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whosafraidofluigirussolo

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Everything posted by whosafraidofluigirussolo

  1. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    "Expecting a deadline addition for the rotation seems almost too optimistic, but Minnesota needs one." "The [bullpen] is solid, but an addition or two should be the focal point at the trade deadline." Agreed with these summaries of the pitching situation. Given the cautious tendencies of this front office, especially in the last year, we should be prepared for less in the rotation—a lower-impact addition or no addition at all. But a late-inning reliever seems like the minimum to expect at the deadline, and adding a second arm would not be unreasonable—an additional reliever, a starter, or maybe a swingman who could slot into either role as roster needs evolve? Parallel with this, my other takeaway is that the position-player group is likely set for the postseason. Sure, there is some risk of the young guys or guys with less track record (Castro) falling off, and I'm sure the FO will listen on possible moves around the margins—maybe they cycle Margot or Farmer off the roster and improve those spots, for instance. But it certainly seems right now like there's enough depth and upside there to carry the team on the offensive side, leaving more of whatever trade capital they have for moves on the pitching side.
  2. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    Hard to say Staumont was "perfect" when he allowed both his inherited runners to score, one when he threw a wild pitch on his first pitch of the game. Nice win, though!
  3. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    Just a side note, but interesting - less than 24 hours than Hayes' tweet mentions Festa is ranked #100 on MLB.com's global list, he's now ranked #99. Some player ahead of him must have graduated out of rookie/prospect eligibility yesterday?
  4. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    Both these guys are on the 60-day IL. DeSclafani is out all year and a free agent after the year, so no one is taking on his salary (split between the Twins and Mariners already.) Since he doesn't take up a roster spot, his being in the org has no impact on team construction other than the sunk salary cost. Topa has team control left after this year. Guessing other teams won't consider him impactful enough to acquire when he's hurt, but when he's healthy enough to rehab and return to the majors, he's probably worth as much to the Twins going forward as to another team - unless clearing the remaining <$1M of this year's salary somehow allows them to acquire a better player at the deadline.
  5. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    Having SWR start on Wednesday or Thursday not only would split up the less "trusted" part of the rotation (although Paddack was good last night, even allowing for weak competition), but also would keep SWR from facing Detroit two starts in a row. Seems like that could help boost his confidence and performance. Edit: Nope. I didn't read the schedule and just assumed that since the Twins had a homestand against DET and CWS and road games coming up in Chicago, the road trip included Detroit as well. Friday is against the LAA of A. Never mind.
  6. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    Not sure whether Dodgers starter Bobby Miller's one-year career with 500-some batters faced in the majors is enough of a sample to be truly predictive, but so far, he does have a reverse platoon split: https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/split.fcgi?id=millebo06&year=Career&t=p It looks like he walks more lefties than righties and may have had some BABIP luck with lefties, but overall is an easier assignment for right-handed hitters.
  7. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    According to MLBTR, the Padres indeed have traded for Cease: https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2024/03/padres-finalizing-deal-for-dylan-cease.html It was interesting to see that trade rumors picked up right after the Yankees lost Cole for two months, but other teams were at the center of the rumors. Of course the two could be unrelated - maybe the White Sox simply found new motivation to make a deal with opening day getting closer. But... interesting to speculate whether the Yankees suddenly looking like another motivated bidder got other clubs to raise their offers; or whether the Cole injury shifted Montgomery and Snell's markets in the last couple days, leading SD (or Texas) to look elsewhere.
  8. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    Fangraphs posted their top 101 prospects list today: https://blogs.fangraphs.com/2024-top-100-prospects/ They rate: Walker Jenkins #26 Emmanuel Rodríguez #39 Brooks Lee #42 David Festa #97
  9. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    This morning I've had the issue where a page constantly shifts up and down as new ads (above the part I was reading) load at different sizes. I used to get this frequently on mobile (Safari/iOS) and rarely or never on desktop (Firefox or Chrome.) Then the issue went away, and today it's back. This time I'm seeing it on desktop.
  10. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    The MLBTR article noted that while Jackson still was well under 6 years of major-league service time, he had a clause in his contract making him a free agent after this season. So he wasn't waived. I'm guessing he had some leverage to get that provision in his contract because he was coming from a foreign league.
  11. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    The Curse of Christian Encarnacio... Casey Legumina
  12. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    Has there been research on how the price of tickets and concessions correlates with team payrolls? I want to say I’ve read that the correlation is limited, but I don’t remember well enough to cite that confidently.
  13. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    Too bad for us radio listeners, but congratulations to Provus.
  14. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    Just looked this up to check my memory—the competitive balance picks that go to smaller-market and/or losing teams can be traded, but compensation picks cannot be traded. However, if the Twins get a CB pick, that does hint at using it as trade capital, since even if they trade the CB pick they still have three picks in the first two rounds.
  15. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    Seriously, unless Maeda just preferred to move on for some reason. It should have been easy for the Twins to match that or beat it by a mil or two.
  16. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    Turner kind of fits the role described at top, but it seems like he's aging out of providing much defensive value. The Red Sox mostly played him at 1st and DH, though that may be because they had Devers at 3rd. It seems like he could fill a role similar to Solano's in 2023, probably a worse glove but a a more dependable and consistent hitter. Is that worth the difference in what Turner will cost versus Solano? ... Maybe so?
  17. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    Radio says Duran is in. Almost certain that they try to get two innings from him unless the Twins hang a crooked number in the 8th.
  18. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    Or this instead. Paddack or Ober could be the piggyback guy for a Maeda start, too.
  19. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    Several signs would seem to point toward Ryan being the next up to start. I like Ryan too and am glad he'll be on this team for years to come - but if they're looking at a piggyback situation, could they start Maeda, for the reasons cited here? Start with the less homer-prone pitcher and adjust the pitching plan based on the game situation. If they have a lead in the middle innings, they can use Ryan with the homers being a bit less of a risk. If Maeda really cruises and can pitch into the fifth or sixth, they have the option to use a more conventional parade of relievers.
  20. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    Genuinely surprised that Varland is going today. He only faced one batter and threw very few pitches yesterday - but between the pitches he expended warming up and his being so new to relieving, I would have expected them to try to avoid using him on back to back days anyway.
  21. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    They'd rather get off the field, get on the plane, and get everyone home to rest for workouts tomorrow and a playoff series in 2 days. It looks weird to put a position player in to pitch in a tie game, but in this context it makes sense.
  22. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    Odd happenstance that they came over in the same trade and now one is being DFAed in order to activate the other.
  23. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    Maeda pitched 3.1 innings (13 batters, 62 pitches) on Thursday. He was "moved to the bullpen" for now, at least the rest of the regular season, but if he throws 1-2 innings (like a side session) in this Rockies series or if they hold him out of these games altogether, it seems like this routine would allow him to start again in game 3 if needed.
  24. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    Lopez has actually fared better against batters when facing them for a third time, with an OPS over 100 points lower than the first or second time he sees a batter in a game. Even with his performance, it’s likely that Lopez will be asked to pitch through the fifth frame and then turn things over to the bullpen. I get the logic of shorter starts in the postseason, absolutely, but man... even if the bullpen looks better with recent reinforcements, I trust López and Gray more than a lot of the bullpen right now. Obviously the actual in-game situation and how each pitcher looks on that day will determine the strategy more than anything, but I agree with the comment above—have a reliever warmed up but at least let López try to go six.
  25. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    There was a good point in some article about the Twins playoff rotation recently—maybe it was Do-Hyoung Park on the MLB site (?)—saying that the best choice of 3rd starter may depend on who the opponent was, and the difference of "style" or repertoire between the pitchers. Ryan's heavy use of the fastball high in the zone might play well against one team while Maeda's offspeed and breaking stuff plays well against another. Of course, they don't know who their first-round opponent is yet. I kind of wanted to see Maeda in that third slot. But if he pitches once or twice out of the bullpen, multiple innings, he's probably not too far off his regular routine if and when they want him to slot back into the rotation.
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