchel
- tyler mahle
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This makes me think of Miami's recent decision to option their young starter Eury Pérez. He was a top prospect and he's been good in the majors, so the report was that they're managing his innings due to the limited number he'd thrown in past seasons (and I don't think they made any secret of that fact) and wanted him to save some bullets for the playoffs. The Twins would be in a different situation—they have a decent chance to make the postseason by winning their weak division but have a much worse record (and maybe less hope of playoff success) than the Marlins, and Ober's in his third year, not a rookie. But it does seem like the same logic could be at play. If they right the ship enough in the second half to make the playoffs, I think Ober belongs in the playoff rotation, at least in a four-man one.
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- dallas keuchel
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If Keuchel does join the rotation, then another interesting question that follows is how the Twins manage a 7-man bullpen. How might the roles or workloads change if they subtract one of the lower-leverage guys? Will they be more apt to rotate pitchers through the last spot or two to keep fresh arms in the pen (not that they haven't been doing a lot of that already)? If a starter was otherwise healthy but a little gassed at some point, would this lead them to try a "tired arm" IL stint in order to skip a couple turns and temporarily return to a 5-man rotation and 8-man bullpen? Of course if a starter had an injury where he truly couldn't go, the impact of that IL placement would be minimized by having a sixth starter already on the roster, too. Interesting to consider the possibilities.
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- dallas keuchel
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I enjoy reading about and keeping an eye on the draft even though I only know about the first-round(ish) players what I read on here and a few other places online, and I don't know who the later-round players are at all. Here and there I'll pull up the write-up of a player drafted by another team just to see who one of these random guys is, so I just discovered the tidbit that the Astros just drafted a graduate student: Jake Bloss, 99th overall pick, a pitcher. Seems like he was still eligible to play because he had gotten his undergrad degree in 3 years, so he kept playing when he moved on to Georgetown to start a master's degree, and seemingly got better. No particular meaning there, just not an origin story for a draft prospect that you see often.
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- mlb draft
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I’m sure there’s been a ton of rumor going around Twitter about these scenarios and not all of it is equally based in fact, so I’m cherry-picking one that sounds more promising, but: https://twitter.com/KyleAGlaser/status/1678060066111647746?s=20 Jenkins at 1-1 would take the one top-5 player who Twins fans seem least excited about off the board, and that … seems good?
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"Maeda's pitching ahead of the IL stint – especially the final start, where he gave up 10 earned runs – did not inspire confidence." I wouldn't put much stock in that start as an indicator of Maeda's future performance, since he likely was pitching hurt.
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- joe ryan
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On the last Gleeman and Bonnes podcast, they made a good point: Gray himself said, "I wanted to stay in the game, but I always want to stay in the game; I never want to get pulled." Taking it at face value, that means there will be repeated instances, and many of them, where Gray's manager makes a decision to pull him from the game that Sonny doesn't like. Of course, if this is happening to some degree all the time, some instances will be ridden with more conflict than others. Certainly there must be times when Gray exits the game with 6 or 7 innings or 100+ pitches and the decision is less controversial. It's understandable how this could have been a more conflict-ridden case, but I don't think we can conclude that either this start or Gray's history with the Twins is causing a rupture between the player and the team.
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That’s about what trading a AAA reliever who’s been DFA will get you.
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- carlos correa
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We could see Martin end up with a similar positional role to Gordon (2B/LF/CF/emergency SS) and a similar offensive role to Donovan Solano (high contact, OBP, top of lineup, modest power.) That's not a top-end outcome for a top draft pick and prospect, but he'd be useful if that's the role he finds in the majors.
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Fangraphs ranking up
whosafraidofluigirussolo replied to Mike Sixel's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
I think I've read that a big part of Fangraphs' listed "ETAs" is eligibility dates for the Rule V draft or 40-man roster addition. Severino and Brink may be listed with 2023 ETA because they've been Rule V-eligible already. -
MLBTR reports $20M, but still. A chunk of change. Too bad; it can't have been fun for Hicks to struggle the way he has recently after finding his stride in New York for a few years. As much as I may not like the Yankees on the whole, I was kind of happy to see Hicks succeed after the Twins sold low on him.
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Former Twins 2023 tracking
whosafraidofluigirussolo replied to Shaitan's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
Fernando Abad! In my memory, he was already a journeyman in the later part of his career when the Twins had him six years ago or so. -
Is the trade of Eduardo Escobar for Jhoan Durán et al missing from this list? Pretty striking to look at how many of the trades were minor deals involving players I don't remember or even haven't heard of. Cruz + for Ryan + may turn out to be the best in terms of value added. The Maeda trade still looks solid to me even after his injury issues. And the Arráez-López deal has time to swing either way, but if it ends up helping both sides as it looks to be doing right now, a win-win is still a win.
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Game Thread: Twins @ White Sox, 5/4 @ 1:10 CT
whosafraidofluigirussolo replied to wsnydes's topic in Archived Game Threads
Is it just my imagination, or are the White Sox managing to put Billy Hamilton's speed and pinch-running to much better use than the Twins did late last season? -
It may or may not be a sign of how things are going, but the White Sox made ELEVEN roster moves today:
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- louis varland
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I know Kepler has settled in as almost exclusively a right fielder in the last couple years. If part of his skill set ostensibly is being good at playing the RF wall in home games, though, I have to wonder whether they'd be better off with him in front of the Green Monster in Fenway rather than Garlick.
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