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whosafraidofluigirussolo

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Everything posted by whosafraidofluigirussolo

  1. Ryan's going to be "working seasonally" in a city with a strong bicycling culture during its most pleasant weather season. Plus the profiles about him that we got when the Twins acquired him last summer mentioned his active, outdoorsy upbringing. Wanting to ride that 1946 Schwinn around doesn't sound so weird to me!
  2. Losing a reliever from the end of the bullpen is not a big deal, but I still don't really see why they didn't put Enlow on the 60-day IL to use his spot before waiving anyone. I know being on the 60-day means being on the "major league injured list" and means Enlow would get MLB salary—so perhaps the Twins are trying to avoid that as long as they can, but it seems almost inevitable they would put him on the IL at some point and seems odd that a pro-rated portion of the major-league minimum salary would be enough to hold up other roster decisions.
  3. That's probably true over the course of the whole season. But it may not be an issue to begin the year -- Miranda won't necessarily open the season in the majors, and as we saw in 2021, Arráez entered the season as the "10th man" and got a ton of starts and innings. Having a bench full of guys who should be full-time starters is a waste, but having like 1 or 2 starting-worthy players on the bench each game seems solidly in the realm of "good problems."
  4. https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2022/03/dbacks-rumors-zac-gallen-shoulder-opening-day.html The health stuff with Gallen is a little scary.
  5. I've been thinking something like this as well. But, assuming they have *any* interest in Story for their wide opening at SS, the smart and strategic thing would be to be in discussions on both these deals simultaneously. Ideally discussing scenarios with the A's for trades both with and without Andrus, which would gives them the leverage of having another option in each negotiation. Let's hope.
  6. Schwarber signs with the Phillies and Suzuki signs with the Cubs. The bat-first types are moving.
  7. In the still unlikely scenario where the Twins sign Story... Is that scenario still unlikely? Yeah, if you were betting who would sign Story between the Twins and the field, you'd take the field, but between budget, need at the position, and competitive position the Twins seem to be a pretty clean fit for him at the moment.
  8. Great synopsis from Fangraphs: https://blogs.fangraphs.com/the-yankees-and-twins-exchange-big-names-but-to-what-end/ "I just gave a ton of reasons why both sides might like this trade, but I still don’t quite understand it. For Minnesota, it feels like a sentence fragment; until the thought is completed, I’m baffled as to what this accomplishes. The Twins downgraded offensively at third, and when you add in the Mitch Garver trade that netted them Kiner-Falefa, they’re meaningfully less steady at catcher, particularly on the defensive side. All of that to save $15 million dollars this year? If that money isn’t doing anything other than enriching ownership, I don’t like this sequence of moves for them at all."
  9. Three ways of using newly gained payroll flexibility seem like possibilities: 1. Signing Trevor Story 2. Taking part or all of a contract that another team doesn't want in order to lower the cost of a pitcher the Twins want—just to speculate, Andrus along with Montas from Oakland, or Myers along with a starter from San Diego 3. A contract extension for someone, such as a pitcher they acquire in trade I think more than 1 of these things can happen, although Donaldson's salary is only enough to offset one of them. This will be interesting to watch, but it's hard not to feel like the talent and composition of the roster are worse right now than they were 24 hours ago.
  10. I was convinced that targeting IKF was consistent with what seemed to be a clear priority placed on defense... apparently that plan was nothing that couldn't change in a day.
  11. Yeah, that part...I guess I can see how an aging veteran on a big contract might be somewhat in the way with a new wave of talent coming up, but Donaldson's salary was not onerous. He's still productive, and as long as he's productive the Twins absolutely could have afforded to keep paying him. I'm curious what they might be clearing salary for, but not yet feeling optimistic that it will be a net improvement.
  12. One crazy scenario: this deal clears salary for them to take Myers (preferably) or Hosmer (?) off the Padres' payroll in order to "buy"... Clevinger? Musgrove?
  13. One of my first thoughts after the Rangers trade was that acquiring Kiner-Falefa was a good way to hedge on whether Lewis stays at shortstop. They could give Lewis time to stick and if they learned this year that he wouldn't, then they still have a SS next year. If Lewis is ready to play SS in the majors next year, you've got a great utility guy. I guess that line of thinking wasn't so important to them after all. Or the Yankees wanted to do that approach (keeping a spot warm for their top SS prospect) more than the Twins did. This makes sense if it's clearing payroll for Story, but that starts to look like a bet against Lewis sticking at short too. I dunno.
  14. And depending on what they prioritize in the team's direction, other pitching prospects might be more valuable to them than Petty. If the front office believes the team is entering a stronger period of contention in a year or two with the next group of talent coming up, they should prefer to deal Petty rather than more advanced pitchers from a similar tier.
  15. Even having said that the Twins easily could've afforded the kind of value the Mets gave in the Bassitt trade, I don't think they really gave up more here. Getting Gray and IKF in two days without giving up any high-minors pitching seems to indicate that they're trying to be relevant for 2022 but also ramping up for the next few seasons.
  16. The fact that he's only under control for 1 year means that the trade very likely wouldn't have cost a top 5 prospect.
  17. Posted this in another thread, but yeah, I would have been fine with the Twins doing an equivalent of this trade.
  18. Reports have the Mets acquiring Chris Bassitt from the As for 2 pitching prospects: https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2022/03/mets-acquire-chris-bassitt-from-as.html J.T. Ginn is the Mets' #5 prospect on MLB's list and #6 on Fangraphs' list from the end of 2021. High draft position but was rehabbing an injury when drafted, which must mean they saw real upside in him, but also means he still hasn't pitched above high-A yet. Unless I'm missing something, Adam Oller isn't ranked on either MLB's top 30 or FG's top 29 at all. Hard to make a precise comparison between the Mets' and Twins' minor leagues, but maybe Ginn's rough equivalent would be SWR or Canterino? If that's not too far off base, I would have been fine with the Twins doing an equivalent trade.
  19. Fair point. It does seem like this deal could be indirectly helpful with a trade for starting pitching that the Twins are almost certainly looking to make, particularly if you buy the higher end of Henriquez' evaluations. He now adds to their minor-league pitching depth if and when they have to trade from that depth.
  20. Just read the Fangraphs writeup on Henriquez (which maybe is what you're referring to) and yeah, it's encouraging. They rank him between Canterino and SWR and say he could be a candidate for the rotation at some point in 2023.
  21. In some way, trading for Kiner-Falefa is a better hedge against the variance in Lewis' outcomes than either a big multi-year free agent (e.g. Story) or a one-year stop-gap signing (e.g. Iglesias, I suppose) would be. If Lewis is going to be a long-term SS, IKF doesn't really block him, but does provide a plan for 2023 if Lewis takes a while to get back up to speed after the injury. However, I was surprised that IKF had only 2 years of contractual control left. Which means that if Lewis isn't going to stick at short, by late 2023 they're gonna need another plan.
  22. Counterpoint (though just one person's opinion, of course): This would be the wisest thing to do, because the assets required in trade would be significantly less. That's favorable for (however much they claim not to be rebuilding) a "retooling" team with a serious need for stability in its rotation in the short term.
  23. I wonder if more of the deals that happen quickly with the transaction freeze lifted will be trades than free agent signings—because a FA signing that was close to the finish line before the lockout likely could have been fast-tracked before the deadline and because front offices are all working at similar levels of urgency. Maybe also because some FOs back-channeled a bit during the freeze (though they technically weren't supposed to.) Not specific to the Twins, but it'll be interesting to watch what transactions happen first; trades vs. signings, bigger vs. smaller deals.
  24. Pretty sure there was one offseason where Buxton was a consensus #1 or close to it in global prospect rankings.
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