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Unwinder

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Everything posted by Unwinder

  1. I believe I saw an article somewhere on the Athletic that said the White Sox have the trade deadline advantage of more glaring weak points that can be upgraded for cheap, while the Twins' weak points are more mediocre than bad, and are in areas that are more expensive to upgrade (they see starting pitching as a big one). So I think the trade deadline outcome is a huge factor in how the rest of the season plays out for the ALC.
  2. New idea: Let's trade the Rays a dime.
  3. Small sample size against a bad team so it probably means nothing, but it looks like the all-star break recharged some pitchers who needed it. It's a relief to see Ryan and Gray come back strong, not to mention a good inning from Smith. Also: it's almost hilarious to see Kepler get injured just when Sano needs a spot. These roster decisions really have a way of taking care of themselves.
  4. I hadn't thought about this complication before. Obviously it's rough for the Twins to have stiffer competition for trades, but if expanded playoffs mean more contenders, and more contenders mean more buyers, and more buyers mean that the sellers get a better haul, then bad teams that sell at the deadline get stronger sooner. Could it be that expanded playoffs are (gulp) good for baseball??? (for the record, I hate expanded playoffs)
  5. I've been to five Twins games this year, and all five have been Twins wins, who wants to buy me tickets?

  6. Hey, anything can happen. He is raking in St Paul. Usually when he sucks he's just as bad in the minors.
  7. Yeah, it's teams' job to be competitive, and it's the leagues job to ensure that entertaining baseball is the most competitive choice. The only exception is if you're totally unable to be competitive, in which case you should try for entertaining instead. But this is almost never the case in MLB because even when you're out of the running, the competitive move is to develop young players for the future.
  8. Yeah, there were plenty of empty seats for sure. I assume the announced "attendance" is based on ticket sales? I know they routinely sell more group tickets than actually get used, plus there are always plain old no-shows. I was down in section 112 and there were only six seats occupied in my row.
  9. I took the day off yesterday and biked down to Target field - Glad I didn't drive, I was able to chain up my bike to the parking space marker right across the street from gate 34. I bought my ticket at the box office, good thing it wasn't sold out yet. It was really fun to have a crowd with a lot of opposition fans present. Lots of applause for almost every play. With so many Brewers fans closer to Minneapolis than Milwaukee, the Twins could sell a lot more tickets if the divisions were realigned to put Minnesota and Milwaukee in the same division.
  10. Remember during the offseason how people here kept projecting that Austin Martin was going to become "better Arraez"? No offense to Martin, but it doesn't appear likely that anyone's going to be better than Arraez at being Arraez anytime soon.
  11. I'm sure this is statistically easy to disprove, but I feel like the quality of opposing starting pitching is almost completely irrelevant to the Twins' success or failure. I'm off work tomorrow and going to the Ryan game, really hoping to see him return to form.
  12. Unwinder

    Sano Situation

    I think the writing is on the wall for Sano as far as the 14 million option, The problem is, even if he comes back and hits 30 home runs, we still have no reason to have confidence in him next year because we know how streaky he is. If he had been able to play well from June until September, we might be able to say he'd turned a corner, but he can't prove anything in half a season that we don't already know,
  13. I was just going off buzz on Twitter, that probably isn't the problem then.
  14. I'm pretty sure his velocity is down, which points to Covid as probably a bigger factor than luck or league adjustment.
  15. I think better starting pitching changes the equation, just not by very much. How many times have we seen the Twins shell proven aces this year already? And how many times have we seen them shut out by mediocre guys? It's always going to be a game of chance, and I think the best we can do by upgrading starting pitching is tweak the odds by a few percentage points. That's worth a handful of good but redundant prospects to me, but not guys I see as the future core.
  16. Yeah, I just don't think that the available starters are going to make that much of a difference with our starters already being one of our strongest points. I think the only reason I'd consider selling the farm for another starter is injury insurance. We do have an entire half-season before the playoffs, a lot can happen.
  17. I don't think it's a great direction for baseball overall, and I hope MLB eventually makes some sort of rule change to incentivize leaving starters in more, but the Twins' job is to win, not to preserve the aesthetetwQGARGwrhPPPBSOBPPPPPPPPPbbbb I'm sorry I just saw the latest Timberwolves news and lost my train of thought, need to regroup.
  18. I'm trying to remember why they changed Jax to a one-inning guy. I thought I remembered the conventional wisdom that he was good one time through the order was proving correct. Did they cut him down to one-inning appearances just to get an extra tick on his fastball?
  19. I'm pretty sure this is A: because pitchers these days throw harder than ever before, and B: because we've figured out that slightly injured pitchers suck, even if they're not overwhelmingly in pain. How many times have we seen a pitcher's performance suffer for weeks or months only to find out that they were pitching through a nagging injury?
  20. I think the strategy is completely sound, but you've got to have long relievers to actually pull it off. To the Twins' credit, I think that's what they were trying to do at the start of the season with Winder and the way they were using Jax.
  21. Kirilloff and Larnach are not allowed to be good at the same time.
  22. I basically don't think there's a starting pitcher out there who's going to move the needle enough to justify the cost in a trade. If four of Gray, Ryan, Smeltzer, Winder, Ober, and Archer are healthy and fresh for the playoffs, I'm comfortable making a run with them. We do have some redundancies to trade from, but I don't think we'll land one of the biggest names without sacrifices that offset what we gain by trading. Reinforce the bullpen and be done with it, unless a great deal presents itself.
  23. The only reason I get the Tony O is because I love a Cubano. It's a serviceable iteration and doesn't try to get cute. Obviously not as good as Victors 1959 Cafe.
  24. Coaching seems like a pretty obvious market inefficiency, I'm pretty surprised that guys who have as much success as Wes aren't paid more competitively.
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