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whosafraidofluigirussolo

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Everything posted by whosafraidofluigirussolo

  1. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    This stretches the definition of "news," but MLB Trade Rumors just posted its top 50 free-agent predictions, which is always a fun read. https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2021/11/top-50-mlb-free-agent-rankings.html Their list is entirely educated guesses, not anything from inside sources as best I know, but it's interesting to read the guesses of writers who cover transactions from a league-wide perspective. This year rather than publishing a single team prediction for each player based on some kind of consensus from the list's writers, they published each of the 3 writers' individual guesses. I agree with the basic outline of what they predict for the Twins—they won't play at the very top of the market, but it's realistic that they invest substantially in free agency given the major need for pitching. Each of the writers picks one of the top five starters on the list, either Stroman or Rodríguez, to go to the Twins, and there are guesses of Wood, Kluber and Knebel for further pitching reinforcement later in the list.
  2. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    I could see the Reds waiving Miley as an indication that they're more likely to keep Gray, i.e. if the two pitchers make about the same salary, they prioritized the one they rate higher.
  3. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    Matt Garza did. That's the one example that springs to mind. It was 15 years ago, so your point still stands, but also to another point above, draft picks debuting that fast isn't really common with other teams either.
  4. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    I haven't! ✅
  5. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    As long as this thread has grown to encompass trading for young pitchers as opposed to signing older ones: I just went to Baseball Trade Values dot com to play around with Twins/Marlins trades; apparently their front page features recent trades that people have calculated, and this was at the top: "Twins get: Jesús Luzardo, Max Meyer; Marlins get Ryan Jeffers, Trevor Larnach" The values their system calculates are about even, but this seems like an case where those values wouldn't line up with what both teams want from a deal...but holy hell, that would be great to see as a real trade.
  6. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    I bet the $25M allotted here is already higher than other estimates we're going to see for Ray. He was great this year, but he hasn't been consistently this good and had a clunker in 2020.
  7. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    Lefties with particular vulnerability to home runs are a tough fit for Target Field (which has played well for right-handed pull power over the years, though those park factors can change over time) - so signing Heaney seems like asking for trouble. But I like E-Rod as a target.
  8. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    We're trending toward a World Series where I wish both teams could lose
  9. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    Arraez seems like an odd fit on this list, IMO. (I also think 2-3 of those other guys will keep roster spots for now too, but agree that they're all on the bubble to some degree.)
  10. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    I thought i remembered something about Rooker's stolen-base numbers in college, so I looked them up. It looks like he only ran during his final college season, but that season he stole 18 bases at a 78% success rate. With the caveat that stolen bases aren't equivalent to raw speed, it seems like his issue in the outfield may be reads and routes more than speed? I recall some discussion of one of Rooker's "highlight" catches late in the season, and this seems to track - he may have taken a worse route to that ball than another defender would, but he also had the closing speed to get to it.
  11. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    Do you mean, see if Martin is ready to play SS? He's probably the least likely to end up a shortstop of the 3 players mentioned, and they're all more or less at the same level of the minors (Lewis would be a level ahead at least, if not in the majors now, but the injury basically puts him back a year, so in a similar spot to the others.) I do like the general logic of leaving flexibility at shortstop, though, and not spending lots of capital on an older player who would tie up the position for multiple years.
  12. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    Not opposed to that either. Iglesias was mostly an example for comparison, as another player who's been demoted due to defensive struggles this year (and I'd bet on "fixing" a formerly great defensive player before one who's always been stretched.)
  13. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    Here's another angle. Would you rather the Twins obtained, this offseason, Torres, who has been considered stretched at shortstop for several years and will cost one or more players in trade, or José Iglesias, who was considered a plus-glove SS for years before a sudden decline on defense that led the Angels to release him this year, and who will cost only money to sign?
  14. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    At this point I have trouble keeping track of who's on the Twins pitching staff from day to day or week to week -- but with Gant down, they don't have 5 starters unless Barnes stays in the rotation or Albers takes a turn later this week...right?
  15. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    I read in an article about Iglesias' release that his defensive stats were way down this year. It seems like a few years ago he was regarded similarly to Simmons for great defense. If there was good reason to think this year was a fluke or statistical noise, Iglesias would be a great stop-gap to replace Simmons next year - but it seems risky if he ends up being one more middle infielder whom they don't really trust at shortstop...
  16. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    That's Pineda in that picture. Which is also a little ridiculous since he's injured and may or may not pitch again this season. And maybe, just maybe, there doesn't need to be a picture of a Twin on an ad about "the race to the postseason" at all...?
  17. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    It'll be interesting to watch Gausman and Rodon this offseason - they're among the top free-agent starters available, if not the top 2, and both have had significant turnarounds in their performance while playing on teams that have also had big turnarounds and are winning big this year. It wouldn't be surprising if either guy was harder to pry away from their current team than a typical free agent.
  18. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    I agree that pitchers pitching without the reins of pitch or innings limits is what we want to see. And I see your point that doubling his innings load is different from incrementally raising a pitcher's workload season by season. Urías has been in both the majors and professional ball period longer than Ober - he was pitching in pro ball when Ober was a freshman in college. If this is his first year without any workload limits, then it's safe to say that the Dodgers did have him under several years of workload management to get to this point.
  19. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    So, like...he's going to go under anesthesia and then he'll find out what surgery he had when he wakes up? If that's the case, I'm sure he's had plenty of opportunity to talk through all the options with the doctors, but still, that seems incredibly unnerving.
  20. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    That's what I assume is the logic too. It would be reasonable, even if you don't agree with it. I get why people's trust in the front office isn't extending very far right now, though. (Gibaut was not on the 40-man - he was added in order to be called up - but maybe they chose to look at him now because he would be a minor-league free agent after this year? Not sure.) If September 1 is a meaningful date for how long the team has rights to the player's services, I guess I'm not clear on why that is either. I recall that if a player is added to the 40-man in September it doesn't count as one of his 3 option years, but someone here recently pointed out that if a player is added to the 40-man for September, he's unlikely to be sent back to the minors and thus won't use an option anyway.
  21. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    They're really committed to giving EVERY marginally MLB-rosterable pitcher they have a tryout. I have no doubt that some of these guys are going to be cleared out soon, and the Twins FO is cycling through them before making space for September additions. There's a strategy there, but it's not the most the most fun to see all these marginal guys parading in and out.
  22. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    He just HAS to have meticulously styled sets and a dozen extras busying themselves in the background of a tracking shot every time he makes a mound visit. I, for one, am sick of it.
  23. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    It's not just service time but his option clock. Of course we all hope he's good enough that it doesn't matter, but nonetheless, they can avoid burning an option on Ryan this year if they wait a week and a half. My guess is that'll be a big factor in when Ryan comes up, and it's a big reason why we haven't seen Moran or Miranda yet. I agree, though, that if there is any service-time consideration happening, it won't go as far as keeping Ryan in the minors next spring if they need his contributions in the majors.
  24. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    Although counting open spots for future free agents in the 40 is useful for this exercise, when the Twins org is actually managing their roster in the offseason, there's no need to hold spots open for free agents they're yet to sign - I think anyone besides the newly added players can be cut from the 40-man at any time. There may be some other rules about player movement on and off rosters in the offseason that I don't remember (?), but in general, they can (and probably will) keep a few more of those marginal/"maybe" guys early in the offseason but it won't stop them from making free agent additions.
  25. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    Just noticed the pitch counts—all the Twins' pitching was really efficient last night. 102 pitches between Maeda, Garza, and Coulombe.
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