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whosafraidofluigirussolo

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Everything posted by whosafraidofluigirussolo

  1. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    Also...Max Meyer injures elbow
  2. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    The Marlins drafted Meyer 2 years ago and have just called him up to MLB. His progress through the minors underlines that it would take a big haul to get them to trade him, but I'd bet that it also points to them being less willing to deal him than they were a year ago.
  3. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    Jim Thome. Michael Cuddyer. Both Upton brothers. Et al.
  4. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    Huh. Maybe that's what the "verbal commitment" to Oregon referenced above means, that he can't commit more formally if he's going to JuCo?
  5. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    I think a package of Scott Tyler and Travis Bowyer would do it.
  6. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    Good name, too. But a great name in a similar vein: Noticed a Zebulon Vermillion drafted by the Mets.
  7. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    I'm keeping in mind the common wisdom that teams' boards start to diverge significantly after the first round or two, so MLB's rankings may look very different than teams' rankings once they get into the 100s. But having discovered that you can sort the MLB.com draft tracker by position, it looks like several teams have taken catchers ranked in the 150-250 range while catchers in the 50-150 range remain undrafted. Those are all high school kids - seems like one can speculate that the riskiness of high school catchers may be making teams gun-shy about some of those guys, to the point where the players might rather go to school than take the bonuses they're offered. And/or maybe the Twins just aren't so high on these players. This is all just speculation. But they certainly are not the only team passing on catching prospects.
  8. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    Lee and Parada both there for the Twins. Hope one of them is the pick.
  9. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    That wouldn't be allowed during the same season when he was drafted. It could be a "player to be named later" thing, but Rocker seems riskier for both teams making a would-be trade than the typical PTBNL. Pretty sure the idea of the original post is that Rocker would remain in the Twins system and supplement the MLB bullpen by the end of the year.
  10. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    I know nothing about these players beyond what what I've read and sort of "aggregated" from various public sources. But the draft rankings that Fangraphs just updated are interesting: link FG, similar to Keith Law, seem willing to stick with their own evaluations of players and to give those more weight when they differ from consensus opinions or rankings. These are not huge differences, but I'm noting that they're lower on Green and Cross and higher on Neto and Lesko than many other rankings (although the scouting reports on the "lower" guys are still quite positive overall.) If anything, this gives more reason to think that one of the consensus top 7 realistically could slide down - and also that Lesko could a be viable pick at 8...?! While this draft is said to be weak on pitching, the flip side is that there isn't a lot of consistency in how the mid- to late-first round guys are rated between different mocks and rankings. It gives me hope that someone intriguing could fall to the Twins' second pick. Should be an interesting draft in any case!
  11. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    "Bat-first corner position player" definitely isn't an exciting profile to me, but the information available about Cross suggests that he's a high-end version of that profile (relative to the uncertainty of any draft prospect, at least.) And the limitations of guys like Sabato and Rooker are one reason some Twins fans are tired of this player type, but you're likely to get a better version of that type at pick 8 than at a pick in the high 20s or 30s. The "draft with a clear top [x] and the Twins draft [x+1]" made me think of the draft when the Twins drafted Kohl Stewart 4th after Mark Appel, Kris Bryant, and Jon Gray went 1-2-3... Which says something about variance in outcomes for even the highest-rated players. Gray seemed to be perceived as a step away from putting it together for several years, and now is having a nice season to begin his first free-agent deal; Bryant seems like he may have peaked early; Appel just debuted.
  12. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    This was certainly a dominant start for Smeltzer overall—but does 12 swing-and-misses seem like not a lot, considering that he had 9 strikeouts?
  13. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    Heh, I like that in a paragraph that also mentions Josh Donaldson and Aaron Hicks, you reserve the description "former Twin" for Isiah Kiner-Falefa.
  14. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    In the morning, the team announced that outfielder Trevor Larnach was being placed on the Injured List with a right adductor strain. To take his place, the Twins recalled catcher Jose Godoy... It’s also fair to ask why Godoy would be brought up? Sure. However, he is the only hitter on the 40-man roster... It's also worth noting that, while Gary Sánchez' defense still may regress, his ability to stick at catcher and the Twins' willingness to work with him there make this roster move make more sense. Obviously it's not a seamless change, and they'd rather have Larnach's bat than Godoy's glove - but Sánchez being at least theoretically playable both at DH (though he hasn't hit well so far) and as a part-time catcher allows this move, subbing a catcher for a corner OF/DH, to work more smoothly. Also just want to point out that that video clip of Polanco's hit just captures the Oakland left fielder getting so caught by the force of his running throw that he helicoptered his entire body into the air.
  15. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    My memory from reading prospect reports before Larnach came up is that they portrayed him as a pretty one-dimensional bat-first guy. I think Fangraphs might have called him "sluggish" in the outfield. There's definitely some selection bias here because I'm watching highlights, not full games, but in those limited views his arm, reactions in the outfield, and speed (at least as a baserunner) all seem perfectly fine and playable.
  16. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    Looking at the bullpen usage chart, I see how they're rotating guys through with rest days pretty carefully - but I'm wondering why Smith couldn't have come in instead of Thielbar yesterday, when the top of the Boston lineup was up and 3 out of their top 4 guys hit right-handed.
  17. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    I thought it was lefties against whom Verdugo often sits, not righties...?
  18. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    Shortly after submitting last week’s piece, Georgia prep pitcher Dylan Lesko set the internet ablaze with a dominating performance in the NHSI tournament He's finishing his senior year, he's pitching at the highest level of high-school competition, and he still found time to write a piece for this website? What a prodigy! ?
  19. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    In principle, some amount of money evens out the value in the trade. In principle, a starting pitcher under control for 3 years is much more valuable than a reliever under control for a year, but that's counter-balanced somewhat by Rogers being a more reliable bet to be good right now. (Putting it that way rather than simply saying "Rogers being better than Paddack.") I think it just sounds weird to some people (including me) that the amount of $ is the equivalent of nearly Rogers' whole salary. It makes it seem like San Diego didn't actually value him that much, enough to pay a seemingly fair arbitration-year salary—even though other factors are at work, like the players coming back and perhaps how close SD is to the luxury tax. (Edit to add): This is not looking at the deal in terms of precise surplus value, as in a single number from a model that estimates how valuable a player is against how much they are paid and will be paid. It very well may make sense in those terms to cover all of Rogers' 2022 pay - it just comes across a little odd in the context of how good the players involved are right now.
  20. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    (L-R): The Twins bullpen, the Twins front office
  21. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    There's also Dinelson Lamet, who has done good work in their rotation in the past but, if I remember right, had health stuff last year and wound up spending part of the year in the bullpen. I think both of your points are true. SD went and got Manaea, which suggests that they didn't fully trust the starter options they had on hand, and they're unlikely to trade the ones they trust most. But it is also a lot of potential starters for 5 spots and it wouldn't be surprising for SD to trade from depth, even a starter they trusted, if they think it fills a bigger need.
  22. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    Just looked this up because I thought I had read it recently: Montas had TOS and had his surgery in 2016, before he was established in the majors. It is a troubling injury for sure, but it seems safe to guess that he's more of a recovery success story than a health risk now.
  23. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    One reason for concern: He had thoracic outlet syndrome, and that's a worrisome injury from which some pitchers never come back fully. One reason for optimism: Tying an incentive to games with nine or more outs recorded is interesting. It's probably responding to the uncertainty about how much pitching Archer can handle after his recent injuries, but it also suggests that he's prepared for a piggyback or multi-inning relief role, and hopefully it indicates something about the Twins' readiness to upgrade in midseason if there's an upgrade (internal or external) available.
  24. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    That's probably true over the course of the whole season. But it may not be an issue to begin the year -- Miranda won't necessarily open the season in the majors, and as we saw in 2021, Arráez entered the season as the "10th man" and got a ton of starts and innings. Having a bench full of guys who should be full-time starters is a waste, but having like 1 or 2 starting-worthy players on the bench each game seems solidly in the realm of "good problems."
  25. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    In the still unlikely scenario where the Twins sign Story... Is that scenario still unlikely? Yeah, if you were betting who would sign Story between the Twins and the field, you'd take the field, but between budget, need at the position, and competitive position the Twins seem to be a pretty clean fit for him at the moment.
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